Pamplona 5-1 Izarra: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Pamplona 5-1 Izarra: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 🌍 Spain

Sat, Jun 6 2026 · 16:00

Pamplona

5 - 1

Izarra

🏆 Tercera División RFEF - Group 15

🌍 Spain

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.63

League avg: 1.80

Both

2.90

League avg: 3.70

Away

1.27

League avg: 1.90

1X2 Probability

Home

39%

ELO-based: 49%

Draw

28%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

33%

ELO-based: 27%

Goal Probability

2.5+

53%

3.5+

32%

BTTS

55%

Best Score Tips

1 - 111%

2 - 19%

1 - 09%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Pamplona vs Izarra

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Pamplona vs Izarra.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Izarra
		0	1	2	3	4
Pamplona	0	5.5%	7.0%	4.5%	1.9%	0.6%
	1	9.0%	11.4%	7.2%	3.1%	1.0%
	2	7.3%	9.3%	5.9%	2.5%	0.8%
	3	4.0%	5.0%	3.2%	1.4%	0.4%
	4	1.6%	2.0%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%

ELO Overview

Home

1650+20

League

1501±0

Away

1549+6

ELO Verdict

Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Pamplona	1650	1670	1580	1654	1632	+20
Izarra	1549	1556	1513	1595	1522	+6

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Pamplona	2	37	77	22	11	4	67	30	DWWDD
Izarra	3	37	65	17	14	6	69	33	DWLWD

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Pamplona	5	60%	40%	80%	0.8	0.4
Izarra	5	53%	90%	70%	1.8	0.6

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Pamplona	2.3	1.4	1.8	0.9	0.7	0.8
Izarra	2.0	1.7	1.9	0.7	1.1	0.9

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Pamplona	1.8	2.3	0.8	0.9
Izarra	1.9	1.7	0.9	1.1

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	10.45%	17.65%	20.00%	5.88%
16-30	11.94%	11.76%	3.33%	14.71%
31-45	11.94%	16.18%	16.67%	17.65%
46-60	20.90%	14.71%	20.00%	14.71%
61-75	19.40%	11.76%	13.33%	8.82%
76-90	23.88%	27.94%	26.67%	32.35%

Team Comparison

53%

Form

47%

31%

Attack

69%

Defense

53%

Poisson

47%

64%

H2H

36%

56%

Goals

44%

53%

Total

47%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Pamplona	5-0	1-4	1-3	2-1	5 / 4	3 / 2
Izarra	5-0	1-4	0-2	2-1	5 / 4	2 / 2

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Pamplona	14	6	8	5	1	4
Izarra	14	9	5	7	3	4

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Pamplona	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Izarra	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-05-30	Izarra	1 - 1 FT	Pamplona
2026-04-19	Izarra	0 - 2 FT	Pamplona
2025-12-13	Pamplona	2 - 1 FT	Izarra
2023-08-14	Izarra	2 - 0 FT	Pamplona

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.25	Homepage market
Draw	2.80	Homepage market
Away win	3.20	Homepage market
2.5 goals market	2.00	Homepage market

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
85'	Pamplona	J. Zapata	Goal	Normal Goal
60'	Pamplona	A. Gil	Goal	Normal Goal
48'	Izarra	J. Madariaga	Goal	Normal Goal
45+1'	Pamplona	M. Saralegui	Goal	Normal Goal
43'	Pamplona	X. Cemborain	Goal	Normal Goal
20'	Pamplona	M. Saralegui	Goal	Normal Goal

League Standings

Local standings cache · Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 2025

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Peña Sport Promotion	1	33	77	24	5	4	63	36	27	WWDWL
Pamplona Promotion Playoffs	2	34	72	21	9	4	64	28	36	WDDWW
Izarra Promotion Playoffs	3	34	61	16	13	5	64	31	33	LDWLW
Subiza Promotion Playoffs	4	34	54	15	9	10	46	31	15	LWDLW
San Juan	5	34	50	11	17	6	38	28	10	DLWLD
Beti Kozkor	6	33	45	12	9	12	50	43	7	DWLWD
Huarte	7	34	45	14	3	17	47	47	0	LWWWL
Cortes Promotion Playoffs	8	33	44	13	5	15	35	48	-13	LDDLL
Valle Egüés	9	34	42	11	9	14	49	57	-8	LWLWW
Cirbonero	10	32	41	10	11	11	33	36	-3	WLDDL
Txantrea	11	34	41	11	8	15	49	66	-17	WLLLW
Avance Ezcabarte	12	34	40	10	10	14	42	48	-6	LLLLW
Bidezarra	13	33	37	9	10	14	31	37	-6	WDDWL
Aoiz	14	33	36	9	9	15	42	47	-5	LWDWL
Ardoi	15	33	36	8	12	13	46	54	-8	LDWLD
Beti Onak Relegation	16	34	36	9	9	16	41	55	-14	WDWLL
Atlético Artajonés Relegation	17	34	32	7	11	16	35	56	-21	LLLWD
Oberena Relegation	18	34	32	7	11	16	30	57	-27	LWLDD
Peña Sport Promotion	1	34	77	24	5	5	65	39	26	WWDWL
Pamplona Promotion Playoffs	2	34	74	22	8	4	65	28	37	WDDWW
Izarra Promotion Playoffs	3	34	61	16	13	5	64	31	33	LDWLW
Subiza Promotion Playoffs	4	34	54	15	9	10	46	31	15	LWDLW
San Juan Promotion Playoffs	5	34	52	12	16	6	43	28	15	DLWLD
Huarte	6	34	47	15	2	17	49	47	2	LWWWL
Beti Kozkor	7	34	46	12	10	12	51	44	7	DWLWD
Avance Ezcabarte	8	34	45	12	9	13	47	49	-2	LLLLW
Cortes	9	34	44	13	5	16	37	51	-14	LDDLL
Cirbonero	10	34	43	11	10	13	38	42	-4	WLDDL
Txantrea	11	34	43	12	7	15	52	67	-15	WLLLW
Valle Egüés	12	34	42	11	9	14	48	57	-9	LWLWW
Bidezarra	13	34	39	10	10	15	34	40	-6	WDDWL
Aoiz	14	34	36	9	9	16	42	50	-8	LWDWL
Beti Onak	15	34	36	9	9	16	42	55	-13	WDWLL
Ardoi Relegation	16	34	36	8	12	14	46	56	-10	LDWLD
Oberena Relegation	17	34	32	7	11	17	32	61	-29	LWLDD
Atlético Artajonés Relegation	18	34	31	7	10	17	36	61	-25	LLLWD