Defensor Sporting 1-1 Boston River: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Defensor Sporting 1-1 Boston River: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Primera División - Apertura 🌍 Uruguay

Sun, Jun 7 2026 · 21:30

Defensor Sporting

1 - 1

Boston River

🏆 Primera División - Apertura

🌍 Uruguay

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.36

League avg: 0.80

Both

2.22

League avg: 1.80

Away

0.86

League avg: 1.00

1X2 Probability

Home

49%

ELO-based: 42%

Draw

29%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

22%

ELO-based: 34%

Goal Probability

2.5+

43%

3.5+

24%

BTTS

48%

Best Score Tips

1 - 015%

1 - 113%

0 - 011%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Defensor Sporting vs Boston River

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Defensor Sporting vs Boston River.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Boston River
		0	1	2	3	4
Defensor Sporting	0	10.8%	9.3%	4.0%	1.2%	0.3%
	1	14.7%	12.7%	5.5%	1.6%	0.3%
	2	10.0%	8.6%	3.7%	1.1%	0.2%
	3	4.5%	3.9%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
	4	1.5%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1500-31

League

1520±0

Away

1467-18

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Low confidence, high upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Defensor Sporting	1500	1485	1516	1413	1596	-31
Boston River	1467	1469	1459	1482	1501	-18

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Defensor Sporting	8	18	22	5	7	6	14	15	DLLLD
Boston River	13	18	20	6	2	10	18	25	WLWLL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Defensor Sporting	5	13%	25%	42%	0.6	1.4
Boston River	5	40%	58%	33%	1.4	1.6

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Defensor Sporting	1.0	0.6	0.8	0.8	0.9	0.8
Boston River	1.2	0.8	1.0	1.0	1.9	1.4

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Defensor Sporting	0.8	1.0	0.8	0.8
Boston River	1.0	0.8	1.4	1.9

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	14.29%	16.67%	20.00%	12.00%
16-30	7.14%		13.33%	16.00%
31-45	21.43%	16.67%	26.67%	12.00%
46-60	14.29%	16.67%	6.67%	16.00%
61-75	21.43%	11.11%	6.67%	24.00%
76-90	21.43%	38.89%	26.67%	20.00%

Team Comparison

25%

Form

75%

Attack

53%

Defense

47%

73%

Poisson

27%

H2H

Goals

49%

Total

52%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Defensor Sporting	2-0	1-2	0-2	2-1	2 / 2	2 / 2
Boston River	4-1	1-2	0-2	4-1	4 / 2	2 / 4

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Defensor Sporting	6	4	2	7	2	5
Boston River	3	2	1	8	5	3

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Defensor Sporting	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Boston River	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-04-11	Defensor Sporting	2 - 0 FT	Boston River
2025-08-02	Boston River	4 - 0 FT	Defensor Sporting
2025-02-01	Defensor Sporting	2 - 0 FT	Boston River
2024-11-22	Boston River	0 - 1 FT	Defensor Sporting
2024-10-12	Defensor Sporting	1 - 2 FT	Boston River
2024-04-06	Boston River	2 - 2 FT	Defensor Sporting

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.04	Dafabet
Draw	3.30	Betfair
Away win	3.90	Bet365
Over 2.5	2.23	Pinnacle
Under 2.5	1.67	Bet365
BTTS Yes	1.93	Betano
BTTS No	1.85	William Hill

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
88'	Boston River	G. Ramirez	Card	Yellow Card
88'	Defensor Sporting		Card	Yellow Card
88'	Defensor Sporting	A. Machado	subst	Out: Juan Jorge
87'	Boston River	F. Perez	Card	Yellow Card
83'	Boston River	F. Bonfiglio	subst	Out: G. Ramirez
83'	Boston River	F. Munoa	subst	Out: F. Dafonte
83'	Boston River	A. Amado	subst	Out: A. Gonzalez
79'	Defensor Sporting	N. Wunsch	subst	Out: L. Navarro
76'	Boston River	Y. Gonzalez	subst	Out: F. Perez
70'	Defensor Sporting	A. Machado	Goal	Normal Goal
64'	Defensor Sporting	E. Cuello	subst	Out: B. Lozano
64'	Defensor Sporting	M. Amaro	subst	Out: F. Castro
59'	Boston River	F. Munoa	Goal	Normal Goal
58'	Defensor Sporting	A. Frugone	Card	Yellow Card
42'	Defensor Sporting	M. Amaro	Card	Yellow Card
25'	Defensor Sporting	N. Wunsch	Card	Yellow Card
12'	Boston River	M. Mancebo	subst	Out: A. Aguirre

League Standings

Local standings cache · Primera División - Apertura 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Deportivo Maldonado Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)	1	19	39	12	3	4	35	20	15	WWDWW
Racing Montevideo Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)	2	19	37	10	7	2	25	15	10	DDDWL
Penarol Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)	3	19	36	11	3	5	28	18	10	WLWWW
Albion FC Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)	4	19	32	9	5	5	29	20	9	WLLDW
Club Nacional Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)	5	19	31	10	1	8	31	26	5	WLWWW
Central Espanol Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)	6	19	31	9	4	6	27	25	2	DWLWW
Atletico Torque Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)	7	19	29	8	5	6	29	24	5	LWWLW
Wanderers	8	19	26	7	5	7	22	24	-2	DWDDW
Liverpool Montevideo	9	19	25	6	7	6	22	20	2	DWDLL
Cerro Largo	10	19	24	7	3	9	21	20	1	DWWLL
Defensor Sporting	11	19	23	5	8	6	15	16	-1	DDLLL
Boston River	12	19	21	6	3	10	19	26	-7	DLLWL
Danubio	13	18	19	4	7	7	19	26	-7	DLLLL
Juventud	14	18	18	5	3	10	22	29	-7	LLWWW
Progreso	15	19	13	3	4	12	16	30	-14	LWLLL
Cerro	16	19	13	3	4	12	10	31	-21	LLWLL
Deportivo Maldonado	1	19	39	12	3	4	35	20	15	WWDWW
Penarol	2	56	114	35	9	12	94	52	42	WLWWW
Club Nacional	3	56	110	34	11	11	107	59	48	WLWWW
Albion FC	4	19	32	9	5	5	29	20	9	WLLDW
Central Espanol	5	19	31	9	4	6	27	25	2	DWLWW
Liverpool Montevideo	6	56	90	24	18	14	73	57	16	DWDLL
Racing Montevideo	7	56	90	24	18	14	64	53	11	DDDWL
Defensor Sporting	8	56	84	23	15	18	57	54	3	DDLLL
Juventud	9	55	79	23	10	22	67	68	-1	LLWWW
Atletico Torque	10	56	78	21	15	20	83	75	8	LWWLW
Boston River	11	56	76	20	16	20	69	65	4	DLLWL
Cerro Largo	12	56	73	19	16	21	62	61	1	DWWLL
Danubio	13	55	62	14	20	21	60	67	-7	DLLLL
Cerro Relegation - Segunda Division	14	56	59	15	15	26	43	73	-30	LLWLL
Wanderers Relegation - Segunda Division	15	56	57	13	18	25	47	71	-24	DWDDW
Progreso Relegation - Segunda Division	16	56	52	13	13	30	54	90	-36	LWLLL
Penarol Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs: Final)	1	4	9	3	0	1	5	2	3	WLWW
Cerro Largo	2	4	7	2	1	1	5	1	4	DWWL
Central Espanol	3	4	7	2	1	1	4	3	1	DWLW
Racing Montevideo	4	4	6	1	3	0	2	1	1	DDDW
Liverpool Montevideo	5	4	5	1	2	1	2	2	0	DWDL
Boston River	6	4	4	1	1	2	5	6	-1	DLLW
Cerro	7	4	3	1	0	3	2	7	-5	LLWL
Defensor Sporting	8	4	2	0	2	2	2	5	-3	DDLL
Deportivo Maldonado Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs: Final)	1	4	10	3	1	0	11	4	7	WWDW
Club Nacional	2	4	9	3	0	1	5	5	0	WLWW
Wanderers	3	4	6	1	3	0	6	3	3	DWDD
Atletico Torque	4	4	6	2	0	2	7	8	-1	LWWL
Albion FC	5	4	4	1	1	2	3	4	-1	WLLD
Juventud	6	3	3	1	0	2	5	7	-2	LLW
Progreso	7	4	3	1	0	3	4	7	-3	LWLL
Danubio	8	3	1	0	1	2	2	5	-3	DLL
Racing Montevideo Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)	1	15	31	9	4	2	23	14	9	LDWDW
Deportivo Maldonado	2	15	29	9	2	4	24	16	8	WWLDW
Albion FC	3	15	28	8	4	3	26	16	10	WWWWW
Penarol	4	15	27	8	3	4	23	16	7	WDLDL
Central Espanol	5	15	24	7	3	5	23	22	1	WLWLD
Atletico Torque	6	15	23	6	5	4	22	16	6	WDWDL
Club Nacional	7	15	22	7	1	7	26	21	5	WLLWL
Defensor Sporting	8	15	21	5	6	4	13	11	2	LDWDW
Liverpool Montevideo	9	15	20	5	5	5	20	18	2	LWDLW
Wanderers	10	15	20	6	2	7	16	21	-5	WLWLL
Danubio	11	15	18	4	6	5	17	21	-4	LLWDD
Cerro Largo	12	15	17	5	2	8	16	19	-3	LWLLD
Boston River	13	15	17	5	2	8	14	20	-6	LWLWL
Juventud	14	15	15	4	3	8	17	22	-5	WWDDW
Progreso	15	15	10	2	4	9	12	23	-11	LLLWL
Cerro	16	15	10	2	4	9	8	24	-16	LLLDD