FC Rostov 2-1 Fakel: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

FC Rostov 2-1 Fakel: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Friendlies Clubs 🌍 World

Wed, Jul 15 2026 · 15:00

FC Rostov

2 - 1

Fakel

🏆 Friendlies Clubs

🌍 World

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.08

League avg: 1.60

Both

1.71

League avg: 3.40

Away

0.63

League avg: 1.80

1X2 Probability

Home

42%

ELO-based: 30%

Draw

40%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

18%

ELO-based: 46%

Goal Probability

2.5+

42%

3.5+

23%

BTTS

45%

Best Score Tips

1 - 020%

0 - 018%

1 - 112%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: FC Rostov vs Fakel

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for FC Rostov vs Fakel.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Fakel
		0	1	2	3	4
FC Rostov	0	18.1%	11.3%	3.6%	0.7%	0.1%
	1	19.6%	12.3%	3.9%	0.8%	0.1%
	2	10.6%	6.6%	2.1%	0.4%	0.1%
	3	3.8%	2.4%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%
	4	1.0%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1502-2

League

1523±0

Away

1578-7

ELO Verdict

Away edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
FC Rostov	1502	1513	1442	1472	1549	-2
Fakel	1578	1573	1521	1518	1630	-7

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
FC Rostov	—	10	12	3	3	4	16	16	LLDLD
Fakel	—	10	17	4	5	1	18	11	WLWWD

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
FC Rostov	5	13%	25%	50%	1.4	2.8
Fakel	5	67%	36%	86%	2.0	0.8

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
FC Rostov	1.5	1.8	1.6	0.3	3.5	1.6
Fakel	3.0	1.0	1.8	1.5	0.8	1.1

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
FC Rostov	1.6	1.5	1.6	0.3
Fakel	1.8	1.0	1.1	0.8

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	14.29%	28.57%		50.00%
16-30	28.57%	14.29%	12.50%
31-45			25.00%	16.67%
46-60	28.57%	28.57%	25.00%	16.67%
61-75	14.29%	28.57%	25.00%
76-90	14.29%		12.50%	16.67%

Team Comparison

17%

Form

83%

41%

Attack

59%

22%

Defense

78%

75%

Poisson

25%

H2H

69%

Goals

31%

51%

Total

49%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
FC Rostov	3-0		0-1	5-2	3 / 3	1 / 5
Fakel	5-1	0-1		1-0	5 / 2	3 / 2

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
FC Rostov	4	4	0	2	2	0
Fakel	2	0	2	1	0	1

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
FC Rostov	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Fakel	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-07-07	Fakel	3 - 1 FT	FC Rostov
2025-04-20	Fakel	0 - 2 FT	FC Rostov
2024-09-01	FC Rostov	4 - 1 FT	Fakel
2024-06-27	Fakel	0 - 1 FT	FC Rostov
2024-04-14	Fakel Voronezh	0 - 1 FT	FC Rostov
2023-07-23	FC Rostov	2 - 1 FT	Fakel Voronezh

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.84	1xBet
Draw	3.54	Marathonbet
Away win	4.15	Marathonbet
Over 2.5	1.84	Marathonbet
Under 2.5	1.93	Marathonbet
BTTS Yes	1.72	Marathonbet
BTTS No	2.01	1xBet

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.