Cerro Largo 1-1 Juventud: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Cerro Largo 1-1 Juventud: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Primera División 🌍 Uruguay

Fri, Aug 7 2026 · 22:00

Cerro Largo

1 - 1

Juventud

🏆 Primera División

🌍 Uruguay

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.49

League avg: 1.00

Both

2.57

League avg: 2.10

Away

1.08

League avg: 1.10

1X2 Probability

Home

46%

ELO-based: 37%

Draw

27%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

27%

ELO-based: 39%

Goal Probability

2.5+

48%

3.5+

28%

BTTS

52%

Best Score Tips

1 - 112%

1 - 011%

2 - 19%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Cerro Largo vs Juventud

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Cerro Largo vs Juventud.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Juventud
		0	1	2	3	4
Cerro Largo	0	7.6%	8.2%	4.4%	1.6%	0.4%
	1	11.4%	12.3%	6.6%	2.4%	0.6%
	2	8.5%	9.2%	5.0%	1.8%	0.5%
	3	4.2%	4.6%	2.5%	0.9%	0.2%
	4	1.6%	1.7%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1487+9

League

1520±0

Away

1493-2

ELO Verdict

Draw edge, Low confidence, high upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Cerro Largo	1487	1499	1455	1440	1544	+9
Juventud	1493	1489	1514	1480	1535	-2

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Cerro Largo	8	22	28	8	4	10	23	24	WDDWL
Juventud	10	22	23	6	5	11	25	33	LDLWD

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Cerro Largo	5	53%	31%	69%	0.8	0.8
Juventud	5	33%	31%	54%	0.8	1.2

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Cerro Largo	1.5	0.7	1.0	1.0	1.2	1.1
Juventud	1.2	1.1	1.1	1.5	1.5	1.5

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Cerro Largo	1.0	1.5	1.1	1.0
Juventud	1.1	1.1	1.5	1.5

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	4.55%	3.70%	20.00%	6.45%
16-30	18.18%	14.81%	12.00%	12.90%
31-45	13.64%	40.74%	12.00%	12.90%
46-60	18.18%	14.81%	20.00%	16.13%
61-75	4.55%	3.70%	16.00%	22.58%
76-90	40.91%	22.22%	20.00%	29.03%

Team Comparison

62%

Form

38%

Attack

Defense

63%

Poisson

37%

71%

H2H

29%

75%

Goals

25%

64%

Total

37%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Cerro Largo	3-0	1-3	2-3	3-0	3 / 3	3 / 3
Juventud	3-1	1-2	2-5	4-1	3 / 2	5 / 4

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Cerro Largo	7	3	4	9	2	7
Juventud	4	2	2	5	3	2

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Cerro Largo	0	0%	1	100.00%	—	—
Juventud	2	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-02-08	Juventud	0 - 1 FT	Cerro Largo
2025-08-02	Juventud	0 - 2 FT	Cerro Largo
2025-01-31	Cerro Largo	1 - 1 FT	Juventud
2019-10-16	Cerro Largo	2 - 0 FT	Juventud
2019-03-24	Juventud	1 - 0 FT	Cerro Largo
2018-09-15	Cerro Largo	1 - 0 FT	Juventud

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.75	Dafabet
Draw	3.20	Bet365
Away win	2.70	Unibet
Over 2.5	2.45	Betfair
Under 2.5	1.62	Unibet
BTTS Yes	2.00	Bet365
BTTS No	1.83	Unibet

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90'	Cerro Largo	S. Franca	Card	Yellow Card
85'	Juventud	R. Peralta	subst	Out: F. Perez
78'	Cerro Largo	A. Pandiani	subst	Out: Pipe
76'	Juventud	G. Pereiro	Goal	Normal Goal
74'	Juventud	B. Larregui	subst	Out: G. Gomez
72'	Cerro Largo	A. Piegas	Card	Yellow Card
64'	Cerro Largo	G. Viera	subst	Out: F. Acosta
64'	Cerro Largo	D. Daguerre	subst	Out: E. de Leon
64'	Juventud	R. Chagas	subst	Out: F. Mimbacas
46'	Juventud	A. Alaniz	subst	Out: B. Arady
46'	Juventud	M. Caceres	subst	Out: E. Mas
43'	Juventud	M. Caceres	Card	Yellow Card
39'	Cerro Largo	A. Pandiani	Card	Yellow Card
8'	Cerro Largo	A. Pandiani	Goal	Normal Goal

League Standings

Local standings cache · Primera División 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Racing Montevideo Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)	1	24	45	12	9	3	31	19	12	WDWLD
Penarol Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)	2	22	43	13	4	5	35	19	16	WWDWL
Deportivo Maldonado Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)	3	23	42	12	6	5	38	24	14	DDLDW
Wanderers Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)	4	24	39	11	6	7	30	26	4	DWWWW
Atletico Torque Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)	5	23	38	11	5	7	34	27	7	WLWWL
Central Espanol Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)	6	23	36	10	6	7	28	26	2	WDLDD
Club Nacional Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)	7	24	35	11	2	11	35	33	2	LLWLD
Albion FC	8	24	34	9	7	8	33	27	6	LLDLD
Liverpool Montevideo	9	23	32	8	8	7	26	23	3	WDWLD
Cerro Largo	10	24	30	8	6	10	25	26	-1	DDLWD
Defensor Sporting	11	23	27	6	9	8	19	21	-2	LWLDD
Boston River	12	24	26	7	5	12	21	31	-10	DWLLD
Cerro	13	24	25	7	4	13	17	35	-18	WWLWW
Juventud	14	24	24	6	6	12	26	35	-9	LDDWL
Danubio	15	24	23	4	11	9	22	31	-9	DLDLD
Progreso	16	23	16	4	4	15	18	35	-17	LLWLL
Penarol	1	59	121	37	10	12	101	53	48	WWDWL
Club Nacional	2	61	114	35	12	14	111	66	45	LLWLD
Deportivo Maldonado	3	23	42	12	6	5	38	24	14	DDLDW
Liverpool Montevideo	4	60	97	26	19	15	77	60	17	WDWLD
Racing Montevideo	5	61	98	26	20	15	70	57	13	WDWLD
Central Espanol	6	23	36	10	6	7	28	26	2	WDLDD
Defensor Sporting	7	60	88	24	16	20	61	59	2	LWLDD
Atletico Torque	8	60	87	24	15	21	88	78	10	WLWWL
Albion FC	9	24	34	9	7	8	33	27	6	LLDLD
Juventud	10	61	85	24	13	24	71	74	-3	LDDWL
Boston River	11	61	81	21	18	22	71	70	1	DWLLD
Cerro Largo	12	61	79	20	19	22	66	67	-1	DDLWD
Cerro	13	61	71	19	15	27	50	77	-27	WWLWW
Wanderers Relegation - Segunda Division	14	61	70	17	19	25	55	73	-18	DWWWW
Danubio Relegation - Segunda Division	15	61	66	14	24	23	63	72	-9	DLDLD
Progreso Relegation - Segunda Division	16	60	55	14	13	33	56	95	-39	LLWLL
Penarol Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs: Final)	1	7	16	5	1	1	12	3	9	WWDWL
Cerro Largo	2	7	11	3	2	2	7	5	2	LWDDW
Racing Montevideo	3	7	10	2	4	1	4	3	1	WLDDD
Liverpool Montevideo	4	7	9	2	3	2	5	5	0	DWLDW
Central Espanol	5	7	9	2	3	2	4	4	0	DLDDW
Cerro	6	7	9	3	0	4	6	10	-4	LWWLL
Defensor Sporting	7	7	6	1	3	3	6	9	-3	WLDDD
Boston River	8	7	5	1	2	4	5	10	-5	LLDDL
Wanderers Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs: Final)	1	7	15	4	3	0	12	4	8	WWWDW
Club Nacional	2	7	13	4	1	2	8	8	0	WLDWL
Deportivo Maldonado	3	7	12	3	3	1	12	6	6	DLDWW
Atletico Torque	4	7	12	4	0	3	11	11	0	LWWLW
Juventud	5	7	8	2	2	3	8	11	-3	DWLDL
Albion FC	6	7	6	1	3	3	6	8	-2	DLDWL
Progreso	7	7	6	2	0	5	6	11	-5	LWLLW
Danubio	8	7	4	0	4	3	5	9	-4	DLDDD
Racing Montevideo Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)	1	15	31	9	4	2	23	14	9	LDWDW
Deportivo Maldonado	2	15	29	9	2	4	24	16	8	WWLDW
Albion FC	3	15	28	8	4	3	26	16	10	WWWWW
Penarol	4	15	27	8	3	4	23	16	7	WDLDL
Central Espanol	5	15	24	7	3	5	23	22	1	WLWLD
Atletico Torque	6	15	23	6	5	4	22	16	6	WDWDL
Club Nacional	7	15	22	7	1	7	26	21	5	WLLWL
Defensor Sporting	8	15	21	5	6	4	13	11	2	LDWDW
Liverpool Montevideo	9	15	20	5	5	5	20	18	2	LWDLW
Wanderers	10	15	20	6	2	7	16	21	-5	WLWLL
Danubio	11	15	18	4	6	5	17	21	-4	LLWDD
Cerro Largo	12	15	17	5	2	8	16	19	-3	LWLLD
Boston River	13	15	17	5	2	8	14	20	-6	LWLWL
Juventud	14	15	15	4	3	8	17	22	-5	WWDDW
Progreso	15	15	10	2	4	9	12	23	-11	LLLWL
Cerro	16	15	10	2	4	9	8	24	-16	LLLDD
Cerro Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)	1	2	6	2	0	0	3	1	2	WW
Racing Montevideo	2	2	4	1	1	0	4	2	2	WD
Wanderers	3	2	4	1	1	0	2	1	1	DW
Boston River	4	2	4	1	1	0	2	1	1	DW
Liverpool Montevideo	5	1	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	W
Central Espanol	6	1	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	W
Atletico Torque	7	1	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	W
Cerro Largo	8	2	2	0	2	0	2	2	0	DD
Deportivo Maldonado	9	1	1	0	1	0	2	2	0	D
Juventud	10	2	1	0	1	1	1	2	-1	LD
Danubio	11	2	1	0	1	1	0	1	-1	DL
Penarol	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—
Progreso	13	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	-1	L
Defensor Sporting	14	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	-1	L
Albion FC	15	2	0	0	0	2	1	3	-2	LL
Club Nacional	16	2	0	0	0	2	1	4	-3	LL