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Ajax 1-0 AEK Larnaca: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
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Fri, Jul 10 2026 Β· 16:00
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Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
1.95
League avg: 1.80
Both
3.66
League avg: 3.80
Away
1.71
League avg: 2.00
1X2 Probability
Home
37%
ELO-based: 34%
Draw
25%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
38%
ELO-based: 42%
Goal Probability
2.5+
63%
3.5+
39%
BTTS
62%
Best Score Tips
1 - 19%
2 - 18%
1 - 27%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Ajax vs AEK Larnaca

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Ajax vs AEK Larnaca.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
AEK Larnaca
01234
Ajax 0 2.6% 4.4% 3.8% 2.1% 0.9%
1 5.0% 8.6% 7.3% 4.2% 1.8%
2 4.9% 8.4% 7.1% 4.1% 1.7%
3 3.2% 5.5% 4.7% 2.6% 1.1%
4 1.6% 2.7% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6%
ELO Overview
Home
1598+3
League
1523Β±0
Away
1634-16
ELO Verdict
Away edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Ajax15981605153216451546+3
AEK Larnaca16341605154816191695-16
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Ajaxβ€”4411276WDLL
AEK Larnacaβ€”2310144WL
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Ajax 4 33% 33% 71% 1.8 1.5
AEK Larnaca 2 50% 19% 81% 2.0 2.0
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Ajax 1.8 0.0 1.8 1.5 0.0 1.5
AEK Larnaca 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 2.0
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Ajax 1.8 1.8 1.5 1.5
AEK Larnaca 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 20.00% 25.00%
16-30 75.00% 25.00%
31-45 40.00% 50.00%
46-60 20.00% 25.00%
61-75 20.00% 25.00% 25.00% 25.00%
76-90 25.00%
Team Comparison
57%
Form
43%
64%
Attack
36%
4%
Defense
6%
47%
Poisson
53%
%
H2H
%
%
Goals
%
52%
Total
48%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Ajax 4-0 1-3 4 / 0 3 / 0
AEK Larnaca 1-2 3-2 0 / 2 0 / 3
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Ajax 1 1 0 1 1 0
AEK Larnaca 0 0 0 0 0 0
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Ajax 0 0% 0 0% β€” β€”
AEK Larnaca 0 0% 0 0% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 1.55 1xBet
Draw 4.50 Bet365
Away win 5.30 Betano
Over 2.5 1.45 10Bet
Under 2.5 2.75 Betfair
BTTS Yes 1.57 Betfair
BTTS No 2.40 BetVictor
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
84' Ajax A. Ouazane Goal Assist: O. Edvardsen
82' AEK Larnaca P. Ioannou Card Yellow Card
79' AEK Larnaca J. Repas subst Out: M. Hadjichambi
79' AEK Larnaca A. Paraskevas subst Out: V. Muftic
70' Ajax M. Godts subst Out: O. Edvardsen
63' AEK Larnaca C. Kyriakou subst Out: K. Pileas
63' AEK Larnaca A. Layouni subst Out: Ledes Gustavo
63' AEK Larnaca Z. Adoni subst Out: S. Anastasiou
63' AEK Larnaca H. Milicevic subst Out: P. Ioannou
63' AEK Larnaca Miramon subst Out: J. Izquierdo
63' AEK Larnaca D. Ivanovic subst Out: E. Saborit
63' AEK Larnaca Y. Gurfinkel subst Out: M. van der Hoorn
60' Ajax D. Konadu subst Out: M. Abdalla
60' Ajax Y. Regeer subst Out: A. Ouazane
60' Ajax O. Gloukh subst Out: J. Johnson
60' Ajax M. Paes subst Out: P. Reverson
59' Ajax O. Wijndal subst Out: Caio Henrique
46' Ajax J. Mokio subst Out: P. Nash
46' Ajax S. Berghuis subst Out: D. Klaassen
46' Ajax L. Rosa subst Out: A. Gaaei
39' Ajax S. Berghuis Card Yellow Card
29' AEK Larnaca R. Bajic subst Out: W. Rubio