Queen of the South 1-1 Kelty Hearts: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Queen of the South 1-1 Kelty Hearts: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 League Cup 🌍 Scotland

Sat, Jul 11 2026 · 14:00

PEN

Queen of the South

1 - 1

Kelty Hearts

🏆 League Cup

🌍 Scotland

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

0.15

League avg: 0.00

Both

0.30

League avg: 0.00

Away

0.15

League avg: 0.00

1X2 Probability

Home

14%

ELO-based: 51%

Draw

72%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

14%

ELO-based: 25%

Goal Probability

2.5+

3.5+

BTTS

10%

Best Score Tips

0 - 074%

0 - 111%

1 - 011%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Queen of the South vs Kelty Hearts

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Queen of the South vs Kelty Hearts.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Kelty Hearts
		0	1	2	3	4
Queen of the South	0	74.1%	11.1%	0.8%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	11.1%	1.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1514-5

League

1519±0

Away

1391-5

ELO Verdict

Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Queen of the South	1514	1491	1515	1568	1530	-5
Kelty Hearts	1391	1375	1470	1352	1398	-5

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Queen of the South	—	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—
Kelty Hearts	—	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Queen of the South	0	0%	0%	0%	0.0	0.0
Kelty Hearts	0	0%	0%	0%	0.0	0.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Queen of the South	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Kelty Hearts	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Queen of the South	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Kelty Hearts	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90

Team Comparison

Form

Attack

Defense

Poisson

85%

H2H

15%

67%

Goals

33%

76%

Total

24%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Queen of the South					0 / 0	0 / 0
Kelty Hearts					0 / 0	0 / 0

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Queen of the South	0	0	0	0	0	0
Kelty Hearts	0	0	0	0	0	0

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Queen of the South	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Kelty Hearts	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-04-04	Kelty Hearts	1 - 1 FT	Queen of the South
2026-01-10	Queen of the South	3 - 1 FT	Kelty Hearts
2025-11-15	Kelty Hearts	1 - 1 FT	Queen of the South
2025-08-30	Queen of the South	2 - 1 FT	Kelty Hearts
2025-04-19	Kelty Hearts	1 - 3 FT	Queen of the South
2025-03-01	Queen of the South	0 - 1 FT	Kelty Hearts

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.68	Unibet
Draw	4.20	Dafabet
Away win	5.50	Betfair
Over 2.5	1.62	Bet365
Under 2.5	2.35	10Bet
BTTS Yes	1.67	Bet365
BTTS No	2.25	Betfair

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
120+6'	Kelty Hearts	D. Corr	Goal	Penalty
120+6'	Queen of the South	J. Hannah	Goal	Missed Penalty
120+5'	Kelty Hearts	L. Moore	Goal	Missed Penalty
120+5'	Queen of the South	B. Luissint	Goal	Penalty
120+4'	Kelty Hearts	K. Higginbotham	Goal	Penalty
120+4'	Queen of the South	L. Smith	Goal	Penalty
120+3'	Kelty Hearts	A. Ferguson	Goal	Penalty
120+3'	Queen of the South	T. Charters	Goal	Penalty
120+2'	Kelty Hearts	C. McManus	Goal	Penalty
120+2'	Queen of the South	Z. MacKenzie	Goal	Missed Penalty
120+1'	Kelty Hearts	R. Cunningham	Goal	Missed Penalty
120+1'	Queen of the South	J. Stott	Goal	Missed Penalty
88'	Kelty Hearts	C. Flatman	subst	Out: G. Walker
87'	Queen of the South	N. Clark	subst	Out: B. Luissint
82'	Kelty Hearts	F. Moffett	subst	Out: C. Thomson
81'	Queen of the South	K. Guthrie	subst	Out: J. Kelly
69'	Kelty Hearts	R. Shanley	subst	Out: K. Higginbotham
66'	Queen of the South	C. McQueen	Card	Yellow Card
31'	Queen of the South	N. Clark	Goal	Assist: L. Smith
28'	Kelty Hearts	R. Cunningham	Goal	Assist: A. Ferguson