Tukums 1-2 Super Nova: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Tukums 1-2 Super Nova: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Cup 🌍 Latvia

Sat, Jul 11 2026 · 15:00

Tukums

1 - 2

Super Nova

🏆 Cup

🌍 Latvia

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

0.15

League avg: 0.00

Both

0.30

League avg: 0.00

Away

0.15

League avg: 0.00

1X2 Probability

Home

14%

ELO-based: 32%

Draw

72%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

14%

ELO-based: 44%

Goal Probability

2.5+

3.5+

BTTS

10%

Best Score Tips

0 - 074%

0 - 111%

1 - 011%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Tukums vs Super Nova

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Tukums vs Super Nova.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Super Nova
		0	1	2	3	4
Tukums	0	74.1%	11.1%	0.8%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	11.1%	1.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1397-12

League

1514±0

Away

1448+12

ELO Verdict

Away edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Tukums	1397	1343	1470	1532	1338	-12
Super Nova	1448	1502	1499	1455	1455	+12

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Tukums	—	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—
Super Nova	—	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Tukums	0	0%	0%	0%	0.0	0.0
Super Nova	0	0%	0%	0%	0.0	0.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Tukums	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Super Nova	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Tukums	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Super Nova	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90

Team Comparison

Form

Attack

Defense

Poisson

29%

H2H

71%

42%

Goals

58%

36%

Total

65%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Tukums					0 / 0	0 / 0
Super Nova					0 / 0	0 / 0

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Tukums	0	0	0	0	0	0
Super Nova	0	0	0	0	0	0

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Tukums	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Super Nova	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-07-01	Tukums	1 - 2 FT	Super Nova
2026-05-11	Super Nova	1 - 1 FT	Tukums
2026-03-22	Tukums	1 - 2 FT	Super Nova
2025-09-28	Tukums	2 - 1 FT	Super Nova
2025-07-06	Super Nova	1 - 0 FT	Tukums
2025-05-16	Super Nova	1 - 1 FT	Tukums

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.42	Dafabet
Draw	3.40	Betfair
Away win	2.65	Dafabet
Over 2.5	1.80	Bet365
Under 2.5	2.00	Bet365
BTTS Yes	1.62	William Hill
BTTS No	2.20	Betfair

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+4'	Super Nova	Bamba	Goal	Normal Goal
65'	Super Nova	I. Sylla	subst	Out: E. Emsis
65'	Super Nova	A. Glaudans	subst	Out: R. Kirss
63'	Super Nova	V. Lizunovs	Goal	Normal Goal
46'	Super Nova	A. Baghdasaryan	subst	Out: M. Tihonovics
46'	Super Nova	N. Pathe	subst	Out: V. Lizunovs
45+1'	Tukums	B. Samoilovs	Goal	Normal Goal
22'	Tukums	D. Radzenieks	subst	Out: H. Joksts
20'	Tukums	J. Toba	Card	Red Card