Lithuania 1-1 Latvia: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Lithuania 1-1 Latvia: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Baltic Cup 🌍 World

Sat, Jun 6 2026 · 13:00

PEN

Lithuania

1 - 1

Latvia

🏆 Baltic Cup

🌍 World

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

0.15

League avg: 0.00

Both

0.30

League avg: 0.00

Away

0.15

League avg: 0.00

1X2 Probability

Home

14%

ELO-based: 34%

Draw

72%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

14%

ELO-based: 42%

Goal Probability

2.5+

3.5+

BTTS

10%

Best Score Tips

0 - 074%

0 - 111%

1 - 011%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Lithuania vs Latvia

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Lithuania vs Latvia.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Latvia
		0	1	2	3	4
Lithuania	0	74.1%	11.1%	0.8%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	11.1%	1.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1433±0

League

1467±0

Away

1472±0

ELO Verdict

Away edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Lithuania	1433	1433	1472	1419	1444	±0
Latvia	1472	1472	1495	1421	1492	±0

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Lithuania	—	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—
Latvia	—	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Lithuania	0	0%	0%	0%	0.0	0.0
Latvia	0	0%	0%	0%	0.0	0.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Lithuania	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Latvia	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Lithuania	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Latvia	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90

Team Comparison

Form

Attack

Defense

Poisson

H2H

Goals

Total

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Lithuania					0 / 0	0 / 0
Latvia					0 / 0	0 / 0

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Lithuania	0	0	0	0	0	0
Latvia	0	0	0	0	0	0

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Lithuania	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Latvia	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2024-06-08	Latvia	0 - 2 FT	Lithuania
2021-06-04	Latvia	3 - 1 FT	Lithuania

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.42	Dafabet
Draw	3.35	Dafabet
Away win	2.95	Dafabet
Over 2.5	2.05	10Bet
Under 2.5	1.75	Bet365
BTTS Yes	1.80	Bet365
BTTS No	1.96	1xBet

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
120+6'	Lithuania	M. Burba	Goal	Penalty
120+6'	Latvia	K. Penkevics	Goal	Missed Penalty
120+5'	Lithuania	A. Novikovas	Goal	Penalty
120+5'	Latvia	A. Saveljevs	Goal	Penalty
120+4'	Lithuania	L. Michelbrink	Goal	Missed Penalty
120+4'	Latvia	A. Ciganiks	Goal	Penalty
120+3'	Lithuania	A. Kucys	Goal	Penalty
120+3'	Latvia	D. Melniks	Goal	Missed Penalty
120+2'	Lithuania	G. Gineitis	Goal	Penalty
120+2'	Latvia	M. Kigurs	Goal	Penalty
120+1'	Lithuania	E. Utkus	Goal	Penalty
120+1'	Latvia	M. Regza	Goal	Penalty
90+3'	Latvia	A. Ciganiks	Card	Yellow Card
90+2'	Latvia	K. Grabovskis	subst	Out: G. Zaleiko
83'	Latvia	L. Vapne	subst	Out: K. Penkevics
78'	Lithuania	M. Vorobjovas	subst	Out: A. Novikovas
75'	Latvia	R. Savalnieks	subst	Out: M. Kigurs
75'	Latvia	E. Emsis	subst	Out: A. Saveljevs
75'	Latvia	D. Sits	subst	Out: M. Regza
66'	Lithuania	D. Sluta	subst	Out: L. Michelbrink
66'	Lithuania	E. Jankauskas	subst	Out: M. Burba
64'	Lithuania	J. Lasickas	Card	Yellow Card
60'	Latvia	M. Tonisevs	Goal	Assist: A. Ciganiks
49'	Latvia	E. Emsis	Card	Yellow Card
46'	Latvia	V. Jagodinskis	subst	Out: M. Tonisevs
46'	Lithuania	T. Kalinauskas	subst	Out: M. Remeikis
31'	Latvia	V. Jagodinskis	Card	Yellow Card
28'	Lithuania	A. Kucys	Goal	Assist: E. Utkus