Napoli 1-1 Celta Vigo: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Napoli 1-1 Celta Vigo: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

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Sat, Aug 8 2026 · 19:00

Napoli

1 - 1

Celta Vigo

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Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.74

League avg: 1.70

Both

3.63

League avg: 4.00

Away

1.89

League avg: 2.30

1X2 Probability

Home

26%

ELO-based: 41%

Draw

25%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

49%

ELO-based: 35%

Goal Probability

2.5+

62%

3.5+

38%

BTTS

62%

Best Score Tips

1 - 19%

1 - 28%

2 - 18%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Napoli vs Celta Vigo

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Napoli vs Celta Vigo.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Celta Vigo
		0	1	2	3	4
Napoli	0	2.7%	5.0%	4.7%	3.0%	1.4%
	1	4.6%	8.7%	8.2%	5.2%	2.4%
	2	4.0%	7.6%	7.2%	4.5%	2.1%
	3	2.3%	4.4%	4.2%	2.6%	1.2%
	4	1.0%	1.9%	1.8%	1.1%	0.5%

ELO Overview

Home

1640-5

League

1523±0

Away

1616+27

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Low confidence, high upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Napoli	1640	1639	1593	1588	1621	-5
Celta Vigo	1616	1641	1575	1616	1588	+27

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Napoli	—	3	6	2	0	1	5	4	LWW
Celta Vigo	—	4	8	2	2	0	9	5	DWDW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Napoli	3	67%	31%	75%	1.7	1.3
Celta Vigo	4	67%	56%	69%	2.3	1.3

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Napoli	1.7	0.0	1.7	1.3	0.0	1.3
Celta Vigo	1.5	3.0	2.3	1.0	1.5	1.3

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Napoli	1.7	1.7	1.3	1.3
Celta Vigo	2.3	3.0	1.3	1.5

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15		11.11%	25.00%
16-30	40.00%	11.11%
31-45	20.00%	11.11%		20.00%
46-60	20.00%		25.00%	20.00%
61-75	20.00%	11.11%	25.00%	20.00%
76-90		44.44%	25.00%	20.00%

Team Comparison

43%

Form

57%

36%

Attack

64%

56%

Defense

44%

34%

Poisson

66%

H2H

Goals

42%

Total

58%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Napoli	2-0		1-3		2 / 0	3 / 0
Celta Vigo	1-0	1-4			2 / 4	2 / 2

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Napoli	1	1	0	0	0	0
Celta Vigo	1	1	0	0	0	0

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Napoli	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Celta Vigo	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.10	1xBet
Draw	3.60	10Bet
Away win	3.40	10Bet
Over 2.5	1.90	Bet365
Under 2.5	1.93	10Bet
BTTS Yes	1.80	Bet365
BTTS No	2.10	Betfair

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
65'	Celta Vigo	F. Jutgla	Goal	Normal Goal
46'	Napoli	F. Anguissa	subst	Out: A. Vergara
46'	Napoli	V. Milinkovic-Savic	subst	Out: A. Meret
44'	Celta Vigo		Card	Yellow Card
38'	Napoli	G. Di Lorenzo	Card	Yellow Card
19'	Celta Vigo		Card	Yellow Card
11'	Napoli	G. Di Lorenzo	Goal	Normal Goal