Skip to content
São Luiz 2-1 Velo Clube: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
🏆 Serie D 🌍 Brazil
Sun, Jul 12 2026 · 18:30
PEN
São Luiz
2 - 1
Velo Clube
🏆 Serie D
🌍 Brazil
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
1.47
League avg: 1.20
Both
2.44
League avg: 2.30
Away
0.97
League avg: 1.10
1X2 Probability
Home
45%
ELO-based: 38%
Draw
29%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
26%
ELO-based: 38%
Goal Probability
2.5+
45%
3.5+
26%
BTTS
49%
Best Score Tips
1 - 013%
1 - 112%
2 - 09%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: São Luiz vs Velo Clube

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for São Luiz vs Velo Clube.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Velo Clube
01234
São Luiz 0 8.7% 8.5% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3%
1 12.8% 12.4% 6.0% 2.0% 0.5%
2 9.4% 9.1% 4.4% 1.4% 0.4%
3 4.6% 4.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.7% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
ELO Overview
Home
1490+17
League
1515±0
Away
1487+15
ELO Verdict
Draw edge, Low confidence, high upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
São Luiz14901502149614321490+17
Velo Clube14871485146914331504+15
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
São Luiz413195441513DWDWL
Velo Clube313205531412LWDWW
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
São Luiz 5 53% 78% 44% 1.4 1.0
Velo Clube 5 67% 78% 56% 1.4 0.8
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
São Luiz 1.7 0.7 1.2 1.2 0.9 1.0
Velo Clube 1.4 0.7 1.1 0.6 1.3 0.9
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
São Luiz 1.2 1.7 1.0 1.2
Velo Clube 1.1 0.7 0.9 1.3
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 18.75% 6.67% 7.69%
16-30 18.75% 5.88% 20.00% 7.69%
31-45 12.50% 29.41%
46-60 18.75% 11.76% 20.00% 23.08%
61-75 5.88% 7.69%
76-90 12.50% 17.65% 40.00% 46.15%
Team Comparison
44%
Form
56%
5%
Attack
5%
44%
Defense
56%
68%
Poisson
32%
%
H2H
1%
33%
Goals
67%
48%
Total
52%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
São Luiz 3-1 1-2 0-1 2-0 4 / 2 4 / 2
Velo Clube 3-1 1-2 3-0 3 / 2 1 / 3
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
São Luiz 5 2 3 5 2 3
Velo Clube 4 3 1 4 1 3
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
São Luiz 4 66.67% 2 33.33% — —
Velo Clube 4 100.00% 0 0% — —
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-07-04 Velo Clube 2 - 1 FT São Luiz
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 2.22 Superbet
Draw 3.10 Superbet
Away win 3.69 Pinnacle
Over 2.5 2.40 Betfair
Under 2.5 1.62 Bet365
BTTS Yes 2.05 William Hill
BTTS No 1.75 Superbet
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
120+5' São Luiz Valber Junior Goal Penalty
120+4' São Luiz Lucas Hian Goal Penalty
120+4' Velo Clube Vinicius Toledo Goal Penalty
120+3' São Luiz Brandao Goal Penalty
120+3' Velo Clube Matheus Firmino Goal Missed Penalty
120+2' São Luiz Marcao Goal Penalty
120+2' Velo Clube Felipe Pacajus Goal Penalty
120+1' São Luiz Lucas Hulk Goal Penalty
120+1' Velo Clube Sillas Goal Penalty
87' São Luiz Card Red Card
72' Velo Clube Card Red Card
62' São Luiz Brandao Goal Normal Goal
58' Velo Clube Jhoninha Goal Normal Goal
34' São Luiz Nathan Zamith Goal Normal Goal
League Standings
Local standings cache · Serie D 2026
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Manauara Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 1 10 22 6 4 0 13 5 8 WWDWD
Nacional AM Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 2 10 20 6 2 2 15 9 6 WDWLW
Sao Raimundo Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 3 10 13 3 4 3 10 7 3 LWDLL
Monte Roraima Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 4 10 10 2 4 4 11 14 -3 LLDWW
Manaus FC 5 10 10 2 4 4 8 13 -5 LDDWL
GAS 6 10 5 1 2 7 8 17 -9 WLLLD
Guaporé Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 1 10 22 6 4 0 19 9 10 DWWDW
Porto Velho Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 2 10 18 5 3 2 33 9 24 WWDDW
Araguaína Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 3 10 18 5 3 2 31 9 22 WLDLW
Independência Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 4 10 15 4 3 3 17 10 7 DWWWL
Galvez 5 10 10 3 1 6 14 31 -17 LLLWL
Humaitá 6 10 0 0 0 10 4 50 -46 LLLLL
Gama Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 1 10 26 8 2 0 23 6 17 DWWWW
Luverdense Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 2 10 15 4 3 3 11 10 1 WDWLL
Brasiliense Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 3 10 14 3 5 2 11 10 1 WDWLL
Aparecidense Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 4 10 13 3 4 3 13 12 1 DDLDW
Primavera MG 5 10 12 3 3 4 10 13 -3 LDLWW
Inhumas 6 10 1 0 1 9 3 20 -17 LLLDL
Capital Brasilia Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 1 10 23 7 2 1 16 6 10 WWDWW
Goiatuba EC Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 2 10 19 5 4 1 13 7 6 WDDLD
Ceilândia Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 3 10 12 3 3 4 9 10 -1 DDWLL
Mixto Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 4 10 12 2 6 2 10 9 1 DDDWL
União Rondonópolis 5 10 9 2 3 5 11 18 -7 LDLWD
CEOV Operário 6 10 5 1 2 7 7 16 -9 LLDLW
Trem Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 1 10 20 6 2 2 19 13 6 WLWWL
Águia de Marabá Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 2 10 18 5 3 2 20 11 9 LWWLW
Imperatriz Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 3 10 15 4 3 3 15 10 5 WWLLW
Tuna Luso Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 4 10 13 3 4 3 14 17 -3 LWDWL
Tocantinópolis 5 10 12 3 3 4 18 18 0 WLLWW
Oratório 6 10 4 1 1 8 12 29 -17 LLDLL
Iguatu Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 1 10 20 5 5 0 14 7 7 WDDDW
Maracanã Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 2 10 19 5 4 1 12 6 6 WWWDD
Parnahyba Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 3 10 14 4 2 4 11 13 -2 WDLLW
Sampaio Correa Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 4 10 13 3 4 3 12 6 6 LWWWD
Moto Club 5 10 9 2 3 5 8 15 -7 LLLDL
IAPE 6 10 4 0 4 6 10 20 -10 LLDDL
Ferroviario Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 1 10 21 6 3 1 15 7 8 WDWWD
Piauí Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 2 10 17 5 2 3 14 11 3 WWLWD
Fluminense PI Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 3 10 14 3 5 2 12 9 3 LDWDL
Altos Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 4 10 11 3 2 5 9 15 -6 WDLLL
WSG Wattens 5 10 10 2 4 4 10 10 0 LDWDW
Uniclinic Atletico Clube 6 10 7 1 4 5 6 14 -8 LLLLW
ABC Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 1 10 23 7 2 1 15 6 9 WWDWW
America-RN Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 2 10 21 6 3 1 14 3 11 WWDWD
Maguary PE Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 3 10 13 3 4 3 8 5 3 LWDDD
Central SC Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 4 10 13 3 4 3 8 7 1 WLDDL
Sousa 5 10 10 3 1 6 4 11 -7 LLDLW
Laguna 6 10 2 0 2 8 3 20 -17 LLDLL
Treze Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 1 10 17 5 2 3 18 14 4 LDLWW
Sergipe Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 2 10 15 4 3 3 15 13 2 DLLDW
Serra Branca Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 3 10 15 3 6 1 12 8 4 DDWLD
Lagarto Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 4 10 13 3 4 3 14 15 -1 WWDDD
Retrô 5 10 12 3 3 4 13 15 -2 WDDWL
Decisão 6 10 8 2 2 6 10 17 -7 LDWLL
CSA Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 1 10 21 6 3 1 25 8 17 WDDWW
Juazeirense Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 2 10 17 5 2 3 12 9 3 WDDLL
ASA Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 3 10 16 4 4 2 11 7 4 DDDWW
Jacuipense Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 4 10 13 3 4 3 12 14 -2 DDDWW
CSE 5 10 9 2 3 5 10 17 -7 LDDLL
Atlético Alagoinhas 6 10 5 1 2 7 5 20 -15 LDDLL
Uberlandia Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 1 10 18 5 3 2 12 8 4 LDDDW
Ipatinga Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 2 10 15 4 3 3 12 9 3 WLWDD
CRAC Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 3 10 13 3 4 3 7 7 0 DLDWD
Ivinhema Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 4 10 13 3 4 3 9 12 -3 DDLLD
ABECAT Ouvidorense 5 10 12 3 3 4 8 9 -1 WWWLD
Operario Ferroviario 6 10 9 2 3 5 9 12 -3 LWLWL
Democrata GV Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 1 10 17 5 2 3 13 9 4 DWWLL
Tombense Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 2 10 17 4 5 1 13 6 7 DWDWD
Vitória ES Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 3 10 15 4 3 3 12 8 4 DDWDW
Rio Branco ES Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 4 10 13 3 4 3 14 12 2 WLLDD
Porto BA 5 10 10 3 1 6 9 21 -12 LLLDL
Real Noroeste 6 10 8 1 5 4 6 11 -5 DDDDW
Portuguesa Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 1 10 21 6 3 1 16 6 10 WWWDL
Água Santa Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 2 10 17 5 2 3 16 8 8 LWWDD
Portuguesa RJ Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 3 10 14 3 5 2 14 9 5 LDDWD
América RJ Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 4 10 12 3 3 4 11 21 -10 WDLWL
Madureira 5 10 11 3 2 5 11 16 -5 WLDLW
Pouso Alegre 6 10 7 2 1 7 6 14 -8 LLLLW
XV de Piracicaba Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 1 10 17 4 5 1 14 9 5 LDDWW
Noroeste Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 2 10 15 4 3 3 12 7 5 WDLWW
Velo Clube Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 3 10 13 3 4 3 10 10 0 WLDLD
Sampaio Corrêa RJ Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 4 10 12 3 3 4 8 10 -2 LWDLL
Nova Iguaçu 5 10 12 3 3 4 7 10 -3 WLWWD
CFRJ / Maricá 6 10 11 3 2 5 9 14 -5 LWDLL
Santa Catarina Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 1 10 19 6 1 3 15 9 6 WWWWL
Cianorte Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 2 10 16 5 1 4 9 8 1 WLDWL
Cascavel Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 3 10 15 4 3 3 9 4 5 LDWLW
São Luiz Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 4 10 15 4 3 3 11 9 2 WDLWW
Joinville 5 10 15 4 3 3 10 8 2 LWDLL
Guarany de Bagé 6 10 4 1 1 8 2 18 -16 LLLLW
Blumenau Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 1 10 19 6 1 3 14 8 6 LWWLD
Marcílio Dias Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 2 10 16 4 4 2 9 5 4 DLDWW
Independiente FSJ Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 3 10 13 3 4 3 3 4 -1 DLDLD
Sao Jose Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals) 4 10 13 3 4 3 6 8 -2 WWDDW
Brasil DE Pelotas 5 10 10 2 4 4 9 12 -3 DLDDL
Azuriz 6 10 9 2 3 5 7 11 -4 DWLWL