Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 Cerro Porteno: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 Cerro Porteno: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Division Profesional - Clausura 🌍 Paraguay

Sat, Aug 8 2026 · 19:00

Sportivo Ameliano

1 - 0

Cerro Porteno

🏆 Division Profesional - Clausura

🌍 Paraguay

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.42

League avg: 1.00

Both

2.46

League avg: 2.70

Away

1.04

League avg: 1.70

1X2 Probability

Home

44%

ELO-based: 26%

Draw

29%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

27%

ELO-based: 50%

Goal Probability

2.5+

48%

3.5+

28%

BTTS

57%

Best Score Tips

1 - 113%

1 - 012%

2 - 19%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Cerro Porteno
		0	1	2	3	4
Sportivo Ameliano	0	8.5%	8.9%	4.6%	1.6%	0.4%
	1	12.1%	12.6%	6.5%	2.3%	0.6%
	2	8.6%	9.0%	4.7%	1.6%	0.4%
	3	4.1%	4.3%	2.2%	0.8%	0.2%
	4	1.5%	1.5%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1457+21

League

1531±0

Away

1572-32

ELO Verdict

Away edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Sportivo Ameliano	1457	1483	1471	1417	1497	+21
Cerro Porteno	1572	1538	1549	1505	1653	-32

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Sportivo Ameliano	7	3	3	0	3	0	3	3	DDD
Cerro Porteno	11	3	3	1	0	2	5	4	LLW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Sportivo Ameliano	3	33%	15%	85%	1.0	1.0
Cerro Porteno	3	33%	25%	80%	1.7	1.3

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Sportivo Ameliano	1.0	1.0	1.0	1.0	1.0	1.0
Cerro Porteno	2.0	1.0	1.7	1.0	2.0	1.3

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Sportivo Ameliano	1.0	1.0	1.0	1.0
Cerro Porteno	1.7	1.0	1.3	2.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15		33.33%
16-30				33.33%
31-45	25.00%	16.67%	50.00%
46-60	25.00%		50.00%
61-75		50.00%		33.33%
76-90	50.00%			33.33%

Team Comparison

Form

38%

Attack

63%

57%

Defense

43%

57%

Poisson

43%

15%

H2H

85%

17%

Goals

83%

39%

Total

61%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Sportivo Ameliano					1 / 1	1 / 1
Cerro Porteno	3-0		1-2	2-1	3 / 1	2 / 2

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Sportivo Ameliano	0	0	0	0	0	0
Cerro Porteno	1	1	0	0	0	0

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Sportivo Ameliano	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Cerro Porteno	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-04-24	Cerro Porteno	1 - 1 FT	Sportivo Ameliano
2026-02-25	Sportivo Ameliano	0 - 1 FT	Cerro Porteno
2025-09-20	Cerro Porteno	2 - 0 FT	Sportivo Ameliano
2025-07-12	Sportivo Ameliano	0 - 1 FT	Cerro Porteno
2025-05-21	Sportivo Ameliano	0 - 0 FT	Cerro Porteno
2025-03-16	Cerro Porteno	2 - 0 FT	Sportivo Ameliano

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	3.70	Pinnacle
Draw	3.30	Betfair
Away win	2.12	Superbet
Over 2.5	2.25	Bet365
Under 2.5	1.63	Pinnacle
BTTS Yes	2.00	William Hill
BTTS No	1.87	Betfair

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Stats

Stat	Sportivo Ameliano	Cerro Porteno
expected_goals	—	—
Ball Possession	46%	54%
Total Shots	11	11
Shots on Goal	3	5
Shots off Goal	4	4
Blocked Shots	4	2
Shots insidebox	6	7
Shots outsidebox	5	4
Corner Kicks	2	9
Offsides	2	2
Fouls	20	9
Yellow Cards	3	1
Red Cards	—	—
Goalkeeper Saves	5	2
Total passes	321	349
Passes accurate	231	247
Passes %	72%	71%
goals_prevented	—	—

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+2'	Sportivo Ameliano	J. Benitez	Card	Yellow Card
90'	Sportivo Ameliano	E. Moreira	Card	Yellow Card
84'	Sportivo Ameliano	C. Ocampos	subst	Out: F. Vera
84'	Sportivo Ameliano	R. Cabral	subst	Out: J. Benitez
75'	Cerro Porteno	M. Perez	subst	Out: A. G. Benitez
74'	Sportivo Ameliano	V. Larralde	subst	Out: H. Benitez
74'	Sportivo Ameliano	L. Ayala	subst	Out: L. Bruno
71'	Cerro Porteno	A. Gamarra	Card	Yellow Card
71'	Sportivo Ameliano	R. Cabral	Card	Yellow Card
68'	Cerro Porteno	J. Morel	subst	Out: J. Torres
67'	Cerro Porteno	P. Vegetti	Goal	Missed Penalty
61'	Cerro Porteno	R. Piris	subst	Out: A. Gamarra
61'	Cerro Porteno	M. Klimowicz	subst	Out: I. Aliseda
60'	Sportivo Ameliano	R. Cabral	Goal	Normal Goal
56'	Sportivo Ameliano	R. Peralta	subst	Out: E. Moreira
46'	Cerro Porteno	F. Dominguez	subst	Out: C. Bobadilla
28'	Sportivo Ameliano	R. Nanni	Card	Yellow Card

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
2 de Mayo Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)	1	5	13	4	1	0	7	3	4	WWDWW
Sportivo Trinidense	2	5	10	3	1	1	11	5	6	DLWWW
Libertad Asuncion	3	4	9	3	0	1	8	4	4	WLWW
Club Guarani	4	5	7	2	1	2	6	6	0	LDWWL
Deportivo Recoleta	5	5	7	2	1	2	9	10	-1	LWWLD
Nacional Asuncion	6	5	6	1	3	1	6	5	1	DDLWD
Sportivo Ameliano	7	4	6	1	3	0	4	3	1	WDDD
Sportivo Luqueno	8	4	6	2	0	2	5	8	-3	WLLW
Rubio NU	9	5	4	1	1	3	5	12	-7	WLLDL
Olimpia	10	4	3	1	0	3	5	4	1	LWLL
Cerro Porteno	11	4	3	1	0	3	5	5	0	LWLL
Club Sp. San Lorenzo	12	4	1	0	1	3	1	7	-6	LLLD