AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Almere City FC: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Almere City FC: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

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Sat, Jul 11 2026 · 11:00

AZ Alkmaar

2 - 1

Almere City FC

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🌍 World

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

2.49

League avg: 3.00

Both

4.31

League avg: 4.50

Away

1.82

League avg: 1.50

1X2 Probability

Home

48%

ELO-based: 50%

Draw

24%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

28%

ELO-based: 26%

Goal Probability

2.5+

71%

3.5+

47%

BTTS

69%

Best Score Tips

2 - 18%

2 - 27%

3 - 16%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: AZ Alkmaar vs Almere City FC

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for AZ Alkmaar vs Almere City FC.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Almere City FC
		0	1	2	3	4
AZ Alkmaar	0	1.3%	2.4%	2.2%	1.4%	0.6%
	1	3.3%	6.1%	5.5%	3.4%	1.5%
	2	4.2%	7.6%	6.9%	4.2%	1.9%
	3	3.5%	6.3%	5.7%	3.5%	1.6%
	4	2.1%	3.9%	3.6%	2.2%	1.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1644+1

League

1523±0

Away

1528+2

ELO Verdict

Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
AZ Alkmaar	1644	1651	1617	1749	1589	+1
Almere City FC	1528	1530	1501	1651	1446	+2

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
AZ Alkmaar	—	1	1	0	1	0	3	3	D
Almere City FC	—	2	3	1	0	1	3	3	WL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
AZ Alkmaar	1	33%	17%	83%	3.0	3.0
Almere City FC	2	50%	17%	83%	1.5	1.5

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
AZ Alkmaar	3.0	0.0	3.0	3.0	0.0	3.0
Almere City FC	2.0	1.0	1.5	1.0	2.0	1.5

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
AZ Alkmaar	3.0	3.0	3.0	3.0
Almere City FC	1.5	1.0	1.5	2.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Home Against
0-15
16-30
31-45	33.33%	33.33%
46-60	33.33%
61-75
76-90	33.33%	66.67%

Team Comparison

25%

Form

75%

Attack

Defense

61%

Poisson

39%

75%

H2H

25%

75%

Goals

25%

56%

Total

44%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
AZ Alkmaar					3 / 0	3 / 0
Almere City FC	2-1			2-1	2 / 1	1 / 2

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
AZ Alkmaar	0	0	0	0	0	0
Almere City FC	0	0	0	0	0	0

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
AZ Alkmaar	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Almere City FC	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2025-05-18	AZ Alkmaar	1 - 1 FT	Almere City FC
2024-08-10	Almere City FC	0 - 1 FT	AZ Alkmaar
2024-02-10	Almere City FC	0 - 0 FT	AZ Alkmaar
2023-12-09	AZ Alkmaar	4 - 1 FT	Almere City FC
2022-07-02	Almere City FC	—	AZ Alkmaar
2017-10-26	Almere City FC	0 - 4 FT	AZ Alkmaar

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.