Statistical Predictions
Decision Pages
This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Cerro vs Penarol.
| Penarol | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | ||
| Cerro | 0 | 18.4% | 17.5% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 13.6% | 13.0% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| ELO | Overall | Form | H/A | Attack | Defense | Last 5 +- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro | 1427 | 1409 | 1507 | 1355 | 1463 | -21 |
| Penarol | 1605 | 1617 | 1556 | 1558 | 1628 | +20 |
| Team | GF H | GF A | GF Tot | GA H | GA A | GA Tot |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| Penarol | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Teams | GF | GF H/A | GA | GA H/A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| Penarol | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Min | Home For | Away For | Home Against | Away Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-15 | 11.11% | 11.54% | 6.45% | 21.05% |
| 16-30 | 11.11% | 19.23% | 12.90% | |
| 31-45 | 22.22% | 11.54% | 22.58% | 31.58% |
| 46-60 | 11.54% | 3.23% | 21.05% | |
| 61-75 | 11.11% | 7.69% | 12.90% | 10.53% |
| 76-90 | 44.44% | 38.46% | 41.94% | 15.79% |
| Team | Win H | Win A | Loss H | Loss A | GF H/A | GA H/A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro | 1-0 | 0-1 | 4-0 | 1 / 1 | 1 / 4 | |
| Penarol | 3-1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 3 / 3 | 2 / 2 |
| Team | CS | CS H | CS A | FTS | FTS H | FTS A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 |
| Penarol | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Team | Scored | Scored % | Missed | Missed % | Won | Committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% | — | — |
| Penarol | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% | — | — |
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Penarol | 3 - 1 FT | Cerro |
| 2025-10-25 | Cerro | 2 - 0 FT | Penarol |
| 2025-06-28 | Penarol | 2 - 0 FT | Cerro |
| 2025-04-27 | Penarol | 3 - 1 FT | Cerro |
| 2024-09-22 | Cerro | 0 - 5 FT | Penarol |
| 2024-03-09 | Penarol | 3 - 0 FT | Cerro |
| Market | Best odd | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Home win | 6.50 | BetVictor |
| Draw | 4.10 | Bet365 |
| Away win | 1.57 | Unibet |
| Over 2.5 | 2.31 | Pinnacle |
| Under 2.5 | 1.65 | 10Bet |
| BTTS Yes | 2.30 | Betano |
| BTTS No | 1.64 | Unibet |
| Min | Team | Player | Type | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88' | Penarol | A. Madruga | Card | Yellow Card |
| 79' | Cerro | J. Amaro | Card | Yellow Card |
| 78' | Penarol | E. Gularte | subst | Out: Lucas Hernandez |
| 78' | Cerro | I. Valenzuela | subst | Out: S. Paiva |
| 74' | Cerro | A. Cappuccio | Card | Yellow Card |
| 69' | Penarol | J. Cabrera | subst | Out: D. Laxalt |
| 65' | Cerro | T. Rijo | subst | Out: R. Mederos |
| 57' | Penarol | A. Hernandez | Goal | Normal Goal |
| 56' | Penarol | F. Batista | subst | Out: A. Hernandez |
| 46' | Cerro | A. Cambon | subst | Out: N. Soria |
| 31' | Cerro | M. Ocampo | Card | Yellow Card |
| 20' | Penarol | F. Batista | Goal | Missed Penalty |
| Team | Pos | MP | Pts | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Maldonado Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage) | 1 | 19 | 39 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 20 | 15 | WWDWW |
| Racing Montevideo Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage) | 2 | 19 | 37 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | DDDWL |
| Penarol Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification) | 3 | 19 | 36 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 18 | 10 | WLWWW |
| Albion FC Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification) | 4 | 19 | 32 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | WLLDW |
| Club Nacional Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification) | 5 | 19 | 31 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | WLWWW |
| Central Espanol Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification) | 6 | 19 | 31 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | DWLWW |
| Atletico Torque Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification) | 7 | 19 | 29 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | LWWLW |
| Wanderers | 8 | 19 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | DWDDW |
| Liverpool Montevideo | 9 | 19 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 20 | 2 | DWDLL |
| Cerro Largo | 10 | 19 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 20 | 1 | DWWLL |
| Defensor Sporting | 11 | 19 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | DDLLL |
| Boston River | 12 | 19 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 26 | -7 | DLLWL |
| Danubio | 13 | 18 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 26 | -7 | DLLLL |
| Juventud | 14 | 18 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 29 | -7 | LLWWW |
| Progreso | 15 | 19 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 30 | -14 | LWLLL |
| Cerro | 16 | 19 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 31 | -21 | LLWLL |
| Deportivo Maldonado | 1 | 19 | 39 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 20 | 15 | WWDWW |
| Penarol | 2 | 56 | 114 | 35 | 9 | 12 | 94 | 52 | 42 | WLWWW |
| Club Nacional | 3 | 56 | 110 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 107 | 59 | 48 | WLWWW |
| Albion FC | 4 | 19 | 32 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | WLLDW |
| Central Espanol | 5 | 19 | 31 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | DWLWW |
| Liverpool Montevideo | 6 | 56 | 90 | 24 | 18 | 14 | 73 | 57 | 16 | DWDLL |
| Racing Montevideo | 7 | 56 | 90 | 24 | 18 | 14 | 64 | 53 | 11 | DDDWL |
| Defensor Sporting | 8 | 56 | 84 | 23 | 15 | 18 | 57 | 54 | 3 | DDLLL |
| Juventud | 9 | 55 | 79 | 23 | 10 | 22 | 67 | 68 | -1 | LLWWW |
| Atletico Torque | 10 | 56 | 78 | 21 | 15 | 20 | 83 | 75 | 8 | LWWLW |
| Boston River | 11 | 56 | 76 | 20 | 16 | 20 | 69 | 65 | 4 | DLLWL |
| Cerro Largo | 12 | 56 | 73 | 19 | 16 | 21 | 62 | 61 | 1 | DWWLL |
| Danubio | 13 | 55 | 62 | 14 | 20 | 21 | 60 | 67 | -7 | DLLLL |
| Cerro Relegation - Segunda Division | 14 | 56 | 59 | 15 | 15 | 26 | 43 | 73 | -30 | LLWLL |
| Wanderers Relegation - Segunda Division | 15 | 56 | 57 | 13 | 18 | 25 | 47 | 71 | -24 | DWDDW |
| Progreso Relegation - Segunda Division | 16 | 56 | 52 | 13 | 13 | 30 | 54 | 90 | -36 | LWLLL |
| Penarol Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs: Final) | 1 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | WLWW |
| Cerro Largo | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4 | DWWL |
| Central Espanol | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | DWLW |
| Racing Montevideo | 4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | DDDW |
| Liverpool Montevideo | 5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | DWDL |
| Boston River | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | DLLW |
| Cerro | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | LLWL |
| Defensor Sporting | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | DDLL |
| Deportivo Maldonado Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs: Final) | 1 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | WWDW |
| Club Nacional | 2 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | WLWW |
| Wanderers | 3 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | DWDD |
| Atletico Torque | 4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | LWWL |
| Albion FC | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | WLLD |
| Juventud | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | LLW |
| Progreso | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | LWLL |
| Danubio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | DLL |
| Racing Montevideo Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs) | 1 | 15 | 31 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | LDWDW |
| Deportivo Maldonado | 2 | 15 | 29 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | WWLDW |
| Albion FC | 3 | 15 | 28 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | WWWWW |
| Penarol | 4 | 15 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 7 | WDLDL |
| Central Espanol | 5 | 15 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | WLWLD |
| Atletico Torque | 6 | 15 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | WDWDL |
| Club Nacional | 7 | 15 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 21 | 5 | WLLWL |
| Defensor Sporting | 8 | 15 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | LDWDW |
| Liverpool Montevideo | 9 | 15 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | LWDLW |
| Wanderers | 10 | 15 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | WLWLL |
| Danubio | 11 | 15 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | LLWDD |
| Cerro Largo | 12 | 15 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 19 | -3 | LWLLD |
| Boston River | 13 | 15 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | LWLWL |
| Juventud | 14 | 15 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | WWDDW |
| Progreso | 15 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | -11 | LLLWL |
| Cerro | 16 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | -16 | LLLDD |
