Atlante FC 3-3 Toluca: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Atlante FC 3-3 Toluca: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

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Fri, Jul 10 2026 · 20:00

Atlante FC

3 - 3

Toluca

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🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

0.68

League avg: 1.30

Both

0.83

League avg: 1.30

Away

0.15

League avg: 0.00

1X2 Probability

Home

45%

ELO-based: 30%

Draw

46%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

ELO-based: 46%

Goal Probability

2.5+

28%

3.5+

14%

BTTS

34%

Best Score Tips

0 - 044%

1 - 030%

2 - 010%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Atlante FC vs Toluca

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Atlante FC vs Toluca.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Toluca
		0	1	2	3	4
Atlante FC	0	43.8%	6.6%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	29.6%	4.4%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	10.0%	1.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	2.2%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1552-14

League

1523±0

Away

1625-13

ELO Verdict

Away edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Atlante FC	1552	1536	1536	1631	1578	-14
Toluca	1625	1568	1548	1732	1627	-13

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Atlante FC	—	3	2	0	2	1	4	6	LDD
Toluca	—	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	L

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Atlante FC	3	22%	27%	60%	1.3	2.0
Toluca	1	0%	0%	93%	0.0	1.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Atlante FC	1.0	1.5	1.3	1.0	2.5	2.0
Toluca	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	1.0

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Atlante FC	1.3	1.0	2.0	1.0
Toluca	0.0	0.0	1.0	1.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15				100.00%
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90

Team Comparison

Form

Attack

14%

Defense

86%

Poisson

H2H

Goals

32%

Total

68%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Atlante FC				2-0	1 / 3	1 / 3
Toluca				1-0	0 / 0	0 / 1

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Atlante FC	0	0	0	1	0	1
Toluca	0	0	0	1	0	1

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Atlante FC	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Toluca	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2021-07-17	Toluca	—	Atlante FC

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.