Motril 1-1 Arenas Armilla: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Motril 1-1 Arenas Armilla: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 🌍 Spain

Sun, Jun 7 2026 · 17:00

Motril

1 - 1

Arenas Armilla

🏆 Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

🌍 Spain

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.17

League avg: 1.50

Both

2.01

League avg: 2.60

Away

0.84

League avg: 1.10

1X2 Probability

Home

38%

ELO-based: 42%

Draw

34%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

28%

ELO-based: 34%

Goal Probability

2.5+

41%

3.5+

23%

BTTS

46%

Best Score Tips

1 - 016%

0 - 013%

1 - 113%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Motril vs Arenas Armilla

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Motril vs Arenas Armilla.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Arenas Armilla
		0	1	2	3	4
Motril	0	13.4%	11.3%	4.8%	1.3%	0.3%
	1	15.6%	13.2%	5.6%	1.6%	0.3%
	2	9.1%	7.7%	3.3%	0.9%	0.2%
	3	3.6%	3.0%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%
	4	1.0%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1586-14

League

1500±0

Away

1547+30

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Motril	1586	1576	1561	1589	1614	-14
Arenas Armilla	1547	1555	1497	1450	1599	+30

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Motril	2	37	67	18	13	6	56	31	DWDDL
Arenas Armilla	4	37	63	18	9	10	41	29	LLWWW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Motril	5	40%	60%	40%	0.6	0.6
Arenas Armilla	5	60%	80%	40%	0.8	0.6

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Motril	1.9	1.1	1.5	0.8	0.8	0.8
Arenas Armilla	1.4	0.8	1.1	0.8	0.7	0.8

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Motril	1.5	1.9	0.8	0.8
Arenas Armilla	1.1	0.8	0.8	0.7

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	15.79%	19.05%	10.00%
16-30	14.04%	19.05%	13.33%	10.71%
31-45	17.54%	11.90%	33.33%	21.43%
46-60	12.28%	11.90%	13.33%	21.43%
61-75	14.04%	19.05%	13.33%	21.43%
76-90	26.32%	19.05%	16.67%	25.00%

Team Comparison

Form

43%

Attack

57%

Defense

58%

Poisson

42%

71%

H2H

29%

75%

Goals

25%

56%

Total

44%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Motril	5-0	1-3	0-4	2-1	5 / 3	4 / 2
Arenas Armilla	3-0	0-2	0-2	3-0	3 / 2	2 / 3

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Motril	16	9	7	8	3	5
Arenas Armilla	16	8	8	12	5	7

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Motril	2	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Arenas Armilla	3	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-05-31	Arenas Armilla	1 - 0 FT	Motril
2026-02-22	Motril	1 - 1 FT	Arenas Armilla
2025-10-12	Arenas Armilla	0 - 2 FT	Motril
2025-03-30	Arenas Armilla	0 - 1 FT	Motril
2024-11-17	Motril	2 - 0 FT	Arenas Armilla
2024-01-21	Motril	1 - 0 FT	Arenas Armilla

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+8'	Arenas Armilla	J. Sanchez Conde	Card	Red Card
90+1'	Motril	C. Camacho	Goal	Normal Goal
65'	Arenas Armilla		Goal	Missed Penalty
65'	Arenas Armilla	D. Salvatierra	Goal	Normal Goal

League Standings

Local standings cache · Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 2025

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Mijas Las Lagunas Promotion	1	34	66	19	9	6	46	24	22	DWWWD
Motril Promotion Playoffs	2	34	65	18	11	5	55	29	26	DLDDW
Torre del Mar Promotion Playoffs	3	34	55	14	13	7	37	26	11	LLLLW
Arenas Armilla Promotion Playoffs	4	34	54	15	9	10	38	29	9	DWWWL
Churriana Vega Promotion Playoffs	5	34	52	14	10	10	32	40	-8	DDWDL
Marbelli	6	34	51	14	9	11	36	28	8	WLDWW
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno	7	34	50	13	11	10	39	38	1	LWWLW
UD San Pedro	8	34	49	13	10	11	39	37	2	WDDWD
Atlético Porcuna	9	34	46	14	4	16	41	39	2	LWWLL
Huétor Vega	10	34	45	12	9	13	43	42	1	WLDLD
Granada II	11	34	44	10	14	10	49	47	2	DWDLD
Alhaurino	12	34	43	11	10	13	41	41	0	DWWLW
UD Melilla II	13	34	39	9	12	13	30	32	-2	LDWLL
Mancha Real	14	34	37	9	10	15	30	38	-8	DLDWL
Huétor Tájar	15	34	37	9	10	15	40	44	-4	WLLLW
Martos Relegation	16	34	37	9	10	15	32	48	-16	LWLLD
Torreperogil Relegation	17	34	33	9	6	19	24	45	-21	WLDWL
El Palo Relegation	18	34	27	6	9	19	28	53	-25	LWLDL