La Luz 1-2 Paysandu: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

La Luz 1-2 Paysandu: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Segunda División 🌍 Uruguay

Sat, Jun 6 2026 · 18:00

La Luz

1 - 2

Paysandu

🏆 Segunda División

🌍 Uruguay

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.37

League avg: 0.80

Both

2.31

League avg: 1.60

Away

0.94

League avg: 0.80

1X2 Probability

Home

48%

ELO-based: 41%

Draw

28%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

24%

ELO-based: 35%

Goal Probability

2.5+

43%

3.5+

24%

BTTS

48%

Best Score Tips

1 - 014%

1 - 113%

0 - 010%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: La Luz vs Paysandu

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for La Luz vs Paysandu.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Paysandu
		0	1	2	3	4
La Luz	0	9.9%	9.3%	4.4%	1.4%	0.3%
	1	13.6%	12.8%	6.0%	1.9%	0.4%
	2	9.4%	8.8%	4.1%	1.3%	0.3%
	3	4.3%	4.0%	1.9%	0.6%	0.1%
	4	1.5%	1.4%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1472±0

League

1481±0

Away

1449-17

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Low confidence, high upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
La Luz	1472	1468	1476	1394	1529	±0
Paysandu	1449	1431	1481	1469	1492	-17

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
La Luz	10	10	13	2	7	1	8	7	DDDWD
Paysandu	14	10	5	1	2	7	8	14	LDLLL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
La Luz	5	47%	30%	90%	0.6	0.2
Paysandu	5	7%	50%	10%	1.0	1.8

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
La Luz	1.2	0.4	0.8	1.0	0.4	0.7
Paysandu	0.8	0.8	0.8	1.2	1.6	1.4

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
La Luz	0.8	1.2	0.7	1.0
Paysandu	0.8	0.8	1.4	1.6

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15			22.22%	7.14%
16-30	28.57%		22.22%
31-45	28.57%	25.00%	11.11%	42.86%
46-60	14.29%	25.00%		14.29%
61-75		25.00%	33.33%	14.29%
76-90	14.29%	25.00%	11.11%	14.29%

Team Comparison

88%

Form

13%

38%

Attack

63%

Defense

66%

Poisson

34%

H2H

Goals

71%

Total

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
La Luz	2-0		0-2		2 / 1	2 / 1
Paysandu	2-0		0-2	3-2	2 / 2	2 / 3

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
La Luz	5	2	3	5	2	3
Paysandu	1	1	0	5	3	2

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
La Luz	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Paysandu	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.17	Superbet
Draw	3.20	Bet365
Away win	4.45	Betano
Over 2.5	2.60	10Bet
Under 2.5	1.56	Unibet
BTTS Yes	2.20	10Bet
BTTS No	1.76	Unibet

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
67'	La Luz	J. Gottesman	Goal	Normal Goal
53'	Paysandu	E. Amaro	Goal	Normal Goal
5'	Paysandu	M. Cantera	Goal	Normal Goal

League Standings

Local standings cache · Segunda División 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Cerrito Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Apertura)	1	5	11	3	2	0	9	5	4	WWWDD
Tacuarembo	2	5	10	3	1	1	6	4	2	WLWWD
Atenas	3	5	9	3	0	2	8	6	2	LWWLW
Fenix	4	5	8	2	2	1	7	5	2	WDDLW
Plaza Colonia	5	5	7	2	1	2	4	4	0	DLWWL
CA River Plate	6	5	7	2	1	2	5	7	-2	LLWWD
Miramar	7	5	6	1	3	1	7	6	1	DWDLD
La Luz	8	5	6	1	3	1	4	3	1	LDWDD
Oriental	9	5	6	1	3	1	7	7	0	DWLDD
Sportivo Huracan	10	5	6	1	3	1	4	5	-1	DDLWD
Rentistas	11	5	5	1	2	2	4	6	-2	LDLWD
Paysandu	12	5	4	1	1	3	6	8	-2	WLLLD
Uruguay Montevideo	13	5	4	1	1	3	5	7	-2	LWLDL
Colón	14	5	4	1	1	3	3	6	-3	WLLLD
Fenix Promotion - Segunda Division (Torneo Competencia - Play Offs: Final)	1	6	11	3	2	1	13	7	6	WLWWD
Sportivo Huracan	2	6	10	2	4	0	9	6	3	DWWDD
Uruguay Montevideo	3	6	9	2	3	1	7	5	2	DWLWD
Cerrito	4	6	9	2	3	1	8	8	0	DDLWD
La Luz	5	6	7	1	4	1	5	6	-1	DLWDD
Atenas	6	6	4	1	1	4	5	11	-6	LWLLL
Tacuarembo	7	6	3	0	3	3	5	9	-4	DLLLD
Oriental Promotion - Segunda Division (Torneo Competencia - Play Offs: Final)	1	6	13	4	1	1	8	5	3	LWWWD
Plaza Colonia	2	6	12	3	3	0	9	2	7	WDDWW
Colón	3	6	9	2	3	1	8	5	3	DWDLD
Rentistas	4	6	9	2	3	1	6	5	1	DLWWD
Miramar	5	6	5	1	2	3	3	7	-4	DDLWL
Paysandu	6	6	4	1	1	4	4	7	-3	LDLLW
CA River Plate	7	6	4	1	1	4	6	13	-7	WLLLD
Cerrito Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Apertura)	1	11	20	5	5	1	17	13	4	WWWDD
Fenix Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Apertura)	2	11	19	5	4	2	20	12	8	WDDLW
Plaza Colonia Promotion - Segunda Division (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)	3	11	19	5	4	2	13	6	7	DLWWL
Oriental Promotion - Segunda Division (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)	4	11	19	5	4	2	15	12	3	DWLDD
Sportivo Huracan Promotion - Segunda Division (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)	5	11	16	3	7	1	13	11	2	DDLWD
Rentistas Promotion - Segunda Division (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)	6	11	14	3	5	3	10	11	-1	LDLWD
Uruguay Montevideo	7	11	13	3	4	4	12	12	0	LWLDL
Colón	8	11	13	3	4	4	11	11	0	WLLLD
La Luz	9	11	13	2	7	2	9	9	0	LDWDD
Tacuarembo	10	11	13	3	4	4	11	13	-2	WLWWD
Atenas	11	11	13	4	1	6	13	17	-4	LWWLW
Miramar	12	11	11	2	5	4	10	13	-3	DWDLD
CA River Plate	13	11	11	3	2	6	11	20	-9	LLWWD
Paysandu	14	11	8	2	2	7	10	15	-5	WLLLD
Plaza Colonia	1	11	19	5	4	2	13	6	7	DLWWL
Atenas	2	43	70	21	7	15	55	43	12	LWWLW
Oriental	3	43	69	18	15	10	53	44	9	DWLDD
Colón	4	43	67	18	13	12	54	34	20	WLLLD
Tacuarembo	5	43	64	16	16	11	46	41	5	WLWWD
Sportivo Huracan	6	11	16	3	7	1	13	11	2	DDLWD
Fenix	7	43	62	17	11	15	55	48	7	WDDLW
Rentistas	8	43	58	15	13	15	46	46	0	LDLWD
Cerrito	9	43	46	11	13	19	44	63	-19	WWWDD
La Luz	10	43	44	7	23	13	42	55	-13	LDWDD
Miramar	11	11	11	2	5	4	10	13	-3	DWDLD
CA River Plate	12	11	11	3	2	6	11	20	-9	LLWWD
Uruguay Montevideo Relegation	13	43	39	10	9	24	36	62	-26	LWLDL
Paysandu Relegation	14	11	8	2	2	7	10	15	-5	WLLLD