Nelson Suburbs 5-0 Northern AFC: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Nelson Suburbs 5-0 Northern AFC: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Chatham Cup 🌍 New-Zealand

Sat, Jul 4 2026 · 02:00

Nelson Suburbs

5 - 0

Northern AFC

🏆 Chatham Cup

🌍 New-Zealand

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.45

League avg: 0.00

Both

2.60

League avg: 0.00

Away

1.15

League avg: 0.00

1X2 Probability

Home

44%

ELO-based: 42%

Draw

26%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

30%

ELO-based: 34%

Goal Probability

2.5+

47%

3.5+

23%

BTTS

45%

Best Score Tips

1 - 112%

1 - 011%

2 - 19%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Nelson Suburbs vs Northern AFC

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Nelson Suburbs vs Northern AFC.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Northern AFC
		0	1	2	3	4
Nelson Suburbs	0	7.4%	8.5%	4.9%	1.9%	0.5%
	1	10.8%	12.4%	7.1%	2.7%	0.8%
	2	7.8%	9.0%	5.2%	2.0%	0.6%
	3	3.8%	4.3%	2.5%	1.0%	0.3%
	4	1.4%	1.6%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1525+13

League

1509±0

Away

1487-13

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Nelson Suburbs	1525	1586	1539	1606	1526	+13
Northern AFC	1487	1426	1492	1486	1460	-13

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Nelson Suburbs	—	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—
Northern AFC	—	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Nelson Suburbs	0	0%	0%	0%	0.0	0.0
Northern AFC	0	0%	0%	0%	0.0	0.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Nelson Suburbs	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Northern AFC	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Nelson Suburbs	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Northern AFC	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90

Team Comparison

Form

Attack

Defense

Poisson

H2H

Goals

Total

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Nelson Suburbs					0 / 0	0 / 0
Northern AFC					0 / 0	0 / 0

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Nelson Suburbs	0	0	0	0	0	0
Northern AFC	0	0	0	0	0	0

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Nelson Suburbs	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Northern AFC	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.