Sportivo Belgrano 1-1 9 de Julio Rafaela: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Sportivo Belgrano 1-1 9 de Julio Rafaela: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Torneo Federal A 🌍 Argentina

Fri, Aug 7 2026 · 23:45

Sportivo Belgrano

1 - 1

9 de Julio Rafaela

🏆 Torneo Federal A

🌍 Argentina

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.45

League avg: 1.10

Both

2.60

League avg: 2.60

Away

1.15

League avg: 1.50

1X2 Probability

Home

44%

ELO-based: 43%

Draw

26%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

30%

ELO-based: 33%

Goal Probability

2.5+

47%

3.5+

23%

BTTS

45%

Best Score Tips

1 - 112%

1 - 011%

2 - 19%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Sportivo Belgrano vs 9 de Julio Rafaela

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Sportivo Belgrano vs 9 de Julio Rafaela.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		9 de Julio Rafaela
		0	1	2	3	4
Sportivo Belgrano	0	7.4%	8.5%	4.9%	1.9%	0.5%
	1	10.8%	12.4%	7.1%	2.7%	0.8%
	2	7.8%	9.0%	5.2%	2.0%	0.6%
	3	3.8%	4.3%	2.5%	1.0%	0.3%
	4	1.4%	1.6%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1557-11

League

1499±0

Away

1509-38

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Sportivo Belgrano	1557	1551	1543	1479	1612	-11
9 de Julio Rafaela	1509	1491	1472	1540	1497	-38

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Sportivo Belgrano	3	19	31	7	10	2	21	9	DDDDD
9 de Julio Rafaela	14	19	26	7	5	7	28	27	WLLLD

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Sportivo Belgrano	5	33%	31%	69%	0.8	0.8
9 de Julio Rafaela	5	27%	31%	38%	0.8	1.6

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Sportivo Belgrano	1.2	1.0	1.1	0.6	0.4	0.5
9 de Julio Rafaela	2.1	0.8	1.5	1.3	1.6	1.4

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Sportivo Belgrano	1.1	1.2	0.5	0.6
9 de Julio Rafaela	1.5	0.8	1.4	1.6

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	15.00%	3.57%		11.11%
16-30	20.00%	14.29%		7.41%
31-45	15.00%	17.86%	20.00%	18.52%
46-60	20.00%	28.57%		14.81%
61-75	15.00%	10.71%	10.00%	25.93%
76-90	15.00%	25.00%	70.00%	22.22%

Team Comparison

56%

Form

44%

Attack

67%

Defense

33%

Poisson

71%

H2H

29%

Goals

64%

Total

36%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Sportivo Belgrano	3-0	0-3	0-1	1-0	3 / 3	2 / 1
9 de Julio Rafaela	4-1	0-3	0-2	3-0	4 / 3	2 / 3

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Sportivo Belgrano	11	5	6	7	2	5
9 de Julio Rafaela	4	2	2	7	2	5

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Sportivo Belgrano	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
9 de Julio Rafaela	3	75.00%	1	25.00%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-05-24	9 de Julio Rafaela	0 - 2 FT	Sportivo Belgrano
2026-03-21	Sportivo Belgrano	3 - 0 FT	9 de Julio Rafaela
2025-09-01	9 de Julio Rafaela	0 - 0 FT	Sportivo Belgrano
2025-06-07	9 de Julio Rafaela	3 - 1 FT	Sportivo Belgrano
2025-04-07	Sportivo Belgrano	1 - 0 FT	9 de Julio Rafaela
2024-08-25	Sportivo Belgrano	1 - 0 FT	9 de Julio Rafaela

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.65	Homepage market
Draw	3.20	Homepage market
Away win	5.25	Homepage market
2.5 goals market	1.50	Homepage market
BTTS market	1.50	Homepage market

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+1'	9 de Julio Rafaela		Card	Yellow Card
89'	Sportivo Belgrano		Card	Yellow Card
85'	Sportivo Belgrano		Card	Yellow Card
63'	Sportivo Belgrano	A. Lehmann	Goal	Normal Goal
61'	Sportivo Belgrano	L. Ferreyra	Card	Yellow Card
57'	Sportivo Belgrano	J. Gimenez	Card	Yellow Card
35'	9 de Julio Rafaela	S. Varela	Goal	Normal Goal
28'	9 de Julio Rafaela	P. Ramirez	Card	Red Card
24'	Sportivo Belgrano	P. Contreras	Card	Yellow Card
15'	Sportivo Belgrano	G. Ferrero	Card	Yellow Card

League Standings

Local standings cache · Torneo Federal A 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1	16	31	8	7	1	13	4	9	WWDDD
Douglas Haig	2	18	31	9	4	5	22	15	7	WLDWD
Sportivo Belgrano	3	18	30	7	9	2	21	9	12	DDDDD
San Martin Formosa	4	16	30	9	3	4	25	19	6	WLDWW
Alvarado	5	16	27	7	6	3	19	7	12	DWLWD
Gimnasia Chivilcoy	6	18	27	7	6	5	17	12	5	DDWLW
Defensores de Belgrano VR	7	18	27	7	6	5	24	20	4	DWDDW
Kimberley Mar del Plata	8	16	26	6	8	2	15	9	6	DWWDD
Bartolomé Mitre	9	16	26	7	5	4	13	7	6	LWLDD
Sol de América	10	16	26	8	2	6	19	14	5	LWWLL
Juventud Antoniana	11	16	25	7	4	5	19	11	8	WWDWD
Cipolletti	12	16	25	7	4	5	19	15	4	WDDWL
Sarmiento de La Banda	13	16	25	7	4	5	17	15	2	DWLWW
9 de Julio Rafaela	14	18	25	7	4	7	28	27	1	LLLWW
Sportivo Las Parejas	15	18	24	5	9	4	12	13	-1	DDDDW
Villa Mitre	16	16	23	5	8	3	14	8	6	DWDWW
Argentino Monte Maíz	17	16	23	5	8	3	16	12	4	DDDDD
Atenas	18	16	23	6	5	5	12	13	-1	DDLWD
Huracan Las Heras	19	16	23	6	5	5	11	13	-2	DWWLW
Atletico Escobar	20	18	22	6	4	8	21	29	-8	DWDWL
Fundacion Amigos	21	16	21	4	9	3	17	14	3	DDWDD
Deportivo Rincon	22	16	19	5	4	7	13	16	-3	WLLLL
San Martín Mendoza	23	16	19	4	7	5	11	15	-4	DDWLW
Defensores de Vilelas	24	16	19	6	1	9	21	26	-5	LWLWL
Independiente De Chivilcoy	25	18	19	4	7	7	15	22	-7	DLDLL
El Linqueño	26	18	19	5	4	9	14	21	-7	WWLDL
Costa Brava	27	16	18	4	6	6	12	13	-1	LLWDW
Sol de Mayo	28	16	18	4	6	6	15	18	-3	DLLWD
Boca Unidos	29	16	18	5	3	8	19	25	-6	LLWLW
Germinal de Rawson	30	16	18	4	6	6	7	14	-7	LLLWD
Juventud Unida Univ.	31	16	17	3	8	5	10	10	0	DLDDL
Tucuman Central	32	16	17	5	2	9	14	19	-5	DLLLW
Gimnasia Concepción	33	18	17	4	5	9	12	18	-6	LDWLL
Guillermo Brown	34	16	17	4	5	7	13	20	-7	WLWLL
Sarmiento Resistencia	35	16	15	3	6	7	12	23	-11	WLWLW
Santamarina	36	16	13	2	7	7	9	17	-8	LDLLD
Circulo Deportivo	37	16	13	2	7	7	8	16	-8	DWLDL