Motor Lublin 2-1 Polonia Warszawa: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Motor Lublin 2-1 Polonia Warszawa: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

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Sat, Jul 11 2026 · 10:00

Motor Lublin

2 - 1

Polonia Warszawa

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🌍 World

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Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

3.37

League avg: 4.30

Both

4.70

League avg: 5.80

Away

1.33

League avg: 1.50

1X2 Probability

Home

85%

ELO-based: 47%

Draw

10%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

ELO-based: 29%

Goal Probability

2.5+

73%

3.5+

49%

BTTS

64%

Best Score Tips

3 - 18%

2 - 17%

4 - 17%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Motor Lublin vs Polonia Warszawa

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Motor Lublin vs Polonia Warszawa.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Polonia Warszawa
		0	1	2	3	4
Motor Lublin	0	0.9%	1.2%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%
	1	3.1%	4.1%	2.7%	1.2%	0.4%
	2	5.2%	6.9%	4.6%	2.0%	0.7%
	3	5.8%	7.7%	5.1%	2.3%	0.8%
	4	4.9%	6.5%	4.3%	1.9%	0.6%

ELO Overview

Home

1581+55

League

1523±0

Away

1494-39

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Motor Lublin	1581	1631	1556	1645	1469	+55
Polonia Warszawa	1494	1472	1536	1515	1470	-39

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Motor Lublin	—	4	12	4	0	0	17	4	WWWW
Polonia Warszawa	—	6	9	3	0	3	9	12	LWWLL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Motor Lublin	4	100%	65%	85%	4.3	1.0
Polonia Warszawa	5	60%	31%	65%	1.6	1.8

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Motor Lublin	4.3	0.0	4.3	1.0	0.0	1.0
Polonia Warszawa	1.8	1.0	1.5	1.5	3.0	2.0

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Motor Lublin	4.3	4.3	1.0	1.0
Polonia Warszawa	1.5	1.0	2.0	3.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	12.50%			25.00%
16-30	6.25%	33.33%	40.00%
31-45	12.50%	33.33%	20.00%	12.50%
46-60	18.75%	33.33%		12.50%
61-75	25.00%			25.00%
76-90	18.75%		20.00%	25.00%

Team Comparison

57%

Form

43%

68%

Attack

32%

69%

Defense

31%

87%

Poisson

13%

62%

H2H

38%

55%

Goals

45%

66%

Total

34%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Motor Lublin	5-1				5 / 0	1 / 0
Polonia Warszawa	3-2		0-2	3-0	3 / 2	2 / 3

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Motor Lublin	0	0	0	0	0	0
Polonia Warszawa	0	0	0	2	1	1

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Motor Lublin	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Polonia Warszawa	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2024-03-09	Motor Lublin	1 - 1 FT	Polonia Warszawa
2024-02-10	Motor Lublin	3 - 2 FT	Polonia Warszawa
2023-08-26	Polonia Warszawa	0 - 1 FT	Motor Lublin
2023-06-04	Polonia Warszawa	1 - 1 FT	Motor Lublin
2022-10-29	Motor Lublin	0 - 1 FT	Polonia Warszawa

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
85'	Motor Lublin	M. Ndiaye	subst	Out: K. Kraska
85'	Motor Lublin	K. Czubak	subst	Out: D. Gregorski
81'	Polonia Warszawa		Card	Yellow Card
77'	Motor Lublin	F. Lewandowski	Goal	Normal Goal
71'	Motor Lublin	Kikis	subst	Out: M. Zlomanczuk
54'	Motor Lublin	P. Meyer	Goal	Normal Goal
46'	Motor Lublin	I. Rodrigues	subst	Out: M. Legowski
30'	Polonia Warszawa	E. Terpilowski	Card	Yellow Card
17'	Polonia Warszawa	S. Skrabb	Goal	Normal Goal