Sagan Tosu 1-0 Shonan Bellmare: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Sagan Tosu 1-0 Shonan Bellmare: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 J2/J3 League 🌍 Japan

Sat, Jun 6 2026 · 10:00

Sagan Tosu

1 - 0

Shonan Bellmare

🏆 J2/J3 League

🌍 Japan

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.34

League avg: 1.40

Both

2.64

League avg: 2.90

Away

1.30

League avg: 1.50

1X2 Probability

Home

32%

ELO-based: 48%

Draw

29%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

39%

ELO-based: 28%

Goal Probability

2.5+

50%

3.5+

29%

BTTS

53%

Best Score Tips

1 - 112%

1 - 010%

0 - 19%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Sagan Tosu vs Shonan Bellmare

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Sagan Tosu vs Shonan Bellmare.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Shonan Bellmare
		0	1	2	3	4
Sagan Tosu	0	7.1%	9.3%	6.0%	2.6%	0.9%
	1	9.5%	12.4%	8.1%	3.5%	1.1%
	2	6.4%	8.3%	5.4%	2.4%	0.8%
	3	2.9%	3.7%	2.4%	1.1%	0.3%
	4	1.0%	1.2%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1550-5

League

1486±0

Away

1455-54

ELO Verdict

Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Sagan Tosu	1550	1559	1534	1500	1590	-5
Shonan Bellmare	1455	1424	1476	1459	1487	-54

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Sagan Tosu	3	19	30	10	0	9	27	21	WWLLL
Shonan Bellmare	3	19	33	11	0	8	29	22	WLLLL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Sagan Tosu	5	40%	82%	27%	1.8	1.6
Shonan Bellmare	5	20%	27%	27%	0.6	1.6

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Sagan Tosu	1.6	1.3	1.4	1.0	1.2	1.1
Shonan Bellmare	1.3	1.8	1.5	1.3	1.0	1.2

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Sagan Tosu	1.4	1.6	1.1	1.0
Shonan Bellmare	1.5	1.8	1.2	1.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	8.00%	29.17%		17.39%
16-30	32.00%	4.17%	17.65%	30.43%
31-45	12.00%	8.33%	23.53%	13.04%
46-60	12.00%	20.83%	23.53%
61-75	16.00%	16.67%	5.88%	13.04%
76-90	20.00%	20.83%	29.41%	21.74%

Team Comparison

67%

Form

33%

75%

Attack

25%

Defense

46%

Poisson

54%

H2H

43%

Goals

57%

Total

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Sagan Tosu	4-0	0-2	2-3	3-1	4 / 2	3 / 3
Shonan Bellmare	4-0	1-3	0-2	3-1	4 / 3	2 / 3

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Sagan Tosu	8	3	5	3	2	1
Shonan Bellmare	5	2	3	2	2	0

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Sagan Tosu	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Shonan Bellmare	2	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2024-08-31	Sagan Tosu	1 - 2 FT	Shonan Bellmare
2024-05-06	Shonan Bellmare	2 - 1 FT	Sagan Tosu
2023-06-24	Shonan Bellmare	0 - 6 FT	Sagan Tosu
2023-02-18	Sagan Tosu	1 - 5 FT	Shonan Bellmare
2022-10-29	Shonan Bellmare	3 - 0 FT	Sagan Tosu
2022-02-26	Sagan Tosu	1 - 1 FT	Shonan Bellmare

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.20	Unibet
Draw	3.30	Marathonbet
Away win	3.65	Pinnacle
Over 2.5	2.11	SBO
Under 2.5	1.73	Marathonbet
BTTS Yes	1.91	William Hill
BTTS No	1.91	William Hill

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+1'	Sagan Tosu	K. Sakamoto	subst	Out: T. Ando
90+1'	Sagan Tosu	R. Shiohama	subst	Out: N. Sakai
89'	Shonan Bellmare	K. Tachi	subst	Out: G. Yamaguchi
88'	Sagan Tosu	K. Sakamoto	Goal	Normal Goal
82'	Sagan Tosu	N. Matsumoto	subst	Out: A. Toyoda
80'	Sagan Tosu	R. Hyon	subst	Out: R. Izawa
79'	Shonan Bellmare	Arthur Feitoza	subst	Out: N. Takahashi
79'	Shonan Bellmare	K. Onose	subst	Out: T. Fujii
62'	Shonan Bellmare	S. Ota	subst	Out: K. Watanabe
62'	Shonan Bellmare	N. Kase	subst	Out: H. Fukushima
17'	Shonan Bellmare	Arthur Feitoza	Card	Yellow Card

League Standings

Local standings cache · J2/J3 League 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Vegalta Sendai Playoffs	1	18	43	11	5	2	32	15	17	WWLWW
Blaublitz Akita Placement matches	2	18	35	11	2	5	23	14	9	LWWWL
Shonan Bellmare Placement matches	3	18	31	8	4	6	25	19	6	LLLLL
Yokohama FC Placement matches	4	18	29	8	3	7	34	27	7	WWWWW
Sagamihara Placement matches	5	18	28	7	5	6	31	33	-2	WWLLW
Thespakusatsu Gunma Placement matches	6	18	23	6	4	8	26	36	-10	LLWLL
Montedio Yamagata Placement matches	7	18	22	6	2	10	20	25	-5	LLWLL
Tochigi City Placement matches	8	18	21	5	4	9	20	33	-13	WWLWW
Vanraure Hachinohe Placement matches	9	18	20	4	6	8	15	19	-4	DLDWL
Tochigi SC Placement matches	10	18	18	4	5	9	23	28	-5	WLDLW
Ventforet Kofu Playoffs	1	18	35	10	3	5	21	13	8	LLLDW
Consadole Sapporo Placement matches	2	18	31	9	2	7	26	22	4	LLLWW
Iwaki Placement matches	3	18	31	7	6	5	22	18	4	LWWLL
Omiya Ardija Placement matches	4	18	30	9	2	7	38	28	10	WLWLL
Fujieda MYFC Placement matches	5	18	30	6	9	3	21	17	4	WLLWW
FC Gifu Placement matches	6	18	28	8	3	7	24	26	-2	LWLDW
Matsumoto Yamaga Placement matches	7	18	26	6	6	6	31	21	10	LWLWL
Jubilo Iwata Placement matches	8	18	25	5	6	7	16	23	-7	LLWLL
Fukushima United Placement matches	9	18	18	4	4	10	28	41	-13	DWWLW
Parceiro Nagano Placement matches	10	18	16	3	5	10	15	33	-18	WWWWL
Kataller Toyama Playoffs	1	18	38	10	5	3	37	24	13	LWLLW
Albirex Niigata Placement matches	2	18	35	9	5	4	21	17	4	WLWWL
Tokushima Vortis Placement matches	3	18	32	9	3	6	36	22	14	WWWWL
Kochi United Placement matches	4	18	30	8	4	6	23	21	2	LLLLW
Ehime FC Placement matches	5	18	28	8	3	7	25	18	7	LLLWL
Kanazawa Placement matches	6	18	27	5	7	6	15	21	-6	WLWWW
Nara Club Placement matches	7	18	21	5	4	9	25	34	-9	WWWLW
Osaka Placement matches	8	18	20	3	8	7	15	18	-3	WLWLL
Imabari Placement matches	9	18	20	5	4	9	14	18	-4	DLLLW
Kamatamare Sanuki Placement matches	10	18	19	5	3	10	14	32	-18	LWLWL
Tegevajaro Miyazaki Playoffs	1	18	47	15	2	1	35	11	24	WLLWW
Kagoshima United Placement matches	2	18	33	8	5	5	23	15	8	WWWWL
Sagan Tosu Placement matches	3	18	32	8	6	4	24	14	10	WLLLW
Renofa Yamaguchi Placement matches	4	18	29	7	5	6	24	22	2	LWLWL
Roasso Kumamoto Placement matches	5	18	27	8	2	8	20	20	0	LWWLL
Gainare Tottori Placement matches	6	18	27	6	5	7	20	24	-4	WWWWW
Oita Trinita Placement matches	7	18	22	6	3	9	18	18	0	WLLLL
Biwako Shiga Placement matches	8	18	21	6	2	10	15	28	-13	LWWWL
FC Ryukyu Placement matches	9	18	17	2	7	9	13	25	-12	DWWLW
Kitakyushu Placement matches	10	18	15	4	3	11	17	32	-15	LLLLL