Venados FC 3-2 Tapatío: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Venados FC 3-2 Tapatío: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Liga de Expansión MX 🌍 Mexico

Sat, Aug 8 2026 · 23:00

Venados FC

3 - 2

Tapatío

🏆 Liga de Expansión MX

🌍 Mexico

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

0.15

League avg: 2.00

Both

0.40

League avg: 2.50

Away

0.25

League avg: 0.50

1X2 Probability

Home

12%

ELO-based: 40%

Draw

59%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

29%

ELO-based: 36%

Goal Probability

2.5+

19%

3.5+

10%

BTTS

24%

Best Score Tips

0 - 067%

0 - 117%

1 - 010%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Venados FC vs Tapatío

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Venados FC vs Tapatío.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Tapatío
		0	1	2	3	4
Venados FC	0	67.1%	16.7%	2.1%	0.2%	0.0%
	1	10.1%	2.5%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1506+10

League

1498±0

Away

1490+11

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Low confidence, high upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Venados FC	1506	1526	1559	1604	1447	+10
Tapatío	1490	1521	1453	1479	1520	+11

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Venados FC	2	2	4	1	1	0	4	1	WD
Tapatío	10	2	4	1	1	0	1	0	DW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Venados FC	2	67%	22%	94%	2.0	0.5
Tapatío	2	67%	6%	100%	0.5	0.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Venados FC	3.0	1.0	2.0	0.0	1.0	0.5
Tapatío	0.5	0.0	0.5	0.0	0.0	0.0

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Venados FC	2.0	3.0	0.5	0.0
Tapatío	0.5	0.0	0.0	0.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against
0-15
16-30
31-45	25.00%	100.00%	100.00%
46-60	25.00%
61-75	25.00%
76-90	25.00%

Team Comparison

Form

Attack

Defense

Poisson

H2H

Goals

58%

Total

43%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Venados FC	3-0				3 / 1	0 / 1
Tapatío	1-0				1 / 0	0 / 0

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Venados FC	1	1	0	0	0	0
Tapatío	2	2	0	1	1	0

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Venados FC	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Tapatío	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-01-16	Tapatío	4 - 2 FT	Venados FC
2025-08-09	Venados FC	1 - 3 FT	Tapatío
2025-03-06	Venados FC	4 - 2 FT	Tapatío
2024-09-28	Tapatío	2 - 2 FT	Venados FC
2024-01-11	Tapatío	0 - 2 FT	Venados FC
2023-08-30	Venados FC	2 - 1 FT	Tapatío

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.89	Dafabet
Draw	3.80	Bet365
Away win	4.00	Bet365
Over 2.5	1.73	10Bet
Under 2.5	2.11	Pinnacle
BTTS Yes	1.64	Superbet
BTTS No	2.18	Unibet

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
14'	Tapatío	J. Hernandez	Card	Yellow Card

League Standings

Local standings cache · Liga de Expansión MX 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Correcaminos Uat	1	3	7	2	1	0	9	5	4	WWD
Venados FC	2	3	7	2	1	0	7	3	4	WDW
Piratas	3	3	7	2	1	0	4	0	4	WWD
Monarcas	4	3	6	2	0	1	8	4	4	WLW
Leones Negros UDG	5	3	6	2	0	1	7	5	2	LWW
Durango	6	3	6	2	0	1	2	3	-1	LWW
Mineros de Zacatecas	7	3	5	1	2	0	8	6	2	DWD
Dorados	8	2	4	1	1	0	4	2	2	DW
CDS Tampico Madero	9	3	4	1	1	1	3	1	2	WLD
Tapatío	10	3	4	1	1	1	3	3	0	LWD
CA La Paz	11	3	3	1	0	2	7	5	2	WLL
Alebrijes de Oaxaca	12	3	3	1	0	2	2	5	-3	WLL
Cruz Azul Hidalgo	13	3	2	0	2	1	1	4	-3	LDD
Cancún	14	2	0	0	0	2	1	6	-5	LL
Tlaxcala	15	3	0	0	0	3	3	9	-6	LLL
Tepatitlán	16	3	0	0	0	3	1	9	-8	LLL