Maidenhead 1-4 Milton Keynes Dons: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Maidenhead 1-4 Milton Keynes Dons: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

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Fri, Jul 10 2026 · 18:30

Maidenhead

1 - 4

Milton Keynes Dons

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Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

0.15

League avg: 0.00

Both

0.30

League avg: 0.00

Away

0.15

League avg: 0.00

1X2 Probability

Home

14%

ELO-based: 32%

Draw

72%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

14%

ELO-based: 44%

Goal Probability

2.5+

3.5+

BTTS

10%

Best Score Tips

0 - 074%

0 - 111%

1 - 011%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Maidenhead vs Milton Keynes Dons

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Maidenhead vs Milton Keynes Dons.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Milton Keynes Dons
		0	1	2	3	4
Maidenhead	0	74.1%	11.1%	0.8%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	11.1%	1.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1559-16

League

1523±0

Away

1614+16

ELO Verdict

Away edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Maidenhead	1559	1488	1521	1509	1617	-16
Milton Keynes Dons	1614	1684	1544	1646	1571	+16

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Maidenhead	—	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—
Milton Keynes Dons	—	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Maidenhead	0	0%	0%	0%	0.0	0.0
Milton Keynes Dons	0	0%	0%	0%	0.0	0.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Maidenhead	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Milton Keynes Dons	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Maidenhead	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Milton Keynes Dons	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90

Team Comparison

Form

Attack

Defense

Poisson

H2H

Goals

Total

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Maidenhead					0 / 0	0 / 0
Milton Keynes Dons					0 / 0	0 / 0

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Maidenhead	0	0	0	0	0	0
Milton Keynes Dons	0	0	0	0	0	0

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Maidenhead	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Milton Keynes Dons	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	10.50	Marathonbet
Draw	5.50	Marathonbet
Away win	1.30	Dafabet
Over 2.5	1.50	Bet365
Under 2.5	2.55	Betfair
BTTS Yes	1.85	Betfair
BTTS No	1.92	Superbet

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
76'	Milton Keynes Dons	R. Hepburn-Murphy	Goal	Normal Goal
54'	Milton Keynes Dons	R. Hepburn-Murphy	Goal	Normal Goal
52'	Maidenhead	A. Pendlebury	Goal	Normal Goal
49'	Milton Keynes Dons	J. Perniskie	Goal	Normal Goal
2'	Milton Keynes Dons	K. Lewis-Burgess	Goal	Normal Goal