Napoli 6-2 Aris Thessalonikis: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Napoli 6-2 Aris Thessalonikis: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

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Wed, Aug 12 2026 · 19:00

Napoli

6 - 2

Aris Thessalonikis

🏆 Friendlies Clubs

🌍 World

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.41

League avg: 1.50

Both

3.25

League avg: 4.50

Away

1.84

League avg: 3.00

1X2 Probability

Home

19%

ELO-based: 44%

Draw

23%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

58%

ELO-based: 32%

Goal Probability

2.5+

59%

3.5+

36%

BTTS

61%

Best Score Tips

1 - 110%

1 - 29%

0 - 17%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Napoli vs Aris Thessalonikis

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Napoli vs Aris Thessalonikis.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Aris Thessalonikis
		0	1	2	3	4
Napoli	0	3.9%	7.1%	6.6%	4.0%	1.8%
	1	5.5%	10.0%	9.2%	5.7%	2.6%
	2	3.9%	7.1%	6.5%	4.0%	1.8%
	3	1.8%	3.3%	3.1%	1.9%	0.9%
	4	0.6%	1.2%	1.1%	0.7%	0.3%

ELO Overview

Home

1652+7

League

1523±0

Away

1594+4

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Napoli	1652	1664	1600	1641	1608	+7
Aris Thessalonikis	1594	1592	1526	1520	1569	+4

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Napoli	—	4	7	2	1	1	6	5	LWWD
Aris Thessalonikis	—	1	3	1	0	0	3	1	W

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Napoli	4	58%	46%	62%	1.5	1.3
Aris Thessalonikis	1	100%	23%	92%	3.0	1.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Napoli	1.5	0.0	1.5	1.3	0.0	1.3
Aris Thessalonikis	0.0	3.0	3.0	0.0	1.0	1.0

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Napoli	1.5	1.5	1.3	1.3
Aris Thessalonikis	3.0	3.0	1.0	1.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	16.67%	33.33%	20.00%
16-30	33.33%
31-45	16.67%	33.33%
46-60	16.67%		20.00%
61-75	16.67%		40.00%
76-90		33.33%	20.00%	100.00%

Team Comparison

Form

67%

Attack

33%

17%

Defense

83%

25%

Poisson

75%

H2H

Goals

45%

Total

55%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Napoli	2-0		1-3		2 / 0	3 / 0
Aris Thessalonikis		1-3			0 / 3	0 / 1

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Napoli	1	1	0	0	0	0
Aris Thessalonikis	0	0	0	0	0	0

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Napoli	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Aris Thessalonikis	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.30	Homepage market
Draw	4.50	Homepage market
Away win	7.00	Homepage market
2.5 goals market	1.65	Homepage market
BTTS market	2.10	Homepage market

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
89'	Napoli	K. De Bruyne	Goal	Normal Goal
79'	Aris Thessalonikis	U. Racic	Goal	Normal Goal
73'	Napoli	A. Vergara	subst	Out: C. Garofalo
70'	Napoli	G. Di Lorenzo	subst	Out: P. Mazzocchi
70'	Napoli	A. Rrahmani	subst	Out: N. Obaretin
64'	Napoli	L. Lucca	Goal	Normal Goal
59'	Napoli	L. Spinazzola	subst	Out: N. Lang
59'	Napoli	M. Politano	subst	Out: Giovane
59'	Napoli	R. Hojlund	subst	Out: L. Lucca
58'	Napoli	K. De Bruyne	Goal	Normal Goal
46'	Napoli	A. Meret	subst	Out: V. Milinkovic-Savic
46'	Napoli	S. McTominay	Goal	Assist: K. De Bruyne
46'	Napoli	B. Gilmour	subst	Out: S. Lobotka
46'	Napoli	Alisson Santos	subst	Out: A. Vergara
44'	Napoli	S. McTominay	Goal	Normal Goal
31'	Aris Thessalonikis	U. Racic	Goal	Normal Goal
19'	Napoli	A. Rrahmani	Goal	Normal Goal