Danubio vs Club Nacional Prediction, Odds & Stats

Danubio vs Club Nacional Prediction, Odds & Stats | Primera División - Apertura

🏆 Primera División - Apertura 🌍 Uruguay

Sat, Jul 11 2026 · 18:00

Danubio

Club Nacional

🏆 Primera División - Apertura

🌍 Uruguay

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.64

League avg: 1.10

Both

2.96

League avg: 2.70

Away

1.32

League avg: 1.60

1X2 Probability

Home

42%

ELO-based: 23%

Draw

26%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

32%

ELO-based: 53%

Goal Probability

2.5+

53%

3.5+

32%

BTTS

56%

Best Score Tips

1 - 111%

2 - 19%

1 - 09%

FT Score Probability Grid

		Club Nacional
		0	1	2	3	4
Danubio	0	5.2%	6.8%	4.5%	2.0%	0.7%
	1	8.5%	11.2%	7.4%	3.2%	1.1%
	2	7.0%	9.2%	6.1%	2.7%	0.9%
	3	3.8%	5.0%	3.3%	1.5%	0.5%
	4	1.6%	2.1%	1.4%	0.6%	0.2%

ELO Overview

Home

1464-32

League

1519±0

Away

1609+22

ELO Verdict

Away edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Danubio	1464	1452	1497	1452	1518	-32
Club Nacional	1609	1600	1536	1607	1555	+22

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Danubio	11	19	20	4	8	7	20	27	LLLDD
Club Nacional	7	19	31	10	1	8	31	26	WWWLW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Danubio	5	13%	38%	13%	0.6	1.4
Club Nacional	5	80%	100%	38%	1.8	1.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Danubio	1.3	0.8	1.1	1.0	1.8	1.4
Club Nacional	1.6	1.7	1.6	0.7	2.0	1.4

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Danubio	1.1	1.3	1.4	1.0
Club Nacional	1.6	1.7	1.4	2.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	10.53%	6.45%	10.71%	11.54%
16-30	15.79%	16.13%	7.14%	19.23%
31-45	15.79%	22.58%	17.86%	19.23%
46-60	15.79%	12.90%	14.29%	15.38%
61-75	15.79%	22.58%	10.71%
76-90	26.32%	19.35%	39.29%	34.62%

Team Comparison

14%

Form

86%

25%

Attack

75%

42%

Defense

58%

56%

Poisson

44%

38%

H2H

62%

Goals

36%

Total

64%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Danubio	4-1	1-2	1-2	4-0	4 / 2	2 / 4
Club Nacional	4-0	1-3	1-2	3-0	4 / 3	2 / 4

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Danubio	4	2	2	6	2	4
Club Nacional	5	4	1	3	2	1

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Danubio	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Club Nacional	5	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-04-25	Club Nacional	1 - 2 FT	Danubio
2025-10-12	Danubio	0 - 0 FT	Club Nacional
2025-06-29	Club Nacional	3 - 2 FT	Danubio
2025-04-13	Club Nacional	2 - 0 FT	Danubio
2024-11-28	Danubio	0 - 0 FT	Club Nacional
2024-07-13	Danubio	0 - 6 FT	Club Nacional

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

League Standings

Local standings cache · Primera División - Apertura 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Deportivo Maldonado Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)	1	19	39	12	3	4	35	20	15	WWDWW
Racing Montevideo Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)	2	19	37	10	7	2	25	15	10	DDDWL
Penarol Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)	3	19	36	11	3	5	28	18	10	WLWWW
Albion FC Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)	4	19	32	9	5	5	29	20	9	WLLDW
Club Nacional Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)	5	19	31	10	1	8	31	26	5	WLWWW
Central Espanol Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)	6	19	31	9	4	6	27	25	2	DWLWW
Atletico Torque Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)	7	19	29	8	5	6	29	24	5	LWWLW
Wanderers	8	19	26	7	5	7	22	24	-2	DWDDW
Liverpool Montevideo	9	19	25	6	7	6	22	20	2	DWDLL
Cerro Largo	10	19	24	7	3	9	21	20	1	DWWLL
Defensor Sporting	11	19	23	5	8	6	15	16	-1	DDLLL
Boston River	12	19	21	6	3	10	19	26	-7	DLLWL
Danubio	13	19	20	4	8	7	20	27	-7	DDLLL
Juventud	14	19	19	5	4	10	23	30	-7	DLLWW
Progreso	15	19	13	3	4	12	16	30	-14	LWLLL
Cerro	16	19	13	3	4	12	10	31	-21	LLWLL
Deportivo Maldonado	1	19	39	12	3	4	35	20	15	WWDWW
Penarol	2	56	114	35	9	12	94	52	42	WLWWW
Club Nacional	3	56	110	34	11	11	107	59	48	WLWWW
Albion FC	4	19	32	9	5	5	29	20	9	WLLDW
Central Espanol	5	19	31	9	4	6	27	25	2	DWLWW
Liverpool Montevideo	6	56	90	24	18	14	73	57	16	DWDLL
Racing Montevideo	7	56	90	24	18	14	64	53	11	DDDWL
Defensor Sporting	8	56	84	23	15	18	57	54	3	DDLLL
Juventud	9	56	80	23	11	22	68	69	-1	DLLWW
Atletico Torque	10	56	78	21	15	20	83	75	8	LWWLW
Boston River	11	56	76	20	16	20	69	65	4	DLLWL
Cerro Largo	12	56	73	19	16	21	62	61	1	DWWLL
Danubio	13	56	63	14	21	21	61	68	-7	DDLLL
Cerro Relegation - Segunda Division	14	56	59	15	15	26	43	73	-30	LLWLL
Wanderers Relegation - Segunda Division	15	56	57	13	18	25	47	71	-24	DWDDW
Progreso Relegation - Segunda Division	16	56	52	13	13	30	54	90	-36	LWLLL
Penarol Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs: Final)	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—
Central Espanol	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—
Cerro Largo	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—
Racing Montevideo	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—
Liverpool Montevideo	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—
Boston River	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—
Cerro	7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—
Defensor Sporting	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—
Penarol Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs: Final)	1	4	9	3	0	1	5	2	3	WLWW
Cerro Largo	2	4	7	2	1	1	5	1	4	DWWL
Central Espanol	3	4	7	2	1	1	4	3	1	DWLW
Racing Montevideo	4	4	6	1	3	0	2	1	1	DDDW
Liverpool Montevideo	5	4	5	1	2	1	2	2	0	DWDL
Boston River	6	4	4	1	1	2	5	6	-1	DLLW
Cerro	7	4	3	1	0	3	2	7	-5	LLWL
Defensor Sporting	8	4	2	0	2	2	2	5	-3	DDLL
Deportivo Maldonado Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs: Final)	1	4	10	3	1	0	11	4	7	WWDW
Club Nacional	2	4	9	3	0	1	5	5	0	WLWW
Wanderers	3	4	6	1	3	0	6	3	3	DWDD
Atletico Torque	4	4	6	2	0	2	7	8	-1	LWWL
Albion FC	5	4	4	1	1	2	3	4	-1	WLLD
Juventud	6	4	4	1	1	2	6	8	-2	DLLW
Progreso	7	4	3	1	0	3	4	7	-3	LWLL
Danubio	8	4	2	0	2	2	3	6	-3	DDLL
Racing Montevideo Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)	1	15	31	9	4	2	23	14	9	LDWDW
Deportivo Maldonado	2	15	29	9	2	4	24	16	8	WWLDW
Albion FC	3	15	28	8	4	3	26	16	10	WWWWW
Penarol	4	15	27	8	3	4	23	16	7	WDLDL
Central Espanol	5	15	24	7	3	5	23	22	1	WLWLD
Atletico Torque	6	15	23	6	5	4	22	16	6	WDWDL
Club Nacional	7	15	22	7	1	7	26	21	5	WLLWL
Defensor Sporting	8	15	21	5	6	4	13	11	2	LDWDW
Liverpool Montevideo	9	15	20	5	5	5	20	18	2	LWDLW
Wanderers	10	15	20	6	2	7	16	21	-5	WLWLL
Danubio	11	15	18	4	6	5	17	21	-4	LLWDD
Cerro Largo	12	15	17	5	2	8	16	19	-3	LWLLD
Boston River	13	15	17	5	2	8	14	20	-6	LWLWL
Juventud	14	15	15	4	3	8	17	22	-5	WWDDW
Progreso	15	15	10	2	4	9	12	23	-11	LLLWL
Cerro	16	15	10	2	4	9	8	24	-16	LLLDD