Heart Of Midlothian 4-0 Dundee Utd: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Heart Of Midlothian 4-0 Dundee Utd: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Premiership 🌍 Scotland

Sun, Aug 9 2026 · 14:00

Heart Of Midlothian

4 - 0

Dundee Utd

🏆 Premiership

🌍 Scotland

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

0.64

League avg: 1.00

Both

2.28

League avg: 2.00

Away

1.64

League avg: 1.00

1X2 Probability

Home

22%

ELO-based: 49%

Draw

29%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

49%

ELO-based: 27%

Goal Probability

2.5+

36%

3.5+

19%

BTTS

50%

Best Score Tips

0 - 117%

0 - 214%

1 - 111%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Dundee Utd
		0	1	2	3	4
Heart Of Midlothian	0	10.3%	16.8%	13.8%	7.6%	3.1%
	1	6.5%	10.7%	8.8%	4.8%	2.0%
	2	2.1%	3.4%	2.8%	1.5%	0.6%
	3	0.4%	0.7%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%
	4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1624-13

League

1591±0

Away

1523+2

ELO Verdict

Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Heart Of Midlothian	1624	1567	1600	1636	1598	-13
Dundee Utd	1523	1532	1467	1511	1514	+2

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Heart Of Midlothian	10	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	L
Dundee Utd	7	1	1	0	1	0	1	1	D

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Heart Of Midlothian	1	0%	6%	88%	1.0	2.0
Dundee Utd	1	33%	6%	94%	1.0	1.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Heart Of Midlothian	0.0	1.0	1.0	0.0	2.0	2.0
Dundee Utd	1.0	0.0	1.0	1.0	0.0	1.0

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Heart Of Midlothian	1.0	0.0	2.0	0.0
Dundee Utd	1.0	0.0	1.0	0.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15
16-30
31-45	100.00%	100.00%
46-60				100.00%
61-75
76-90			50.00%

Team Comparison

Form

Attack

33%

Defense

67%

Poisson

71%

H2H

29%

67%

Goals

33%

55%

Total

45%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Heart Of Midlothian				2-1	0 / 1	0 / 2
Dundee Utd					1 / 0	1 / 0

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0
Dundee Utd	0	0	0	0	0	0

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Heart Of Midlothian	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Dundee Utd	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-01-31	Dundee Utd	0 - 3 FT	Heart Of Midlothian
2025-11-09	Heart Of Midlothian	1 - 1 FT	Dundee Utd
2025-08-10	Dundee Utd	2 - 3 FT	Heart Of Midlothian
2025-04-06	Heart Of Midlothian	0 - 1 FT	Dundee Utd
2025-01-05	Dundee Utd	0 - 1 FT	Heart Of Midlothian
2024-09-01	Heart Of Midlothian	0 - 1 FT	Dundee Utd

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.70	Pinnacle
Draw	4.33	Bet365
Away win	5.00	10Bet
Over 2.5	1.76	Pinnacle
Under 2.5	2.15	Betano
BTTS Yes	1.80	Bet365
BTTS No	2.05	10Bet

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Stats

Stat	Heart Of Midlothian	Dundee Utd
expected_goals	2.12	0.54
Ball Possession	42%	58%
Total Shots	12	10
Shots on Goal	7	0
Shots off Goal	2	4
Blocked Shots	3	6
Shots insidebox	10	7
Shots outsidebox	2	3
Corner Kicks	7	2
Offsides	4	1
Fouls	11	11
Yellow Cards	1	2
Red Cards	—	—
Goalkeeper Saves	0	3
Total passes	351	495
Passes accurate	271	402
Passes %	77%	81%
goals_prevented	-0.46	-0.46

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
84'	Heart Of Midlothian	C. Braga	subst	Out: J. Wilson
73'	Heart Of Midlothian	J. Altena	subst	Out: C. Borchgrevink
73'	Dundee Utd	J. Randall	subst	Out: N. Farrugia
73'	Dundee Utd	V. Sevelj	subst	Out: P. Camara
72'	Heart Of Midlothian	J. McPake	subst	Out: R. Mato
67'	Heart Of Midlothian	J. McPake	Goal	Assist: C. Braga
64'	Heart Of Midlothian	A. Ba-Sy	subst	Out: P. Kabore
64'	Heart Of Midlothian	T. Renaud	subst	Out: T. Magnusson
60'	Dundee Utd	D. Bennie	subst	Out: M. Merghem
60'	Dundee Utd	L. Rose	subst	Out: I. Metsoko
56'	Heart Of Midlothian	C. Braga	Goal	Assist: S. Kerjota
46'	Dundee Utd	E. Agyei	subst	Out: Z. Sapsford
43'	Dundee Utd	L. Rose	Card	Yellow Card
19'	Heart Of Midlothian	A. Ba-Sy	Card	Yellow Card
12'	Heart Of Midlothian	C. Miller	Goal	Penalty
11'	Dundee Utd	D. Bennie	Card	Yellow Card
4'	Heart Of Midlothian	T. Renaud	Goal	Assist: C. Braga

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
ST Mirren Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)	1	2	6	2	0	0	3	0	3	WW
Motherwell Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)	2	1	3	1	0	0	2	1	1	W
Dundee Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)	3	2	3	1	0	1	2	1	1	WL
Celtic Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)	4	1	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	W
ST Johnstone Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)	5	2	3	1	0	1	4	4	0	LW
Aberdeen Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)	6	2	3	1	0	1	2	3	-1	LW
Dundee Utd Premiership (Relegation Group)	7	1	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	D
Rangers Premiership (Relegation Group)	8	1	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	D
Kilmarnock Premiership (Relegation Group)	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	4	-1	L
Heart Of Midlothian Premiership (Relegation Group)	10	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	-1	L
Hibernian Premiership (Relegation Group)	11	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	-1	L
Falkirk Premiership (Relegation Group)	12	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	-2	L