FC Lugano 5-0 FC Zurich: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

FC Lugano 5-0 FC Zurich: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Super League 🌍 Switzerland

Sun, Aug 9 2026 · 12:00

FC Lugano

5 - 0

FC Zurich

🏆 Super League

🌍 Switzerland

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.93

League avg: 3.00

Both

3.04

League avg: 4.50

Away

1.11

League avg: 1.50

1X2 Probability

Home

55%

ELO-based: 61%

Draw

26%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

19%

ELO-based: 15%

Goal Probability

2.5+

57%

3.5+

34%

BTTS

61%

Best Score Tips

1 - 110%

2 - 110%

1 - 09%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: FC Lugano vs FC Zurich

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for FC Lugano vs FC Zurich.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		FC Zurich
		0	1	2	3	4
FC Lugano	0	4.8%	5.3%	2.9%	1.1%	0.3%
	1	9.3%	10.2%	5.7%	2.1%	0.6%
	2	8.9%	9.9%	5.5%	2.0%	0.6%
	3	5.8%	6.4%	3.5%	1.3%	0.4%
	4	2.8%	3.1%	1.7%	0.6%	0.2%

ELO Overview

Home

1670+26

League

1575±0

Away

1428+5

ELO Verdict

Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
FC Lugano	1670	1706	1554	1686	1661	+26
FC Zurich	1428	1435	1465	1526	1348	+5

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
FC Lugano	1	2	6	2	0	0	6	2	WW
FC Zurich	8	2	3	1	0	1	3	3	LW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
FC Lugano	2	100%	30%	90%	3.0	1.0
FC Zurich	2	50%	15%	85%	1.5	1.5

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
FC Lugano	2.0	4.0	3.0	1.0	1.0	1.0
FC Zurich	2.0	1.0	1.5	1.0	2.0	1.5

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
FC Lugano	3.0	2.0	1.0	1.0
FC Zurich	1.5	1.0	1.5	2.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15
16-30	16.67%		50.00%
31-45	16.67%	33.33%
46-60	16.67%	33.33%
61-75	16.67%		50.00%	66.67%
76-90	33.33%	33.33%		33.33%

Team Comparison

67%

Form

33%

67%

Attack

33%

Defense

83%

Poisson

17%

H2H

64%

Goals

36%

Total

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
FC Lugano	2-1	1-4			2 / 4	1 / 1
FC Zurich	2-1			2-1	2 / 1	1 / 2

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0
FC Zurich	0	0	0	0	0	0

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
FC Lugano	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
FC Zurich	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-04-11	FC Zurich	0 - 1 FT	FC Lugano
2025-12-17	FC Zurich	0 - 1 FT	FC Lugano
2025-10-18	FC Lugano	1 - 0 FT	FC Zurich
2025-03-02	FC Lugano	0 - 3 FT	FC Zurich
2024-11-24	FC Lugano	4 - 1 FT	FC Zurich
2024-10-06	FC Zurich	1 - 1 FT	FC Lugano

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.54	Pinnacle
Draw	4.59	Pinnacle
Away win	6.00	Betfair
Over 2.5	1.57	Bet365
Under 2.5	2.49	Pinnacle
BTTS Yes	1.65	Unibet
BTTS No	2.30	Betfair

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Stats

Stat	FC Lugano	FC Zurich
expected_goals	2.46	0.96
Ball Possession	62%	38%
Total Shots	16	9
Shots on Goal	8	1
Shots off Goal	5	7
Blocked Shots	3	1
Shots insidebox	8	7
Shots outsidebox	8	2
Corner Kicks	5	2
Offsides	2	1
Fouls	12	14
Yellow Cards	0	3
Red Cards	—	—
Goalkeeper Saves	1	3
Total passes	558	336
Passes accurate	502	289
Passes %	90%	86%
goals_prevented	-2.18	-2.18

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
89'	FC Lugano	D. Moncada	Goal	Normal Goal
80'	FC Lugano	R. Steffen	subst	Out: M. Marques
80'	FC Lugano	H. Delcroix	subst	Out: D. Kelvin
79'	FC Lugano	D. Dos Santos	Goal	Assist: M. Zanotti
70'	FC Lugano	U. Bislimi	subst	Out: A. Kendouci
70'	FC Lugano	K. Behrens	subst	Out: D. Moncada
67'	FC Zurich	U. Emmanuel	subst	Out: N. Di Giusto
67'	FC Zurich	L. Schodler	subst	Out: M. Bangoura
62'	FC Lugano	E. Pihlstrom	subst	Out: D. Dos Santos
52'	FC Lugano	R. Steffen	Goal	Assist: D. von Ballmoos
45+1'	FC Zurich	L. Comenencia	Card	Yellow Card
44'	FC Zurich	B. Krasniqi	subst	Out: J. Perea
44'	FC Zurich	V. Berisha	subst	Out: K. Spadanuda
34'	FC Lugano	K. Behrens	Goal	Assist: A. Grgic
33'	FC Zurich	V. Berisha	Card	Yellow Card
20'	FC Zurich	S. Hodza	Card	Yellow Card
16'	FC Lugano	K. Behrens	Goal	Assist: H. Delcroix

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
FC Lugano Play-offs	1	3	9	3	0	0	11	2	9	WWW
BSC Young Boys Play-offs	2	3	7	2	1	0	12	4	8	DWW
FC ST. Gallen Play-offs	3	3	7	2	1	0	7	5	2	DWW
FC Sion Play-offs	4	3	6	2	0	1	8	6	2	WWL
FC Basel 1893 Play-offs	5	3	6	2	0	1	5	3	2	WLW
Lausanne Play-offs	6	3	5	1	2	0	4	3	1	DWD
Servette FC Relegation Play-offs	7	3	3	1	0	2	3	4	-1	WLL
FC Zurich Relegation Play-offs	8	3	3	1	0	2	3	8	-5	LWL
FC Thun Relegation Play-offs	9	3	3	1	0	2	5	11	-6	LLW
Grasshoppers Relegation Play-offs	10	3	1	0	1	2	3	7	-4	LLD
FC Luzern Relegation Play-offs	11	3	1	0	1	2	3	8	-5	DLL
FC Vaduz Relegation Play-offs	12	3	0	0	0	3	5	8	-3	LLL