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Atletico Nacional 1-0 Junior: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
🏆 Primera A 🌍 Colombia
Mon, Jun 8 2026 · 22:00
FT
Atletico Nacional
1 - 0
Junior
🏆 Primera A
🌍 Colombia
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
1.70
League avg: 2.00
Both
2.71
League avg: 3.60
Away
1.01
League avg: 1.60
1X2 Probability
Home
54%
ELO-based: 48%
Draw
25%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
21%
ELO-based: 28%
Goal Probability
2.5+
52%
3.5+
31%
BTTS
52%
Best Score Tips
1 - 111%
1 - 011%
2 - 110%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Atletico Nacional vs Junior

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Atletico Nacional vs Junior.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Junior
01234
Atletico Nacional 0 6.7% 6.7% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
1 11.3% 11.4% 5.7% 1.9% 0.5%
2 9.7% 9.7% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4%
3 5.5% 5.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
4 2.3% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
ELO Overview
Home
1642+18
League
1526±0
Away
1553+11
ELO Verdict
Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Atletico Nacional16421656159416881634+18
Junior15531569151715131561+11
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Atletico Nacional7245217164821WWWWL
Junior12244614463927WDDWW
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Atletico Nacional 5 80% 100% 45% 2.6 1.2
Junior 5 73% 73% 73% 1.6 0.6
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Atletico Nacional 2.9 1.2 2.0 0.5 1.2 0.9
Junior 1.8 1.5 1.6 1.2 1.0 1.1
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Atletico Nacional 2.0 2.9 0.9 0.5
Junior 1.6 1.5 1.1 1.0
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 10.87% 13.16% 30.43% 14.81%
16-30 4.35% 7.89% 13.04% 18.52%
31-45 15.22% 31.58% 17.39% 22.22%
46-60 21.74% 10.53% 21.74% 11.11%
61-75 23.91% 10.53% 4.35% 11.11%
76-90 23.91% 26.32% 13.04% 22.22%
Team Comparison
52%
Form
48%
62%
Attack
38%
33%
Defense
67%
73%
Poisson
27%
29%
H2H
71%
47%
Goals
53%
49%
Total
51%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Atletico Nacional 7-1 0-4 3-0 7 / 4 1 / 3
Junior 3-0 0-3 0-4 2-0 4 / 3 4 / 2
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Atletico Nacional 8 6 2 7 1 6
Junior 9 5 4 3 2 1
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Atletico Nacional 3 100.00% 0 0% — —
Junior 7 100.00% 0 0% — —
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-06-03 Junior 3 - 0 FT Atletico Nacional
2026-03-11 Junior 0 - 4 FT Atletico Nacional
2025-11-30 Junior 2 - 1 FT Atletico Nacional
2025-11-27 Atletico Nacional 1 - 1 FT Junior
2025-11-14 Junior 2 - 1 FT Atletico Nacional
2025-05-25 Atletico Nacional 2 - 3 FT Junior
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 1.55 Betfair
Draw 4.60 Betfair
Away win 6.25 Unibet
Over 2.5 1.76 Pinnacle
Under 2.5 2.15 Betfair
BTTS Yes 1.87 Betfair
BTTS No 1.96 Unibet
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Stats
StatAtletico NacionalJunior
expected_goals 2.24 0.32
Ball Possession 68% 32%
Total Shots 30 10
Shots on Goal 3 3
Shots off Goal 16 2
Blocked Shots 11 5
Shots insidebox 14 2
Shots outsidebox 16 8
Corner Kicks 13 5
Offsides 1 1
Fouls 4 9
Yellow Cards 1 3
Red Cards — —
Goalkeeper Saves 3 2
Total passes 382 187
Passes accurate 309 119
Passes % 81% 64%
goals_prevented -0.54 -0.54
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
90' Junior G. Paiva Card Yellow Card
84' Atletico Nacional A. Morelos subst Out: D. Asprilla
77' Junior J. Guerrero Card Yellow Card
73' Atletico Nacional A. Roman subst Out: C. Arango
73' Atletico Nacional M. Uribe subst Out: J. Zapata
69' Junior B. Castrillon subst Out: J. Canchimbo
65' Atletico Nacional J. Rengifo subst Out: M. Moreno
64' Atletico Nacional A. Morelos Goal Missed Penalty
58' Junior J. Rios Card Yellow Card
56' Atletico Nacional E. Cardona Goal Assist: A. Sarmiento
54' Junior L. Muriel subst Out: E. Herrera
54' Junior C. Barrios subst Out: G. Paiva
54' Junior J. Sarmiento subst Out: J. Rivas
46' Atletico Nacional N. Rodriguez subst Out: E. Cardona
38' Atletico Nacional K. Catano Card Yellow Card
31' Atletico Nacional A. Roman Var Goal Disallowed - offside
League Standings
Local standings cache · Primera A 2026
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Atletico Nacional Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification) 1 25 55 18 1 6 49 21 28 WLWWW
Junior Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification) 2 25 44 13 5 7 38 28 10 LWWDD
Deportes Tolima Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification) 3 23 37 10 7 6 31 21 10 LLWWD
Santa Fe Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification) 4 23 35 8 11 4 35 24 11 LDWDW
Once Caldas Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification) 5 21 34 8 10 3 33 25 8 DLWDW
America de Cali 6 21 34 10 4 7 26 20 6 LDWLW
Deportivo Pasto 7 21 34 10 4 7 29 28 1 LLLLW
Internacional de Bogota 8 21 28 7 7 7 28 35 -7 LLLWL
Deportivo Cali 9 19 27 7 6 6 20 16 4 DWLDW
Millonarios 10 19 26 7 5 7 31 23 8 DWLDL
Independiente Medellin 11 19 26 7 5 7 26 24 2 LWWWL
Águilas Doradas 12 19 26 7 5 7 20 25 -5 WDLLW
Bucaramanga 13 19 23 5 8 6 26 20 6 LDLWL
Llaneros 14 19 22 4 10 5 17 20 -3 LDLDW
Fortaleza FC 15 19 22 5 7 7 22 27 -5 WLLWD
Jaguares 16 19 18 5 3 11 20 33 -13 WDLLW
Alianza Valledupar 17 19 17 3 8 8 13 27 -14 DDLLW
Chico 18 19 17 5 2 12 15 32 -17 WLLWL
Cucuta 19 19 16 3 7 9 22 35 -13 LDLWD
Deportivo Pereira 20 19 10 1 7 11 15 32 -17 LWLDL
Atletico Nacional Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs) 1 19 40 13 1 5 35 15 20 LLWWW
Junior Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs) 2 19 35 11 2 6 31 24 7 WDWWL
Deportivo Pasto Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs) 3 19 34 10 4 5 29 25 4 LLWWD
America de Cali Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs) 4 19 33 10 3 6 25 15 10 WLWWL
Once Caldas Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs) 5 19 33 8 9 2 31 22 9 WDWDD
Deportes Tolima Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs) 6 19 31 8 7 4 27 17 10 DLWLD
Santa Fe Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs) 7 19 29 7 8 4 29 22 7 WWWDD
Internacional de Bogota Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs) 8 19 28 7 7 5 26 26 0 LWLWD
Deportivo Cali 9 19 27 7 6 6 20 16 4 DWLDW
Millonarios 10 19 26 7 5 7 31 23 8 DWLDL
Independiente Medellin 11 19 26 7 5 7 26 24 2 LWWWL
Águilas Doradas 12 19 26 7 5 7 20 25 -5 WDLLW
Bucaramanga 13 19 23 5 8 6 26 20 6 LDLWL
Llaneros 14 19 22 4 10 5 17 20 -3 LDLDW
Fortaleza FC 15 19 22 5 7 7 22 27 -5 WLLWD
Jaguares 16 19 18 5 3 11 20 33 -13 WDLLW
Alianza Valledupar 17 19 17 3 8 8 13 27 -14 DDLLW
Chico 18 19 17 5 2 12 15 32 -17 WLLWL
Cucuta 19 19 16 3 7 9 22 35 -13 LDLWD
Deportivo Pereira 20 19 10 1 7 11 15 32 -17 LWLDL
Chico Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular) 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 —
Independiente Medellin Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular) 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 —
America de Cali Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular) 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 —
Santa Fe Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular) 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 —
Internacional de Bogota Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular) 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 —
Deportivo Cali Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular) 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 —
Atletico Nacional Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular) 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 —
Bucaramanga Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular) 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 —
Cucuta 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 —
Deportivo Pasto 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 —
Deportes Tolima 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 —
Junior 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 —
Millonarios 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 —
Once Caldas 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 —
Deportivo Pereira 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 —
Águilas Doradas 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 —
Alianza Valledupar 17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 —
Fortaleza FC 18 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 —
Llaneros 19 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 —
Jaguares 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 —