Italy U17 1-1 Spain U17: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Italy U17 1-1 Spain U17: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 UEFA U17 Championship 🌍 World

Thu, Jun 4 2026 · 17:00

PEN

Italy U17

1 - 1

Spain U17

🏆 UEFA U17 Championship

🌍 World

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

0.30

League avg: 2.30

Both

1.70

League avg: 4.60

Away

1.40

League avg: 2.30

1X2 Probability

Home

16%

ELO-based: 38%

Draw

32%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

52%

ELO-based: 38%

Goal Probability

2.5+

44%

3.5+

25%

BTTS

42%

Best Score Tips

0 - 126%

0 - 018%

0 - 218%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Italy U17 vs Spain U17

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Italy U17 vs Spain U17.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Spain U17
		0	1	2	3	4
Italy U17	0	18.2%	25.5%	17.8%	8.3%	2.9%
	1	5.5%	7.7%	5.4%	2.5%	0.9%
	2	0.8%	1.2%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%
	3	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1627+21

League

1559±0

Away

1627+6

ELO Verdict

Draw edge, Low confidence, high upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Italy U17	1627	1641	1548	1612	1594	+21
Spain U17	1627	1630	1545	1719	1609	+6

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Italy U17	1	3	7	2	1	0	7	3	WWD
Spain U17	2	3	6	2	0	1	7	4	WWL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Italy U17	3	78%	35%	85%	2.3	1.0
Spain U17	3	67%	35%	80%	2.3	1.3

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Italy U17	1.0	3.0	2.3	0.0	1.5	1.0
Spain U17	2.0	2.5	2.3	3.0	0.5	1.3

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Italy U17	2.3	1.0	1.0	0.0
Spain U17	2.3	2.5	1.3	0.5

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	14.29%	14.29%	33.33%	25.00%
16-30	28.57%	28.57%
31-45	28.57%	14.29%		25.00%
46-60	14.29%	28.57%	33.33%
61-75
76-90	14.29%	14.29%	33.33%	50.00%

Team Comparison

54%

Form

46%

Attack

57%

Defense

43%

Poisson

H2H

13%

Goals

88%

44%

Total

57%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Italy U17	1-0	0-3			1 / 3	0 / 3
Spain U17		1-4	2-3		2 / 4	3 / 1

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Italy U17	2	1	1	0	0	0
Spain U17	1	0	1	0	0	0

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Italy U17	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Spain U17	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-01-22	Spain U17	3 - 0 FT	Italy U17
2026-01-20	Spain U17	2 - 0 FT	Italy U17
2023-05-18	Italy U17	1 - 2 FT	Spain U17

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
120+4'	Spain U17	J. Pesquer	Goal	Penalty
120+4'	Italy U17	E. Rocca	Goal	Penalty
120+3'	Spain U17	E. Alves	Goal	Missed Penalty
120+3'	Italy U17	L. Dattilo	Goal	Penalty
120+2'	Spain U17	I. Mencia	Goal	Missed Penalty
120+2'	Italy U17	T. Casagrande	Goal	Penalty
120+1'	Spain U17	S. Mayans	Goal	Penalty
120+1'	Italy U17	T. Corigliano	Goal	Penalty
89'	Italy U17	G. Okon	subst	Out: F. Ballarin
88'	Italy U17	E. Rocca	Card	Yellow Card
78'	Spain U17	M. Urrestarazu	Goal	Normal Goal
78'	Spain U17	M. Valeiro	Card	Yellow Card
75'	Spain U17	A. Badji	subst	Out: M. Urrestarazu
75'	Spain U17	H. Junior	subst	Out: C. Fofana
73'	Italy U17	D. Perillo	subst	Out: J. Landi
65'	Spain U17	C. Imga	subst	Out: R. Gomez
61'	Italy U17	G. Okon	Card	Yellow Card
60'	Spain U17	S. Mayans	Card	Yellow Card
58'	Italy U17	F. Gasparello	subst	Out: E. Rocca
58'	Italy U17	F. Croci	subst	Out: T. Casagrande
57'	Spain U17	R. Tomas	subst	Out: E. Alves
46'	Italy U17	M. Albini	subst	Out: L. Dattilo
42'	Italy U17	F. Croci	Goal	Penalty
29'	Spain U17	C. Imga	Goal	Missed Penalty
28'	Italy U17	G. Bonifazi	Card	Yellow Card

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Belgium U17 Playoffs	1	3	6	2	0	1	3	1	2	DWWLW
Spain U17 Playoffs	2	3	6	2	0	1	7	4	3	LLWW
Croatia U17	3	3	6	2	0	1	6	5	1	WWL
Estonia U17	4	3	0	0	0	3	2	8	-6	LLL
Italy U17 Playoffs	1	3	7	2	1	0	7	3	4	DWDWW
France U17 Playoffs	2	3	6	2	0	1	9	1	8	LWWL
Denmark U17	3	3	4	1	1	1	5	8	-3	DLW
Montenegro U17	4	3	0	0	0	3	1	10	-9	LLL