Valencia 1-2 Newcastle: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Valencia 1-2 Newcastle: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

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Sat, Aug 8 2026 · 19:00

Valencia

1 - 2

Newcastle

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🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

2.15

League avg: 1.60

Both

3.29

League avg: 3.30

Away

1.14

League avg: 1.70

1X2 Probability

Home

64%

ELO-based: 36%

Draw

21%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

15%

ELO-based: 40%

Goal Probability

2.5+

58%

3.5+

35%

BTTS

59%

Best Score Tips

2 - 110%

1 - 19%

2 - 09%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Valencia vs Newcastle

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Valencia vs Newcastle.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Newcastle
		0	1	2	3	4
Valencia	0	3.7%	4.3%	2.4%	0.9%	0.3%
	1	8.0%	9.1%	5.2%	2.0%	0.6%
	2	8.6%	9.8%	5.6%	2.1%	0.6%
	3	6.2%	7.0%	4.0%	1.5%	0.4%
	4	3.3%	3.8%	2.2%	0.8%	0.2%

ELO Overview

Home

1566-5

League

1523±0

Away

1580-12

ELO Verdict

Draw edge, Low confidence, high upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Valencia	1566	1555	1505	1554	1537	-5
Newcastle	1580	1565	1499	1686	1505	-12

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Valencia	—	5	7	2	1	2	8	7	LWLWD
Newcastle	—	3	4	1	1	1	5	5	WDL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Valencia	5	47%	73%	36%	1.6	1.4
Newcastle	3	44%	45%	55%	1.7	1.7

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Valencia	2.0	1.3	1.6	1.0	1.7	1.4
Newcastle	3.0	1.0	1.7	0.0	2.5	1.7

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Valencia	1.6	2.0	1.4	1.0
Newcastle	1.7	1.0	1.7	2.5

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	16.67%		33.33%
16-30	16.67%	20.00%		40.00%
31-45	33.33%	20.00%		20.00%
46-60	16.67%		66.67%	20.00%
61-75		20.00%
76-90	16.67%	40.00%		20.00%

Team Comparison

64%

Form

36%

62%

Attack

38%

42%

Defense

58%

Poisson

H2H

Goals

62%

Total

38%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Valencia	3-0	1-2	1-2	3-1	3 / 2	2 / 3
Newcastle	3-0			4-1	3 / 1	0 / 4

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Valencia	1	1	0	0	0	0
Newcastle	1	1	0	0	0	0

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Valencia	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Newcastle	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.98	1xBet
Draw	3.70	10Bet
Away win	2.45	Betfair
Over 2.5	1.60	Bet365
Under 2.5	2.38	Betfair
BTTS Yes	1.53	Bet365
BTTS No	2.55	Betfair

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+2'	Valencia	J. De Haas	subst	Out: A. Mayol
90+2'	Valencia	Pepelu	subst	Out: A. Blazquez
87'	Newcastle	J. Murphy	Card	Yellow Card
79'	Valencia	J. Guerra	subst	Out: I. Cordoba
79'	Valencia	G. Rodriguez	subst	Out: D. Raba
76'	Newcastle	Y. Wissa	Goal	Normal Goal
72'	Newcastle	M. Thiaw	subst	Out: H. Johnson
67'	Newcastle	N. Woltemade	subst	Out: Joelinton
67'	Newcastle	J. Ramsey	subst	Out: J. Willock
67'	Newcastle	M. Pivas	subst	Out: D. Charlton
60'	Valencia	R. Sato	subst	Out: D. Otorbi
60'	Valencia	F. Ugrinic	subst	Out: A. Dieng
60'	Valencia	H. Duro	subst	Out: A. Danjuma
60'	Valencia	C. Tarrega	subst	Out: M. Diakhaby
52'	Newcastle	Y. Wissa	Goal	Normal Goal
46'	Newcastle	A. Bamba	subst	Out: Y. Wissa
46'	Newcastle	W. Osula	subst	Out: S. Steur
46'	Newcastle	H. Barnes	subst	Out: B. Toure
46'	Newcastle	L. Shahar	subst	Out: L. Miley
39'	Newcastle	A. Elanga	subst	Out: J. Murphy
36'	Valencia	J. Gaya	Card	Red Card
5'	Valencia	F. Ugrinic	Goal	Normal Goal