UCV 2-1 Monagas SC: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

UCV 2-1 Monagas SC: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Primera División 🌍 Venezuela

Tue, Aug 4 2026 · 22:00

UCV

2 - 1

Monagas SC

🏆 Primera División

🌍 Venezuela

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.45

League avg: 1.60

Both

2.60

League avg: 2.70

Away

1.15

League avg: 1.10

1X2 Probability

Home

44%

ELO-based: 44%

Draw

26%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

30%

ELO-based: 32%

Goal Probability

2.5+

47%

3.5+

23%

BTTS

45%

Best Score Tips

1 - 112%

1 - 011%

2 - 19%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: UCV vs Monagas SC

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for UCV vs Monagas SC.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Monagas SC
		0	1	2	3	4
UCV	0	7.4%	8.5%	4.9%	1.9%	0.5%
	1	10.8%	12.4%	7.1%	2.7%	0.8%
	2	7.8%	9.0%	5.2%	2.0%	0.6%
	3	3.8%	4.3%	2.5%	1.0%	0.3%
	4	1.4%	1.6%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1529-29

League

1512±0

Away

1470-12

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
UCV	1529	1507	1506	1607	1432	-29
Monagas SC	1470	1457	1491	1547	1443	-12

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
UCV	11	20	29	8	5	7	32	30	DDLLL
Monagas SC	10	14	11	3	2	9	15	24	LWLDL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
UCV	5	13%	27%	47%	0.8	1.6
Monagas SC	5	27%	53%	47%	1.6	1.6

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
UCV	1.7	1.5	1.6	1.2	1.7	1.5
Monagas SC	1.5	0.5	1.1	1.4	2.2	1.7

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
UCV	1.6	1.7	1.5	1.2
Monagas SC	1.1	0.5	1.7	2.2

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	12.50%	6.25%	6.67%	4.35%
16-30	12.50%	12.50%	16.67%	26.09%
31-45	28.13%	6.25%	26.67%	17.39%
46-60	18.75%	31.25%	6.67%	13.04%
61-75	15.63%	25.00%	16.67%	13.04%
76-90	12.50%	18.75%	26.67%	26.09%

Team Comparison

33%

Form

67%

33%

Attack

67%

Defense

83%

Poisson

17%

62%

H2H

38%

64%

Goals

36%

54%

Total

46%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
UCV	3-1	1-5	2-3	3-0	3 / 5	3 / 4
Monagas SC	3-0		0-3	4-0	3 / 2	3 / 4

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
UCV	3	1	2	5	1	4
Monagas SC	2	2	0	5	1	4

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
UCV	3	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Monagas SC	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-02-07	Monagas SC	0 - 3 FT	UCV
2025-09-14	Monagas SC	2 - 0 FT	UCV
2025-04-04	UCV	0 - 0 FT	Monagas SC
2024-08-14	Monagas SC	1 - 3 FT	UCV
2024-02-23	UCV	1 - 1 FT	Monagas SC
2023-08-28	Monagas SC	1 - 0 FT	UCV

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.90	Homepage market
Draw	3.20	Homepage market
Away win	3.70	Homepage market
2.5 goals market	1.70	Homepage market
BTTS market	2.25	Homepage market

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+1'	UCV	E. Mosquera	subst	Out: D. De Sousa
90+1'	UCV	S. Sosa	subst	Out: W. Velasquez
90'	Monagas SC	K. De La Hoz	Card	Yellow Card
82'	UCV	W. Lugo	subst	Out: R. Sarli
82'	UCV	J. Zapata	subst	Out: J. Araujo
82'	Monagas SC	R. Rodriguez	subst	Out: E. Farias
74'	UCV	F. Sole	subst	Out: V. Rodriguez
72'	Monagas SC	R. Arace	subst	Out: L. Rodriguez
72'	Monagas SC	F. Queiroz	subst	Out: J. Colorado
70'	UCV	J. Zapata	Card	Yellow Card
65'	UCV	J. Zapata	Goal	Assist: F. Sole
63'	UCV	F. Sole	Card	Yellow Card
46'	Monagas SC	A. Romero	subst	Out: C. Ramirez
46'	Monagas SC	S. Herrera	subst	Out: B. Uruena
39'	UCV	K. Silva	Goal	Assist: E. Peraza
30'	Monagas SC	R. Rodriguez	Goal	Normal Goal

League Standings

Local standings cache · Primera División 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Deportivo La Guaira Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)	1	13	27	7	6	0	15	6	9	WDWDW
Metropolitanos FC Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)	2	13	25	7	4	2	17	10	7	WWDLW
Deportivo Tachira FC Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)	3	13	24	7	3	3	17	12	5	WDLWW
UCV Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)	4	13	23	7	2	4	24	20	4	LDLWL
Portuguesa FC Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)	5	13	20	5	5	3	20	12	8	WDWLD
Estudiantes de Merida FC Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)	6	13	20	6	2	5	21	18	3	LWWWL
Carabobo FC Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)	7	13	19	4	7	2	23	14	9	LWWDD
Puerto Cabello Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)	8	13	17	4	5	4	16	14	2	DWLLD
Zamora FC	9	13	17	4	5	4	14	14	0	DDDWW
Caracas FC	10	13	15	3	6	4	15	17	-2	WDLWD
Rayo Zuliano	11	13	14	4	2	7	13	23	-10	LLLWD
Monagas SC	12	13	11	3	2	8	14	22	-8	DLWLD
Anzoátegui FC	13	13	9	2	3	8	15	25	-10	DLWLL
Trujillanos FC	14	13	4	0	4	9	9	26	-17	LLLLL
Puerto Cabello Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Final)	1	6	10	3	1	2	8	7	1	WWLWL
Portuguesa FC	2	6	8	2	2	2	7	8	-1	WLWLD
Deportivo La Guaira	3	6	7	1	4	1	5	5	0	LWDDD
UCV	4	6	6	1	3	2	8	8	0	LLDDW
Carabobo FC Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Final)	1	6	11	3	2	1	10	5	5	WDWWL
Deportivo Tachira FC	2	6	11	3	2	1	8	5	3	WDWDW
Metropolitanos FC	3	6	8	2	2	2	5	7	-2	LWLDW
Estudiantes de Merida FC	4	6	3	1	0	5	2	8	-6	LLLLL
Deportivo Tachira FC Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)	1	2	6	2	0	0	4	0	4	WW
Metropolitanos FC Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)	2	2	6	2	0	0	4	2	2	WW
Estudiantes de Merida FC Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)	3	2	4	1	1	0	3	2	1	WD
Puerto Cabello Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)	4	2	3	1	0	1	4	3	1	WL
Deportivo La Guaira Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)	5	2	3	1	0	1	3	3	0	LW
Carabobo FC Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)	6	3	3	1	0	2	2	2	0	LWL
Zamora FC Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)	7	2	3	1	0	1	2	2	0	LW
Trujillanos FC Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)	8	2	3	1	0	1	2	2	0	LW
Portuguesa FC	9	2	3	1	0	1	1	1	0	LW
Monagas SC	10	3	3	1	0	2	3	4	-1	WLL
UCV	11	2	3	1	0	1	2	3	-1	WL
Anzoátegui FC	12	2	3	1	0	1	1	3	-2	WL
Caracas FC	13	2	1	0	1	1	3	5	-2	LD
Rayo Zuliano	14	2	0	0	0	2	1	3	-2	LL