Manchester City 3-1 Atletico Madrid: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Manchester City 3-1 Atletico Madrid: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Friendlies Clubs 🌍 World

Sun, Aug 9 2026 · 11:00

Manchester City

3 - 1

Atletico Madrid

🏆 Friendlies Clubs

🌍 World

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.50

League avg: 2.00

Both

2.89

League avg: 4.50

Away

1.40

League avg: 2.50

1X2 Probability

Home

33%

ELO-based: 52%

Draw

29%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

38%

ELO-based: 24%

Goal Probability

2.5+

57%

3.5+

34%

BTTS

61%

Best Score Tips

1 - 112%

2 - 19%

1 - 08%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Manchester City vs Atletico Madrid

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Manchester City vs Atletico Madrid.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Atletico Madrid
		0	1	2	3	4
Manchester City	0	5.6%	7.7%	5.4%	2.5%	0.9%
	1	8.3%	11.6%	8.1%	3.8%	1.3%
	2	6.2%	8.7%	6.0%	2.8%	1.0%
	3	3.1%	4.3%	3.0%	1.4%	0.5%
	4	1.2%	1.6%	1.1%	0.5%	0.2%

ELO Overview

Home

1788+10

League

1524±0

Away

1656+5

ELO Verdict

Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Manchester City	1788	1806	1644	1869	1764	+10
Atletico Madrid	1656	1663	1532	1756	1613	+5

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Manchester City	—	2	3	1	0	1	4	3	LW
Atletico Madrid	—	2	3	1	0	1	5	3	WL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Manchester City	2	50%	40%	70%	2.0	1.5
Atletico Madrid	2	50%	50%	70%	2.5	1.5

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Manchester City	1.0	3.0	2.0	2.0	1.0	1.5
Atletico Madrid	4.0	1.0	2.5	1.0	2.0	1.5

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Manchester City	2.0	1.0	1.5	2.0
Atletico Madrid	2.5	1.0	1.5	2.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	40.00%	40.00%	20.00%
16-30	40.00%		20.00%
31-45		20.00%		33.33%
46-60		20.00%		33.33%
61-75				33.33%
76-90		20.00%

Team Comparison

Form

44%

Attack

56%

Defense

45%

Poisson

55%

36%

H2H

64%

43%

Goals

57%

45%

Total

55%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Manchester City		1-3	1-2		1 / 3	2 / 1
Atletico Madrid	4-1			2-1	4 / 1	1 / 2

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0	0
Atletico Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Manchester City	1	25.00%	3	75.00%	—	—
Atletico Madrid	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2023-07-30	Manchester City	1 - 2 FT	Atletico Madrid
2023-07-30	Manchester City	1 - 2 FT	Atletico Madrid
2022-04-13	Atletico Madrid	0 - 0 FT	Manchester City
2022-04-05	Manchester City	1 - 0 FT	Atletico Madrid

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.08	Unibet
Draw	3.80	Betfair
Away win	3.30	10Bet
Over 2.5	1.67	Bet365
Under 2.5	2.45	Betfair
BTTS Yes	1.62	Bet365
BTTS No	2.63	Betfair

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90'	Manchester City	R. Ait-Nouri	Goal	Assist: D. Mubama
89'	Manchester City	J. Gvardiol	Card	Yellow Card
82'	Manchester City	Savinho	subst	Out: C. Echeverri
77'	Manchester City	O. Marmoush	subst	Out: R. Ait-Nouri
63'	Manchester City	A. Semenyo	subst	Out: D. Mubama
63'	Atletico Madrid	C. Martin	subst	Out: I. Luque
63'	Atletico Madrid	R. Le Normand	subst	Out: J. Gimenez
63'	Atletico Madrid	M. Hjulmand	subst	Out: J. Cardoso
63'	Atletico Madrid	J. Dominguez	subst	Out: J. Bonar
63'	Atletico Madrid	Koke	subst	Out: P. Barrios
63'	Atletico Madrid	O. Vargas	subst	Out: T. Lemar
63'	Atletico Madrid	A. Lookman	subst	Out: A. Ortiz
63'	Atletico Madrid	D. Hancko	subst	Out: A. Sola
63'	Atletico Madrid	R. Mendoza	subst	Out: Lee Kang-In
63'	Atletico Madrid	J. Oblak	subst	Out: S. Esquivel
61'	Manchester City	M. Kovacic	subst	Out: Nico
59'	Manchester City	O. Marmoush	Goal	Assist: A. Semenyo
57'	Manchester City	O. Marmoush	Goal	Assist: A. Semenyo
55'	Atletico Madrid	M. Hjulmand	Card	Yellow Card
46'	Manchester City	Vitor Reis	subst	Out: R. Lewis
43'	Atletico Madrid	J. Dominguez	Goal	Assist: M. Hjulmand