Real Estelí 3-1 Alianza: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Real Estelí 3-1 Alianza: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 CONCACAF Central American Cup 🌍 World

Wed, Aug 12 2026 · 02:00

Real Estelí

3 - 1

Alianza

🏆 CONCACAF Central American Cup

🌍 World

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

0.63

League avg: 2.00

Both

0.78

League avg: 3.50

Away

0.15

League avg: 1.50

1X2 Probability

Home

44%

ELO-based: 47%

Draw

47%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

ELO-based: 29%

Goal Probability

2.5+

21%

3.5+

BTTS

29%

Best Score Tips

0 - 046%

1 - 029%

2 - 09%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Real Estelí vs Alianza

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Real Estelí vs Alianza.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Alianza
		0	1	2	3	4
Real Estelí	0	46.0%	6.9%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	28.8%	4.3%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	9.0%	1.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	1.9%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1679+21

League

1600±0

Away

1597+11

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Real Estelí	1679	1724	1599	1675	1682	+21
Alianza	1597	1607	1562	1581	1598	+11

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Real Estelí	—	1	3	1	0	0	2	0	W
Alianza	—	2	6	2	0	0	3	1	WW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Real Estelí	1	100%	15%	100%	2.0	0.0
Alianza	2	100%	23%	92%	1.5	0.5

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Real Estelí	0.0	2.0	2.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Alianza	1.5	0.0	1.5	0.5	0.0	0.5

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Real Estelí	2.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Alianza	1.5	0.0	0.5	0.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Away Against
0-15
16-30		33.33%
31-45	50.00%
46-60		33.33%
61-75
76-90	50.00%	33.33%	100.00%

Team Comparison

33%

Form

67%

Attack

Defense

Poisson

H2H

Goals

37%

Total

64%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Real Estelí		0-2			0 / 2	0 / 0
Alianza	2-1				2 / 0	1 / 0

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Real Estelí	1	0	1	0	0	0
Alianza	1	1	0	0	0	0

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Real Estelí	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Alianza	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.68	Unibet
Draw	3.65	Dafabet
Away win	6.00	BetVictor
Over 2.5	2.30	Bet365
Under 2.5	1.75	Unibet
BTTS Yes	2.25	BetVictor
BTTS No	1.83	Unibet

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
89'	Real Estelí	J. Gutierrez	Goal	Assist: A. Baez
88'	Real Estelí	B. Bonilla	subst	Out: A. Baez
88'	Alianza	D. Romero	subst	Out: J. Barreto
86'	Alianza	W. Parra	Card	Yellow Card
85'	Alianza	B. Tamacas	subst	Out: J. Monteagudo
82'	Alianza	J. Portillo	subst	Out: F. Castillo
82'	Real Estelí	J. Toledo	Card	Yellow Card
76'	Real Estelí	R. Blanco	subst	Out: W. Talavera
76'	Real Estelí	A. Colombino	subst	Out: J. Toledo
66'	Real Estelí	J. Barrera	subst	Out: J. Quijano
66'	Real Estelí	E. Casado	subst	Out: E. Castillo
64'	Alianza	Gustavo Souza	Goal	Assist: E. A. Rivas Linares
61'	Real Estelí	O. Acevedo	Card	Yellow Card
56'	Real Estelí	A. Colombino	Card	Yellow Card
55'	Alianza	M. Mier	subst	Out: Gustavo Souza
55'	Alianza	M. Aguirre	subst	Out: E. A. Rivas Linares
53'	Alianza	J. Portillo	Card	Yellow Card
37'	Alianza	B. Tamacas	Card	Yellow Card
29'	Real Estelí	E. Casado	Goal	Assist: J. Barrera
22'	Real Estelí	I. Artola	subst	Out: A. Calero
4'	Real Estelí	H. Aranda	Goal	Assist: R. Blanco