Chapecoense-sc 3-0 Avai: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Chapecoense-sc 3-0 Avai: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Copa Sul-Sudeste 🌍 Brazil

Sun, Jun 7 2026 · 14:00

PEN

Chapecoense-sc

3 - 0

Avai

🏆 Copa Sul-Sudeste

🌍 Brazil

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

2.01

League avg: 1.30

Both

3.56

League avg: 3.30

Away

1.55

League avg: 2.00

1X2 Probability

Home

39%

ELO-based: 38%

Draw

25%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

36%

ELO-based: 38%

Goal Probability

2.5+

59%

3.5+

36%

BTTS

61%

Best Score Tips

2 - 19%

1 - 19%

2 - 27%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Chapecoense-sc vs Avai

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Chapecoense-sc vs Avai.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Avai
		0	1	2	3	4
Chapecoense-sc	0	2.8%	4.4%	3.4%	1.8%	0.7%
	1	5.7%	8.8%	6.9%	3.5%	1.4%
	2	5.7%	8.9%	6.9%	3.6%	1.4%
	3	3.9%	6.0%	4.6%	2.4%	0.9%
	4	1.9%	3.0%	2.3%	1.2%	0.5%

ELO Overview

Home

1547+30

League

1522±0

Away

1549+15

ELO Verdict

Draw edge, Low confidence, high upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Chapecoense-sc	1547	1565	1551	1548	1580	+30
Avai	1549	1561	1491	1552	1539	+15

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Chapecoense-sc	—	9	17	5	2	2	12	10	WWWDL
Avai	—	9	17	5	2	2	18	10	WWDWW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Chapecoense-sc	5	67%	50%	56%	1.6	1.4
Avai	5	87%	75%	81%	2.4	0.6

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Chapecoense-sc	2.0	0.8	1.3	1.3	1.0	1.1
Avai	2.2	1.8	2.0	0.4	2.0	1.1

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Chapecoense-sc	1.3	2.0	1.1	1.3
Avai	2.0	1.8	1.1	2.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	16.67%	23.53%	10.00%	18.18%
16-30		5.88%	10.00%	18.18%
31-45	41.67%	17.65%	50.00%	27.27%
46-60	8.33%	17.65%	10.00%	18.18%
61-75	16.67%	17.65%	20.00%
76-90	16.67%	17.65%		18.18%

Team Comparison

43%

Form

57%

Attack

Defense

59%

Poisson

41%

29%

H2H

71%

33%

Goals

67%

39%

Total

61%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Chapecoense-sc	2-1	0-2		3-0	2 / 2	2 / 3
Avai	3-0	1-2		3-2	3 / 2	2 / 3

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Chapecoense-sc	2	0	2	3	0	3
Avai	4	4	0	0	0	0

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Chapecoense-sc	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Avai	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-06-03	Avai	3 - 0 FT	Chapecoense-sc
2026-04-08	Chapecoense-sc	2 - 1 FT	Avai
2026-01-22	Avai	1 - 1 FT	Chapecoense-sc
2025-09-26	Chapecoense-sc	0 - 1 FT	Avai
2025-05-24	Avai	2 - 1 FT	Chapecoense-sc
2025-03-22	Avai	1 - 1 FT	Chapecoense-sc

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.85	Betano
Draw	3.75	Betfair
Away win	4.70	Dafabet
Over 2.5	1.95	10Bet
Under 2.5	1.85	Bet365
BTTS Yes	1.91	William Hill
BTTS No	1.91	William Hill

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
120+5'	Chapecoense-sc	Marcinho	Goal	Penalty
120+5'	Avai	Wenderson	Goal	Penalty
120+4'	Chapecoense-sc	Camilo Reijers	Goal	Penalty
120+4'	Avai	Walace Franca	Goal	Penalty
120+3'	Chapecoense-sc	Rubens Ricoldi	Goal	Missed Penalty
120+3'	Avai	Paulo Vitor	Goal	Penalty
120+2'	Chapecoense-sc	Jean Carlos	Goal	Penalty
120+2'	Avai	DG	Goal	Penalty
120+1'	Chapecoense-sc	Neto Pessoa	Goal	Penalty
120+1'	Avai	Daniel Penha	Goal	Penalty
90+2'	Chapecoense-sc	Bruno Pacheco	Goal	Normal Goal
82'	Chapecoense-sc	Everton	subst	Out: K. Ramirez
82'	Avai	Walace Franca	Card	Yellow Card
79'	Avai	Jean Lucas	subst	Out: DG
78'	Avai	Wesley Gasolina	subst	Out: Gabriel Simples
76'	Chapecoense-sc	Joao Paulo	Goal	Normal Goal
75'	Avai	Wallison	Card	Yellow Card
75'	Avai	Wallison	Card	Red Card
74'	Avai	Luiz Henrique	subst	Out: Ze Ricardo
72'	Chapecoense-sc	Y. Bolasie	subst	Out: Marcinho
72'	Chapecoense-sc	Giovanni Augusto	subst	Out: Joao Vitor
62'	Chapecoense-sc	Rafael Carvalheira	subst	Out: Jean Carlos
55'	Avai	Thayllon	subst	Out: Wenderson
46'	Chapecoense-sc	Enio	subst	Out: Rubens Ricoldi
45+3'	Chapecoense-sc	Y. Bolasie	Card	Yellow Card
45+2'	Avai	Wallison	Card	Yellow Card
25'	Chapecoense-sc	Joao Paulo	Card	Yellow Card
24'	Chapecoense-sc	Joao Paulo	Goal	Normal Goal