Skip to content
America SP 2-0 Independente SP: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Sun, Aug 9 2026 Β· 13:00
FT
🌍 Brazil
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
1.03
League avg: 1.50
Both
1.94
League avg: 4.40
Away
0.91
League avg: 2.90
1X2 Probability
Home
31%
ELO-based: 37%
Draw
38%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
31%
ELO-based: 39%
Goal Probability
2.5+
44%
3.5+
25%
BTTS
45%
Best Score Tips
1 - 015%
0 - 014%
1 - 114%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: America SP vs Independente SP

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for America SP vs Independente SP.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Independente SP
01234
America SP 0 14.4% 13.1% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4%
1 14.8% 13.5% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4%
2 7.6% 6.9% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
3 2.6% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
ELO Overview
Home
1583+41
League
1491Β±0
Away
1593+25
ELO Verdict
Draw edge, Low confidence, high upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
America SP15831615153115411591+41
Independente SP15931606153117441583+25
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
America SP216318712410WDWDW
Independente SP116391303469WWWLW
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
America SP 5 73% 79% 79% 2.2 0.6
Independente SP 5 80% 50% 86% 1.4 0.4
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
America SP 1.5 1.5 1.5 0.4 0.9 0.6
Independente SP 3.9 1.9 2.9 0.5 0.6 0.6
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
America SP 1.5 1.5 0.6 0.4
Independente SP 2.9 1.9 0.6 0.6
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 8.16%
16-30 8.00% 16.33% 33.33%
31-45 20.00% 14.29% 22.22% 25.00%
46-60 28.00% 14.29% 33.33%
61-75 8.00% 12.24% 25.00%
76-90 24.00% 24.49% 11.11% 25.00%
Team Comparison
48%
Form
52%
61%
Attack
39%
4%
Defense
6%
52%
Poisson
48%
5%
H2H
5%
5%
Goals
5%
5%
Total
5%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
America SP 3-0 0-3 2-0 3 / 4 1 / 2
Independente SP 17-0 0-4 0-1 2-0 17 / 5 1 / 2
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
America SP 8 5 3 4 1 3
Independente SP 9 4 5 3 1 2
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
America SP 3 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Independente SP 6 85.71% 1 14.29% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2024-02-21 America SP 1 - 1 FT Independente SP
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
79' Independente SP Card Red Card
11' America SP Goal Normal Goal
3' America SP Goal Normal Goal
League Standings
Local standings cache Β· Paulista SΓ©rie B 2026
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
JosΓ© BonifΓ‘cio Playoff 1 8 18 5 3 0 15 5 10 DWWDD
America SP Playoff 2 8 15 4 3 1 9 5 4 WWDDW
Assisense Playoff 3 8 13 3 4 1 13 10 3 WDDDD
Tupa Playoff 4 8 10 3 1 4 12 14 -2 LDLWW
Riopretano 5 8 6 1 3 4 5 11 -6 DLWDL
Santa FΓ© FC 6 8 3 1 0 7 7 16 -9 LLLLL
Independente SP Playoff 1 8 21 7 0 1 20 5 15 LWWWW
Matonense Playoff 2 8 16 5 1 2 13 9 4 DWLWW
Santacruzense Playoff 3 8 13 4 1 3 18 11 7 WLWDW
Sao Carlos Playoff 4 8 11 3 2 3 16 10 6 DWLDL
Mogi Mirim 5 8 9 3 0 5 13 13 0 WLWLL
GrΓͺmio Catanduvense 6 8 0 0 0 8 4 36 -32 LLLLL
Flamengo SP Playoff 1 8 17 5 2 1 11 6 5 WLWWD
Guarulhos Playoff 2 8 16 5 1 2 16 9 7 WWDWW
Gremio Osasco Audax Playoff 3 8 13 5 1 2 15 7 8 WWDLW
Sporting Paulinense Playoff 4 8 9 3 0 5 6 15 -9 LWWLL
PaulΓ­nia FU 5 8 7 2 1 5 8 12 -4 LLLLD
Votoraty 6 8 4 1 1 6 7 14 -7 LLLWL
ItaquΓ‘ Athletico Clube Playoff 1 8 22 7 1 0 15 3 12 WWWWD
Maua Playoff 2 8 13 3 4 1 13 10 3 DDLWD
Mauaense Playoff 3 8 12 3 3 2 9 7 2 WDLDW
Uniao Mogi Playoff 4 8 11 3 2 3 11 12 -1 DWWLL
Manthiqueira 5 8 8 2 2 4 10 15 -5 LLWDW
Barcelona EC 6 8 0 0 0 8 4 15 -11 LLLLL