Metz 2-1 Guingamp: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Metz 2-1 Guingamp: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Ligue 2 🌍 France

Sat, Aug 8 2026 · 18:45

Metz

2 - 1

Guingamp

🏆 Ligue 2

🌍 France

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

0.15

League avg: 0.00

Both

0.30

League avg: 0.00

Away

0.15

League avg: 0.00

1X2 Probability

Home

14%

ELO-based: 43%

Draw

72%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

14%

ELO-based: 33%

Goal Probability

2.5+

3.5+

BTTS

10%

Best Score Tips

0 - 074%

0 - 111%

1 - 011%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Metz vs Guingamp

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Metz vs Guingamp.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Guingamp
		0	1	2	3	4
Metz	0	74.1%	11.1%	0.8%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	11.1%	1.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1470+9

League

1519±0

Away

1428-9

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Metz	1470	1508	1483	1602	1344	+9
Guingamp	1428	1390	1487	1481	1467	-9

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Metz	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—
Guingamp	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Metz	0	0%	0%	0%	0.0	0.0
Guingamp	0	0%	0%	0%	0.0	0.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Metz	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Guingamp	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Metz	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Guingamp	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90

Team Comparison

Form

Attack

Defense

Poisson

62%

H2H

38%

53%

Goals

47%

58%

Total

43%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Metz					0 / 0	0 / 0
Guingamp					0 / 0	0 / 0

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Metz	0	0	0	0	0	0
Guingamp	0	0	0	0	0	0

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Metz	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Guingamp	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2025-02-15	Guingamp	0 - 3 FT	Metz
2024-10-25	Metz	1 - 0 FT	Guingamp
2023-05-20	Guingamp	1 - 1 FT	Metz
2022-09-12	Metz	3 - 6 FT	Guingamp
2018-02-24	Guingamp	2 - 2 FT	Metz
2017-08-05	Metz	1 - 3 FT	Guingamp

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.20	Pinnacle
Draw	3.50	Betfair
Away win	3.60	Unibet
Over 2.5	2.04	SBO
Under 2.5	1.89	Marathonbet
BTTS Yes	1.80	Bet365
BTTS No	2.05	Betfair

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Stats

Stat	Metz	Guingamp
expected_goals	—	—
Ball Possession	41%	59%
Total Shots	15	12
Shots on Goal	7	7
Shots off Goal	3	5
Blocked Shots	5	0
Shots insidebox	10	8
Shots outsidebox	5	4
Corner Kicks	5	3
Offsides	0	1
Fouls	16	10
Yellow Cards	2	1
Red Cards	—	—
Goalkeeper Saves	6	5
Total passes	377	557
Passes accurate	321	489
Passes %	85%	88%
goals_prevented	—	—

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+2'	Metz	I. Mohamed	Card	Yellow Card
82'	Metz	G. Abuashvili	subst	Out: M. Bokele Mputu
79'	Metz	P. M. Fall	subst	Out: H. Diallo
79'	Metz	N. Mbala	subst	Out: N. Mendy
74'	Guingamp	J. Matumona	subst	Out: V. Muntu Wa Mungu
66'	Guingamp	T. Ahile	subst	Out: S. Ben Brahim
66'	Guingamp	A. Hemia	subst	Out: J. Chamakh
66'	Guingamp	J. Dianganga	subst	Out: D. Gomis
65'	Metz	B. Munongo	subst	Out: H. Kadamani
60'	Metz	G. Abuashvili	Goal	Assist: J. Deminguet
58'	Metz	P. M. Fall	Goal	Assist: M. Colin
57'	Guingamp	F. Sanchez Da Silva	subst	Out: T. Ducrocq
54'	Guingamp	A. Demouchy	Card	Yellow Card
51'	Guingamp	A. Demouchy	Goal	Assist: A. Hemia
30'	Metz	P. M. Fall	Goal	Missed Penalty
19'	Metz	J. Deminguet	Card	Yellow Card

League Standings

Local standings cache · Ligue 2 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Saint Etienne Promotion - Ligue 1	1	1	3	1	0	0	3	0	3	W
Dunkerque Promotion - Ligue 1	2	1	3	1	0	0	4	2	2	W
Rodez Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)	3	1	3	1	0	0	3	1	2	W
Metz Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)	4	1	3	1	0	0	2	1	1	W
Annecy Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)	5	1	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	W
RED Star FC 93	6	1	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	W
Dijon	7	1	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	D
Montpellier	8	1	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	D
Nancy	9	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	D
Boulogne	10	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	D
Clermont Foot	11	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	D
Reims	12	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	D
Guingamp	13	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	-1	L
Nantes	14	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	-1	L
PAU	15	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	-1	L
Grenoble Ligue 2 (Relegation)	16	1	0	0	0	1	2	4	-2	L
Laval Relegation - Ligue 3	17	1	0	0	0	1	1	3	-2	L
Sochaux Relegation - Ligue 3	18	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	-3	L