Sport Boys 1-1 Alianza Lima: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Sport Boys 1-1 Alianza Lima: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Primera División 🌍 Peru

Sun, Aug 9 2026 · 01:00

Sport Boys

1 - 1

Alianza Lima

🏆 Primera División

🌍 Peru

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

0.84

League avg: 0.90

Both

1.55

League avg: 2.80

Away

0.71

League avg: 1.90

1X2 Probability

Home

28%

ELO-based: 24%

Draw

40%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

32%

ELO-based: 52%

Goal Probability

2.5+

36%

3.5+

19%

BTTS

42%

Best Score Tips

0 - 021%

1 - 018%

0 - 115%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Sport Boys vs Alianza Lima

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Sport Boys vs Alianza Lima.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Alianza Lima
		0	1	2	3	4
Sport Boys	0	21.2%	15.1%	5.4%	1.3%	0.2%
	1	17.8%	12.7%	4.5%	1.1%	0.2%
	2	7.5%	5.3%	1.9%	0.4%	0.1%
	3	2.1%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1488+30

League

1517±0

Away

1622+16

ELO Verdict

Away edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Sport Boys	1488	1515	1495	1437	1534	+30
Alianza Lima	1622	1640	1558	1626	1639	+16

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Sport Boys	5	20	26	7	5	8	18	20	DWLWW
Alianza Lima	1	20	47	14	5	1	37	12	WDWDW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Sport Boys	5	67%	36%	91%	0.8	0.2
Alianza Lima	5	73%	100%	55%	2.2	1.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Sport Boys	1.1	0.7	0.9	0.5	1.5	1.0
Alianza Lima	2.7	1.0	1.9	0.6	0.6	0.6

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Sport Boys	0.9	1.1	1.0	0.5
Alianza Lima	1.9	1.0	0.6	0.6

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	5.56%	8.57%	15.00%	7.14%
16-30	5.56%	14.29%	15.00%	14.29%
31-45	11.11%	25.71%	25.00%	21.43%
46-60	44.44%	11.43%	10.00%	28.57%
61-75		11.43%	15.00%	14.29%
76-90	33.33%	28.57%	20.00%	14.29%

Team Comparison

48%

Form

52%

27%

Attack

73%

83%

Defense

17%

43%

Poisson

57%

H2H

Goals

42%

Total

58%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Sport Boys	3-0	0-1	1-3	3-0	3 / 2	3 / 3
Alianza Lima	8-0	1-2		1-0	8 / 2	1 / 2

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Sport Boys	10	7	3	7	2	5
Alianza Lima	9	4	5	2	0	2

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Sport Boys	3	60.00%	2	40.00%	—	—
Alianza Lima	2	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-02-21	Alianza Lima	1 - 0 FT	Sport Boys
2025-10-17	Alianza Lima	3 - 1 FT	Sport Boys
2025-05-24	Sport Boys	0 - 1 FT	Alianza Lima
2024-09-22	Sport Boys	0 - 3 FT	Alianza Lima
2024-07-06	Sport Boys	0 - 1 FT	Alianza Lima
2024-04-19	Alianza Lima	3 - 0 FT	Sport Boys

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	4.00	Unibet
Draw	3.50	Betano
Away win	2.05	Betano
Over 2.5	2.30	Bet365
Under 2.5	1.62	10Bet
BTTS Yes	2.10	Bet365
BTTS No	1.80	Betfair

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Stats

Stat	Sport Boys	Alianza Lima
expected_goals	—	—
Ball Possession	37%	63%
Total Shots	7	11
Shots on Goal	2	2
Shots off Goal	3	7
Blocked Shots	2	2
Shots insidebox	3	6
Shots outsidebox	4	5
Corner Kicks	0	4
Offsides	2	1
Fouls	14	9
Yellow Cards	2	1
Red Cards	—	—
Goalkeeper Saves	1	1
Total passes	255	436
Passes accurate	190	360
Passes %	75%	83%
goals_prevented	—	—

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
89'	Alianza Lima	Paolo Guerrero	subst	Out: A. Cantero
88'	Sport Boys	L. Urruti	subst	Out: C. Lopez
88'	Sport Boys	L. Nequecaur	subst	Out: C. Cueva
79'	Alianza Lima	N. Diaz	Card	Yellow Card
72'	Sport Boys	P. Erustes	subst	Out: P. Liza
72'	Sport Boys	J. Alarcon	subst	Out: E. Gonzales
65'	Alianza Lima	F. Girotti	Goal	Assist: R. Garces
47'	Sport Boys	L. Urruti	Var	Goal Disallowed - handball
38'	Sport Boys	H. Riojas	Card	Yellow Card
28'	Sport Boys	J. Alarcon	Goal	Assist: L. Urruti
10'	Alianza Lima	M. Huaman	subst	Out: N. Diaz
8'	Sport Boys	L. Nequecaur	Card	Yellow Card

League Standings

Local standings cache · Primera División 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Alianza Lima Play-offs	1	17	40	12	4	1	30	8	22	DWDWD
Club Deportivo Los Chankas	2	17	34	10	4	3	25	21	4	DWLWD
Cienciano	3	17	33	10	3	4	34	22	12	LWLLW
Universitario	4	17	29	8	5	4	24	15	9	DLWWW
FBC Melgar	5	17	28	8	4	5	29	20	9	DWWWD
Cusco	6	17	27	8	3	6	21	24	-3	LWLWW
Deportivo Garcilaso	7	17	26	7	5	5	21	18	3	WWLWD
Alianza Atletico	8	17	21	5	6	6	20	18	2	WLWLL
Comerciantes Unidos	9	17	21	5	6	6	18	20	-2	WLDDL
ADT	10	17	20	5	5	7	22	21	1	DLLLL
Sport Boys	11	17	20	5	5	7	15	19	-4	DWWLW
Sporting Cristal	12	17	19	5	4	8	28	30	-2	DWLWL
UTC Cajamarca	13	17	18	4	6	7	21	26	-5	DLDLD
UCV Moquegua	14	17	18	5	3	9	17	24	-7	DDDLD
FC Cajamarca	15	17	17	4	5	8	23	28	-5	LLDDD
Atletico Grau	16	17	16	4	4	9	12	18	-6	DLLWW
Sport Huancayo	17	17	16	4	4	9	21	31	-10	DWWLL
Juan Pablo II College	18	17	16	4	4	9	22	40	-18	DLWDL
Alianza Lima Play-offs	1	4	8	2	2	0	8	5	3	DWDWD
Sport Huancayo	2	4	7	2	1	1	6	3	3	DWWLL
FBC Melgar	3	3	7	2	1	0	5	2	3	DWWWD
Sporting Cristal	4	4	7	2	1	1	5	3	2	DWLWL
Sport Boys	5	4	7	2	1	1	4	2	2	DWWLW
Club Deportivo Los Chankas	6	4	7	2	1	1	6	6	0	DWLWD
Universitario	7	4	7	2	1	1	5	5	0	DLWWW
Cusco	8	4	6	2	0	2	10	7	3	LWLWW
Deportivo Garcilaso	9	3	6	2	0	1	3	2	1	WWLWD
Alianza Atletico	10	4	6	2	0	2	6	8	-2	WLWLL
Comerciantes Unidos	11	4	5	1	2	1	9	8	1	WLDDL
Juan Pablo II College	12	4	5	1	2	1	4	4	0	DLWDL
Atletico Grau	13	4	4	1	1	2	3	4	-1	DLLWW
UCV Moquegua	14	3	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	DDDLD
Cienciano	15	4	3	1	0	3	3	6	-3	LWLLW
UTC Cajamarca	16	4	2	0	2	2	3	8	-5	DLDLD
FC Cajamarca	17	3	1	0	1	2	3	6	-3	LLDDD
ADT	18	4	1	0	1	3	2	6	-4	DLLLL