EC São Bernardo 2-0 São Caetano: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

EC São Bernardo 2-0 São Caetano: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Copa Paulista 🌍 Brazil

Sun, Aug 9 2026 · 14:00

EC São Bernardo

2 - 0

São Caetano

🏆 Copa Paulista

🌍 Brazil

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

4.20

League avg: 2.70

Both

5.06

League avg: 3.40

Away

0.86

League avg: 0.70

1X2 Probability

Home

75%

ELO-based: 41%

Draw

15%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

10%

ELO-based: 35%

Goal Probability

2.5+

61%

3.5+

40%

BTTS

52%

Best Score Tips

4 - 08%

3 - 08%

4 - 17%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: EC São Bernardo vs São Caetano

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for EC São Bernardo vs São Caetano.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		São Caetano
		0	1	2	3	4
EC São Bernardo	0	0.6%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	2.7%	2.3%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%
	2	5.6%	4.8%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%
	3	7.9%	6.7%	2.9%	0.8%	0.2%
	4	8.3%	7.1%	3.0%	0.9%	0.2%

ELO Overview

Home

1551+12

League

1519±0

Away

1520-40

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Low confidence, high upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
EC São Bernardo	1551	1559	1516	1554	1570	+12
São Caetano	1520	1475	1518	1479	1539	-40

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
EC São Bernardo	—	3	6	2	0	1	8	4	WLW
São Caetano	—	3	1	0	1	2	2	6	LDL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
EC São Bernardo	3	67%	44%	78%	2.7	1.3
São Caetano	3	11%	11%	67%	0.7	2.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
EC São Bernardo	3.0	2.5	2.7	1.0	1.5	1.3
São Caetano	1.0	0.0	0.7	3.0	0.0	2.0

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
EC São Bernardo	2.7	3.0	1.3	1.0
São Caetano	0.7	0.0	2.0	0.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15		50.00%
16-30	37.50%		25.00%	33.33%
31-45			25.00%	16.67%
46-60	25.00%			33.33%
61-75
76-90	25.00%	50.00%	50.00%	16.67%

Team Comparison

86%

Form

14%

Attack

Defense

Poisson

H2H

54%

Goals

46%

66%

Total

34%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
EC São Bernardo	3-1	1-4		2-1	3 / 4	1 / 2
São Caetano			1-4		1 / 0	4 / 0

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
EC São Bernardo	0	0	0	0	0	0
São Caetano	1	0	1	1	0	1

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
EC São Bernardo	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
São Caetano	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-08-01	São Caetano	1 - 4 FT	EC São Bernardo
2024-07-20	São Caetano	1 - 1 FT	EC São Bernardo
2024-06-15	EC São Bernardo	1 - 2 FT	São Caetano
2024-02-28	EC São Bernardo	1 - 0 FT	São Caetano
2023-08-04	São Caetano	2 - 0 FT	EC São Bernardo
2023-07-02	EC São Bernardo	1 - 0 FT	São Caetano

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.80	Betano
Draw	3.40	Dafabet
Away win	4.70	Unibet
Over 2.5	2.25	Bet365
Under 2.5	1.64	Unibet
BTTS Yes	2.00	BetVictor
BTTS No	1.81	Unibet

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
57'	EC São Bernardo	K. Barros	Card	Red Card
54'	EC São Bernardo	Joao Guilherme	Goal	Normal Goal
28'	EC São Bernardo	Kaylan	Goal	Normal Goal