V-varen Nagasaki 2-1 Kyoto Sanga: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

V-varen Nagasaki 2-1 Kyoto Sanga: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 J1 League 🌍 Japan

Sun, Aug 9 2026 · 10:00

V-varen Nagasaki

2 - 1

Kyoto Sanga

🏆 J1 League

🌍 Japan

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

0.15

League avg: 0.00

Both

0.30

League avg: 0.00

Away

0.15

League avg: 0.00

1X2 Probability

Home

14%

ELO-based: 46%

Draw

72%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

14%

ELO-based: 30%

Goal Probability

2.5+

3.5+

BTTS

10%

Best Score Tips

0 - 074%

0 - 111%

1 - 011%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: V-varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto Sanga

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for V-varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto Sanga.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Kyoto Sanga
		0	1	2	3	4
V-varen Nagasaki	0	74.1%	11.1%	0.8%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	11.1%	1.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1578+8

League

1564±0

Away

1505-8

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
V-varen Nagasaki	1578	1612	1542	1557	1554	+8
Kyoto Sanga	1505	1471	1531	1534	1463	-8

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
V-varen Nagasaki	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—
Kyoto Sanga	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
V-varen Nagasaki	0	0%	0%	0%	0.0	0.0
Kyoto Sanga	0	0%	0%	0%	0.0	0.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
V-varen Nagasaki	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Kyoto Sanga	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
V-varen Nagasaki	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Kyoto Sanga	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90

Team Comparison

Form

Attack

Defense

Poisson

H2H

55%

Goals

45%

48%

Total

53%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
V-varen Nagasaki					0 / 0	0 / 0
Kyoto Sanga					0 / 0	0 / 0

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
V-varen Nagasaki	0	0	0	0	0	0
Kyoto Sanga	0	0	0	0	0	0

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
V-varen Nagasaki	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Kyoto Sanga	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-05-23	Kyoto Sanga	1 - 0 FT	V-varen Nagasaki
2026-03-18	V-varen Nagasaki	1 - 2 FT	Kyoto Sanga
2021-10-02	V-varen Nagasaki	2 - 0 FT	Kyoto Sanga
2021-07-03	Kyoto Sanga	0 - 2 FT	V-varen Nagasaki
2020-12-02	Kyoto Sanga	2 - 1 FT	V-varen Nagasaki
2020-07-25	V-varen Nagasaki	1 - 0 FT	Kyoto Sanga

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.99	Pinnacle
Draw	3.30	Betfair
Away win	2.58	Pinnacle
Over 2.5	2.17	SBO
Under 2.5	1.74	Pinnacle
BTTS Yes	1.87	Betfair
BTTS No	1.95	William Hill

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Stats

Stat	V-varen Nagasaki	Kyoto Sanga
expected_goals	—	—
Ball Possession	42%	58%
Total Shots	16	10
Shots on Goal	4	3
Shots off Goal	9	3
Blocked Shots	3	4
Shots insidebox	10	6
Shots outsidebox	6	4
Corner Kicks	7	4
Offsides	0	2
Fouls	10	13
Yellow Cards	1	3
Red Cards	—	—
Goalkeeper Saves	2	2
Total passes	327	460
Passes accurate	242	379
Passes %	74%	82%
goals_prevented	—	—

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+3'	V-varen Nagasaki	H. Onaga	Card	Yellow Card
88'	V-varen Nagasaki	M. Sekiguchi	subst	Out: R. Shindo
87'	Kyoto Sanga	H. Arai	subst	Out: S. Nagasawa
86'	V-varen Nagasaki	R. Yamada	subst	Out: Diego Pituca
86'	V-varen Nagasaki	Y. Iwasaki	subst	Out: Emerson Deocleciano
78'	Kyoto Sanga	Rafael Elias	Card	Yellow Card
76'	Kyoto Sanga	K. Nagata	subst	Out: Y. Suzuki
73'	V-varen Nagasaki	Thiago	subst	Out: R. Yamasaki
69'	Kyoto Sanga	R. Kato	subst	Out: T. Kato
63'	V-varen Nagasaki	Dudu Giusti	subst	Out: I. Arai
54'	Kyoto Sanga	Rafael Elias	Goal	Assist: R. Kato
50'	Kyoto Sanga	Weverton	Card	Yellow Card
46'	Kyoto Sanga	Henrique Trevisan	subst	Out: K. Nagata
46'	Kyoto Sanga	T. Hirato	subst	Out: Souza Alex
46'	Kyoto Sanga	S. Fukuoka	subst	Out: S. Yoon
34'	Kyoto Sanga	Joao Pedro	Card	Yellow Card
29'	V-varen Nagasaki	Thiago	Goal	Assist: Y. Iwasaki
11'	V-varen Nagasaki	Thiago	Goal	Normal Goal

League Standings

Local standings cache · J1 League 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Kashima Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)	1	18	45	15	3	31	11	20	—
FC Tokyo Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)	2	18	37	13	5	32	18	14	—
Machida Zelvia Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)	3	18	37	13	5	28	22	6	—
Kawasaki Frontale Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)	4	18	28	10	8	26	28	-2	—
Tokyo Verdy Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)	5	18	28	10	8	22	26	-4	—
Urawa Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)	6	18	25	7	11	25	22	3	—
Yokohama F. Marinos Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)	7	18	20	6	12	28	31	-3	—
Kashiwa Reysol Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)	8	18	20	7	11	22	24	-2	—
Mito Hollyhock Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)	9	18	18	6	12	23	39	-16	—
JEF United Chiba Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)	10	18	12	3	15	18	34	-16	—
Vissel Kobe Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)	1	18	35	11	7	29	25	4	—
Cerezo Osaka Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)	2	18	31	11	7	30	21	9	—
Nagoya Grampus Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)	3	18	31	10	8	33	31	2	—
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)	4	18	30	10	8	31	23	8	—
Gamba Osaka Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)	5	18	28	10	8	31	25	6	—
Fagiano Okayama Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)	6	18	26	8	10	26	29	-3	—
Shimizu S-pulse Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)	7	18	24	8	10	23	25	-2	—
Kyoto Sanga Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)	8	18	23	8	10	22	28	-6	—
V-varen Nagasaki Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)	9	18	21	7	11	21	29	-8	—
Avispa Fukuoka Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)	10	18	21	7	11	21	31	-10	—