Covadonga 2-4 Caudal: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Covadonga 2-4 Caudal: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 🌍 Spain

Sun, Jun 7 2026 · 10:00

Covadonga

2 - 4

Caudal

🏆 Tercera División RFEF - Group 2

🌍 Spain

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.49

League avg: 2.50

Both

2.34

League avg: 4.20

Away

0.86

League avg: 1.70

1X2 Probability

Home

51%

ELO-based: 39%

Draw

30%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

19%

ELO-based: 37%

Goal Probability

2.5+

49%

3.5+

28%

BTTS

50%

Best Score Tips

1 - 014%

1 - 112%

2 - 011%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Covadonga vs Caudal

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Covadonga vs Caudal.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Caudal
		0	1	2	3	4
Covadonga	0	9.6%	8.2%	3.5%	1.0%	0.2%
	1	14.3%	12.2%	5.2%	1.5%	0.3%
	2	10.6%	9.1%	3.9%	1.1%	0.2%
	3	5.3%	4.5%	1.9%	0.6%	0.1%
	4	2.0%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1664-46

League

1504±0

Away

1656+48

ELO Verdict

Draw edge, Low confidence, high upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Covadonga	1664	1656	1588	1855	1658	-46
Caudal	1656	1685	1585	1631	1624	+48

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Covadonga	2	37	84	26	6	5	91	27	WLDWL
Caudal	4	37	73	22	7	8	63	41	LWDWW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Covadonga	5	47%	78%	33%	1.4	1.2
Caudal	5	67%	78%	56%	1.4	0.8

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Covadonga	2.5	2.4	2.5	0.5	0.9	0.7
Caudal	2.3	1.1	1.7	1.3	0.9	1.1

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Covadonga	2.5	2.5	0.7	0.5
Caudal	1.7	1.1	1.1	0.9

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	12.36%	17.74%	10.34%	14.29%
16-30	13.48%	12.90%	24.14%	16.67%
31-45	22.47%	14.52%	6.90%	16.67%
46-60	14.61%	11.29%	24.14%	16.67%
61-75	16.85%	20.97%	20.69%	9.52%
76-90	20.22%	17.74%	10.34%	23.81%

Team Comparison

41%

Form

59%

Attack

Defense

75%

Poisson

25%

29%

H2H

71%

38%

Goals

63%

46%

Total

55%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Covadonga	6-0	0-5	0-2	3-1	6 / 5	2 / 3
Caudal	6-1	1-3	0-3	3-1	6 / 3	3 / 3

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Covadonga	17	10	7	3	2	1
Caudal	8	3	5	8	3	5

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Covadonga	5	71.43%	2	28.57%	—	—
Caudal	4	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-05-31	Caudal	2 - 1 FT	Covadonga
2026-03-22	Caudal	2 - 1 FT	Covadonga
2025-11-09	Covadonga	1 - 0 FT	Caudal
2025-04-27	Caudal	1 - 0 FT	Covadonga
2024-12-15	Covadonga	0 - 0 FT	Caudal
2023-03-26	Caudal	1 - 1 FT	Covadonga

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
87'	Caudal	M. Trabanco	Goal	Normal Goal
72'	Caudal	I. Elena	Goal	Normal Goal
58'	Covadonga	A. Arias	Goal	Normal Goal
47'	Covadonga	G. Cueto	Goal	Normal Goal
40'	Caudal	D. Boza	Goal	Normal Goal
24'	Caudal	D. Boza	Goal	Normal Goal

League Standings

Local standings cache · Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 2025

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Llanera Promotion	1	34	91	29	4	1	71	18	53	WWWWW
Covadonga Promotion Playoffs	2	34	80	25	5	4	88	24	64	LLWDL
Sporting Gijón II Promotion Playoffs	3	34	67	19	10	5	79	29	50	LDWWL
Caudal Promotion Playoffs	4	34	66	20	6	8	59	39	20	WWWDW
Mosconia Promotion Playoffs	5	34	55	16	7	11	46	29	17	LDLDL
San Martín	6	34	51	14	9	11	36	36	0	WLWWL
L'Entregu	7	34	49	13	10	11	41	42	-1	WLLLD
Ceares	8	34	45	12	10	13	39	40	-1	WWLWL
Praviano	9	34	42	11	9	14	36	42	-6	LWWLL
Siero	10	34	42	11	9	15	39	49	-10	LWWWL
Colunga	11	34	39	10	9	15	38	59	-21	LLDLL
Llanes	12	34	37	8	13	13	44	51	-7	LLWLL
Avilés Stadium	13	34	33	6	15	13	21	40	-19	LDLLD
Gijón Industrial	14	34	32	7	11	16	36	57	-21	WDWLW
Lenense	15	34	32	7	11	16	36	58	-22	LWDLW
Navarro Relegation	16	34	31	6	13	15	38	53	-15	WLLLD
Tuilla Relegation	17	34	27	7	6	21	31	60	-29	LLLWD
Real Titánico Relegation	18	34	18	3	9	22	22	74	-52	WDLLW
Llanera Promotion	1	34	89	28	5	1	69	19	50	WWWWW
Covadonga Promotion Playoffs	2	34	80	25	5	4	88	24	64	LLWDL
Sporting Gijón II Promotion Playoffs	3	34	67	19	10	5	79	29	50	LDWWL
Caudal Promotion Playoffs	4	34	66	20	6	8	59	39	20	WWWDW
Mosconia Promotion Playoffs	5	34	56	16	8	10	47	27	20	LDLDL
L'Entregu	6	34	49	13	10	11	41	42	-1	WLLLD
San Martín	7	34	49	13	10	11	33	34	-1	WLWWL
Ceares	8	34	43	11	10	13	37	40	-3	WWLWL
Praviano	9	34	42	11	9	14	36	42	-6	LWWLL
Siero	10	34	42	11	9	14	39	47	-8	LWWWL
Colunga	11	34	40	10	10	14	36	56	-20	LLDLL
Llanes	12	34	37	8	13	13	44	51	-7	LLWLL
Avilés Stadium	13	34	33	6	15	13	21	40	-19	LDLLD
Gijón Industrial	14	34	32	7	11	16	36	57	-21	WDWLW
Lenense	15	34	32	7	11	16	36	58	-22	LWDLW
Navarro Relegation	16	34	31	6	13	15	38	53	-15	WLLLD
Tuilla Relegation	17	34	27	7	6	21	31	60	-29	LLLWD
Real Titánico Relegation	18	34	18	3	9	22	22	74	-52	WDLLW