Vitoria 2-1 Fortaleza EC: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Vitoria 2-1 Fortaleza EC: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Copa do Nordeste 🌍 Brazil

Sat, Jun 6 2026 · 19:00

Vitoria

2 - 1

Fortaleza EC

🏆 Copa do Nordeste

🌍 Brazil

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.61

League avg: 3.00

Both

2.87

League avg: 4.30

Away

1.26

League avg: 1.30

1X2 Probability

Home

36%

ELO-based: 44%

Draw

28%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

36%

ELO-based: 32%

Goal Probability

2.5+

56%

3.5+

34%

BTTS

57%

Best Score Tips

1 - 112%

2 - 19%

1 - 09%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Vitoria vs Fortaleza EC

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Vitoria vs Fortaleza EC.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Fortaleza EC
		0	1	2	3	4
Vitoria	0	5.7%	7.1%	4.5%	1.9%	0.6%
	1	9.1%	11.5%	7.2%	3.0%	1.0%
	2	7.4%	9.3%	5.8%	2.4%	0.8%
	3	4.0%	5.0%	3.1%	1.3%	0.4%
	4	1.6%	2.0%	1.3%	0.5%	0.2%

ELO Overview

Home

1644+51

League

1543±0

Away

1586-13

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Vitoria	1644	1688	1601	1649	1574	+51
Fortaleza EC	1586	1577	1514	1495	1649	-13

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Vitoria	1	9	22	7	1	1	27	14	DWWWW
Fortaleza EC	2	9	16	5	1	3	12	9	WWLWL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Vitoria	5	87%	65%	65%	3.0	1.6
Fortaleza EC	5	60%	35%	78%	1.6	1.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Vitoria	3.0	3.0	3.0	1.2	2.0	1.6
Fortaleza EC	1.5	1.2	1.3	1.3	0.8	1.0

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Vitoria	3.0	3.0	1.6	1.2
Fortaleza EC	1.3	1.2	1.0	0.8

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	18.52%	10.00%	14.29%	18.18%
16-30	14.81%		14.29%	9.09%
31-45	11.11%	30.00%	28.57%
46-60	7.41%	20.00%	28.57%	9.09%
61-75	14.81%	10.00%		9.09%
76-90	33.33%	30.00%	14.29%	54.55%

Team Comparison

59%

Form

41%

65%

Attack

35%

38%

Defense

62%

51%

Poisson

49%

H2H

62%

Goals

38%

59%

Total

41%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Vitoria	6-2	2-4	1-2		6 / 4	2 / 3
Fortaleza EC	2-0	0-2	1-2	2-0	2 / 2	2 / 2

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Vitoria	1	1	0	0	0	0
Fortaleza EC	3	1	2	1	0	1

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Vitoria	4	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Fortaleza EC	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-06-03	Fortaleza EC	1 - 2 FT	Vitoria
2025-09-13	Fortaleza EC	2 - 0 FT	Vitoria
2025-04-17	Vitoria	2 - 1 FT	Fortaleza EC
2025-02-20	Fortaleza EC	1 - 2 FT	Vitoria
2024-12-01	Vitoria	2 - 0 FT	Fortaleza EC
2024-07-18	Fortaleza EC	3 - 1 FT	Vitoria

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.92	Superbet
Draw	3.50	Betano
Away win	4.60	Betano
Over 2.5	2.15	Betano
Under 2.5	1.75	Betano
BTTS Yes	2.00	Bet365
BTTS No	1.85	Unibet

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+2'	Vitoria	Renato Kayzer	Card	Yellow Card
90+1'	Vitoria	Renato Kayzer	Goal	Assist: Emmanuel Martinez
90'	Vitoria	Lucas Arcanjo	Card	Yellow Card
88'	Fortaleza EC	Lucas Gazal	subst	Out: Kayke
85'	Vitoria	Rene	subst	Out: Renato Kayzer
84'	Vitoria	Matheuzinho	subst	Out: Osvaldo
83'	Fortaleza EC	Luan Freitas	subst	Out: Welliton
79'	Vitoria	Erick	subst	Out: Marinho
75'	Fortaleza EC	Luiz Fernando	subst	Out: T. Pochettino
75'	Fortaleza EC	Rodriguinho	subst	Out: Ryan
72'	Vitoria	Emmanuel Martinez	Goal	Assist: Erick
68'	Vitoria	D. Tarzia	Card	Yellow Card
63'	Vitoria	Ze Vitor	subst	Out: D. Tarzia
46'	Fortaleza EC	Mauricio Junior	subst	Out: Mailton
41'	Fortaleza EC	Mauricio Junior	Card	Yellow Card
27'	Fortaleza EC	Luiz Fernando	Goal	Assist: Rodriguinho

League Standings

Local standings cache · Copa do Nordeste 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Vitoria Playoffs	1	5	10	3	1	1	14	8	6	WWWWW
ASA Playoffs	2	5	9	2	3	0	7	4	3	LDDWD
Sousa	3	5	7	2	1	2	8	7	1	LDWLW
Fluminense PI	4	5	6	1	3	1	4	4	0	DDWLD
AO Itabaiana	5	5	3	0	3	2	4	8	-4	DDLLD
Confiança Playoffs	1	5	8	2	2	1	7	7	0	LDDWW
Juazeirense Playoffs	2	5	6	1	3	1	8	8	0	LDDLW
Botafogo PB	3	5	6	1	3	1	8	9	-1	DDLDW
CRB	4	5	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	WDLLD
Piauí	5	5	4	1	1	3	3	7	-4	DLLWL
Sport Recife Playoffs	1	5	12	4	0	1	11	3	8	LWWLW
Ceara Playoffs	2	5	10	3	1	1	11	6	5	LWWWL
Ferroviario	3	5	7	2	1	2	6	8	-2	LDWWL
America-RN	4	5	5	1	2	2	4	6	-2	LDLDW
Imperatriz	5	5	4	1	1	3	4	7	-3	WLDLL
ABC Playoffs	1	5	10	3	1	1	11	4	7	LLWWW
Fortaleza EC Playoffs	2	5	10	3	1	1	6	4	2	LLWLW
Retrô	3	5	10	3	1	1	7	6	1	WDLWW
Jacuipense	4	5	1	0	1	4	2	8	-6	LLLDL
Maranhão	5	5	1	0	1	4	4	14	-10	LLDLL