Nzoia Sugar 3-1 Fortune Sacco: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Nzoia Sugar 3-1 Fortune Sacco: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Super League 🌍 Kenya

Mon, Jun 1 2026 · 12:00

Nzoia Sugar

3 - 1

Fortune Sacco

🏆 Super League

🌍 Kenya

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.31

League avg: 0.90

Both

2.67

League avg: 2.50

Away

1.36

League avg: 1.60

1X2 Probability

Home

25%

ELO-based: 34%

Draw

24%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

51%

ELO-based: 42%

Goal Probability

2.5+

49%

3.5+

29%

BTTS

51%

Best Score Tips

1 - 112%

0 - 19%

1 - 09%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Nzoia Sugar vs Fortune Sacco

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Nzoia Sugar vs Fortune Sacco.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Fortune Sacco
		0	1	2	3	4
Nzoia Sugar	0	6.9%	9.4%	6.4%	2.9%	1.0%
	1	9.1%	12.3%	8.4%	3.8%	1.3%
	2	5.9%	8.1%	5.5%	2.5%	0.9%
	3	2.6%	3.5%	2.4%	1.1%	0.4%
	4	0.8%	1.1%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1468-25

League

1502±0

Away

1509-28

ELO Verdict

Away edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Nzoia Sugar	1468	1454	1495	1430	1578	-25
Fortune Sacco	1509	1489	1514	1552	1546	-28

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Nzoia Sugar	11	35	44	10	14	11	33	34	DDLLL
Fortune Sacco	7	35	57	16	9	10	56	38	DLWLL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Nzoia Sugar	5	13%	40%	20%	0.8	1.6
Fortune Sacco	5	27%	60%	0%	1.2	2.2

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Nzoia Sugar	0.9	1.0	0.9	0.9	1.1	1.0
Fortune Sacco	1.1	2.2	1.6	0.6	1.6	1.1

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Nzoia Sugar	0.9	0.9	1.0	0.9
Fortune Sacco	1.6	2.2	1.1	1.6

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Home Against
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60	50.00%
61-75
76-90	50.00%	100.00%

Team Comparison

33%

Form

67%

Attack

58%

Defense

42%

36%

Poisson

64%

33%

H2H

67%

17%

Goals

83%

36%

Total

64%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Nzoia Sugar	3-1	0-4	0-2	4-0	3 / 4	3 / 4
Fortune Sacco	4-0	0-9	0-4	4-3	4 / 9	4 / 4

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Nzoia Sugar	15	8	7	17	10	7
Fortune Sacco	14	11	3	7	6	1

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Nzoia Sugar	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Fortune Sacco	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2025-10-12	Fortune Sacco	0 - 0 FT	Nzoia Sugar
2025-04-06	Fortune Sacco	4 - 0 FT	Nzoia Sugar
2024-09-21	Nzoia Sugar	1 - 1 FT	Fortune Sacco
2022-11-05	Nzoia Sugar	—	Fortune Sacco

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

League Standings

Local standings cache · Super League 2025

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Migori Youth Promotion - Premier League	1	37	80	25	5	7	56	28	28	—
3K Promotion - Premier League	2	37	76	23	7	7	61	25	36	—
Mombasa Elite Promotion - Premier League	3	37	75	24	3	10	50	31	19	—
Equity Bank	4	37	71	20	11	6	54	28	26	—
MOFA	5	37	63	16	15	6	50	29	21	—
Naivas	6	37	60	17	9	11	46	29	17	—
Fortune Sacco	7	37	60	17	9	11	58	41	17	—
Talanta	8	37	57	16	9	12	51	38	13	—
Kibera Black Stars	9	37	53	15	8	14	32	32	0	—
Soy United	10	37	49	13	10	14	30	27	3	—
Nzoia Sugar	11	37	47	11	14	12	36	36	0	—
Luanda Villa	12	37	43	12	7	18	30	50	-20	—
Gucha Stars	13	37	41	11	8	18	32	39	-7	—
Nairobi City Stars	14	37	39	9	12	16	32	41	-9	—
Kabati Youth FC	15	37	38	10	8	19	31	51	-20	—
Kisumu All Stars	16	37	36	9	9	19	22	47	-25	—
Darajani Gogo Relegation	17	37	35	9	8	20	24	48	-24	—
MCF Relegation	18	37	34	9	10	18	24	39	-15	—
Vihiga United FC Relegation	19	37	30	9	9	19	29	54	-25	—
Mwatate United Relegation	20	37	25	6	7	24	27	62	-35	—