FootyWow decision support page
Football Draw Predictions Today
Daily football draw predictions using model probability, real 1X2 odds, draw pressure, match balance and risk-aware decision signals.
Date: 2026-10-07
Matches: 28
Updated: 21:45 UTC
Legend
Best draw profile
The strongest draw cards, where model probability, odds value and match balance point in the same direction.
Strong draw watch
A draw is clearly live, but the match still needs price and team context.
Reliable draw lean
A useful draw signal with moderate confidence.
Draw possible, check risk
The draw is plausible, but there may be a stronger home or away outcome nearby.
Model chance
FootyWow model probability for the draw.
Model vs odds edge
Difference between model probability and implied probability from the available 1X2 price.
Medium confidence
Strong draw watch
French Guyana vs Belize: the draw remains live because the match profile stays tight.
Most Important Observation
V35C rates this route at 40.21%. The largest competing path is 32.49%, leaving a lead gap of 7.72 pts.
Draw pickDrawDraw
Model chance40.2%decision signal
Market odds3Odds source: Bet365
Model vs odds edge6.9 ptsvalue signal
Draw score81ranking strength
Price profiledraw fair priceodds context
Result1-0 — Draw missedoutcome check
Decision noteDraw is rated at 40.2% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.reader context
Why this match is on the draw list
- Draw is rated at 40.2% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.
- The model-vs-odds gap is 6.9 pts, so the selection depends more on probability and match context.
- The main danger is one team breaking the balance; non-draw pressure is around 32.5%.
- Support probability sits at 40.2%, with a draw fair price price profile.
Medium confidence
Reliable draw lean
CR Belouizdad vs Khenchela: the draw remains live because the match profile stays tight.
Most Important Observation
V35C rates this route at 37.36%. The largest competing path is 36.52%, leaving a lead gap of 0.84 pts.
Draw pickDrawDraw
Model chance37.4%decision signal
Market odds4Odds source: Bet365
Model vs odds edge12.4 ptsvalue signal
Draw score73.8ranking strength
Price profiledraw value priceodds context
Result1-0 — Draw missedoutcome check
Decision noteDraw is rated at 37.4% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 4.reader context
Why this match is on the draw list
- Draw is rated at 37.4% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 4.
- The model-vs-odds gap is 12.4 pts, so the selection depends more on probability and match context.
- The main danger is one team breaking the balance; non-draw pressure is around 36.5%.
- Support probability sits at 37.4%, with a draw value price price profile.
Medium confidence
Reliable draw lean
Urena SC vs Trujillanos FC: neither side gets enough separation to kill the draw angle.
Most Important Observation
V35C rates this route at 36.96%. The largest competing path is 38.08%, leaving a lead gap of -1.12 pts.
Draw pickDrawDraw
Model chance37%decision signal
Market odds3.3Odds source: Bet365
Model vs odds edge6.7 ptsvalue signal
Draw score69.2ranking strength
Price profiledraw fair priceodds context
Result2-2 — Draw landedoutcome check
Decision noteDraw is rated at 37% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.3.reader context
Why this match is on the draw list
- Draw is rated at 37% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.3.
- The model-vs-odds gap is 6.7 pts, so the selection depends more on probability and match context.
- The main danger is one team breaking the balance; non-draw pressure is around 38.1%.
- Support probability sits at 37%, with a draw fair price price profile.
Medium confidence
Reliable draw lean
Grêmio Anápolis vs Goiânia: neither side gets enough separation to kill the draw angle.
Most Important Observation
V35C rates this route at 35.6%. The largest competing path is 36.36%, leaving a lead gap of -0.76 pts.
Draw pickDrawDraw
Model chance35.6%decision signal
Market odds3.2Odds source: Bet365
Model vs odds edge4.4 ptsvalue signal
Draw score66.4ranking strength
Price profiledraw fair priceodds context
Result4-0 — Draw missedoutcome check
Decision noteDraw is rated at 35.6% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.2.reader context
Why this match is on the draw list
- Draw is rated at 35.6% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.2.
- The model-vs-odds gap is 4.4 pts, so the selection depends more on probability and match context.
- The main danger is one team breaking the balance; non-draw pressure is around 36.4%.
- Support probability sits at 35.6%, with a draw fair price price profile.
Low confidence
Draw possible, check risk
Jiangxi Liansheng vs Dalian Kewei: a low-separation setup keeps the draw in play.
Most Important Observation
V35C rates this route at 34.05%. The largest competing path is 35.05%, leaving a lead gap of -1 pts.
Draw pickDrawDraw
Model chance34%decision signal
Market odds2.9Odds source: Bet365
Model vs odds edge-0.4 ptsvalue signal
Draw score61.1ranking strength
Price profiledraw fair priceodds context
Result0-1 — Draw missedoutcome check
Decision noteDraw is rated at 34% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 2.9.reader context
Why this match is on the draw list
- Draw is rated at 34% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 2.9.
- The model-vs-odds gap is -0.4 pts, so the selection depends more on probability and match context.
- The main danger is one team breaking the balance; non-draw pressure is around 35%.
- Support probability sits at 34%, with a draw fair price price profile.
Low confidence
Draw possible, check risk
Kawasaki Frontale vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki: a low-separation setup keeps the draw in play.
Most Important Observation
V35C rates this route at 40.16%. The largest competing path is 52.25%, leaving a lead gap of -12.09 pts.
Draw pickDrawDraw
Model chance40.2%decision signal
Market odds3.3Odds source: Bet365
Model vs odds edge9.9 ptsvalue signal
Draw score58.7ranking strength
Price profiledraw fair priceodds context
Result2-0 — Draw missedoutcome check
Decision noteDraw is rated at 40.2% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.3.reader context
Why this match is on the draw list
- Draw is rated at 40.2% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.3.
- The model-vs-odds gap is 9.9 pts, so the selection depends more on probability and match context.
- The main danger is one team breaking the balance; non-draw pressure is around 52.3%.
- Support probability sits at 40.2%, with a draw fair price price profile.
Low confidence
Draw possible, check risk
Gumi Sportstoto W vs Incheon Red Angels W: neither side gets enough separation to kill the draw angle.
Most Important Observation
V35C rates this route at 32.71%. The largest competing path is 35.42%, leaving a lead gap of -2.71 pts.
Draw pickDrawDraw
Model chance32.7%decision signal
Market odds3.1Odds source: Bet365
Model vs odds edge0.5 ptsvalue signal
Draw score58.4ranking strength
Price profiledraw fair priceodds context
Result1-1 — Draw landedoutcome check
Decision noteDraw is rated at 32.7% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.1.reader context
Why this match is on the draw list
- Draw is rated at 32.7% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.1.
- The model-vs-odds gap is 0.5 pts, so the selection depends more on probability and match context.
- The main danger is one team breaking the balance; non-draw pressure is around 35.4%.
- Support probability sits at 32.7%, with a draw fair price price profile.
Low confidence
Draw possible, check risk
America Mineiro vs Fortaleza EC: draw pressure comes from a balanced 1X2 profile.
Most Important Observation
V35C rates this route at 32.85%. The largest competing path is 41.84%, leaving a lead gap of -8.99 pts.
Draw pickDrawDraw
Model chance32.9%decision signal
Market odds3.4Odds source: Bet365
Model vs odds edge3.4 ptsvalue signal
Draw score56ranking strength
Price profiledraw fair priceodds context
Result0-1 — Draw missedoutcome check
Decision noteDraw is rated at 32.9% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.4.reader context
Why this match is on the draw list
- Draw is rated at 32.9% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.4.
- The model-vs-odds gap is 3.4 pts, so the selection depends more on probability and match context.
- The main danger is one team breaking the balance; non-draw pressure is around 41.8%.
- Support probability sits at 32.9%, with a draw fair price price profile.
Low confidence
Draw possible, check risk
Argentinos Juniors Res. vs San Lorenzo Res.: the draw remains live because the match profile stays tight.
Most Important Observation
V35C rates this route at 33.75%. The largest competing path is 40.35%, leaving a lead gap of -6.6 pts.
Draw pickDrawDraw
Model chance33.8%decision signal
Market odds3.1Odds source: Bet365
Model vs odds edge1.5 ptsvalue signal
Draw score55.3ranking strength
Price profiledraw fair priceodds context
ResultPendingoutcome check
Decision noteDraw is rated at 33.8% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.1.reader context
Why this match is on the draw list
- Draw is rated at 33.8% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.1.
- The model-vs-odds gap is 1.5 pts, so the selection depends more on probability and match context.
- The main danger is one team breaking the balance; non-draw pressure is around 40.4%.
- Support probability sits at 33.8%, with a draw fair price price profile.
Low confidence
Draw possible, check risk
Aldosivi Res. vs Tigre Res.: neither side gets enough separation to kill the draw angle.
Most Important Observation
V35C rates this route at 29.82%. The largest competing path is 36.18%, leaving a lead gap of -6.36 pts.
Draw pickDrawDraw
Model chance29.8%decision signal
Market odds3.2Odds source: Bet365
Model vs odds edge-1.4 ptsvalue signal
Draw score55ranking strength
Price profiledraw fair priceodds context
Result1-0 — Draw missedoutcome check
Decision noteDraw is rated at 29.8% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.2.reader context
Why this match is on the draw list
- Draw is rated at 29.8% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.2.
- The model-vs-odds gap is -1.4 pts, so the selection depends more on probability and match context.
- The main danger is one team breaking the balance; non-draw pressure is around 36.2%.
- Support probability sits at 29.8%, with a draw fair price price profile.
Low confidence
Draw possible, check risk
Kolos Kovalivka U19 vs Dynamo Kyiv U19: the draw remains live because the match profile stays tight.
Most Important Observation
V35C rates this route at 29.36%. The largest competing path is 38.09%, leaving a lead gap of -8.73 pts.
Draw pickDrawDraw
Model chance29.4%decision signal
Market odds5.79Odds source: Bet365
Model vs odds edge12.1 ptsvalue signal
Draw score54.8ranking strength
Price profiledraw value priceodds context
Result1-2 — Draw missedoutcome check
Decision noteDraw is rated at 29.4% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 5.79.reader context
Why this match is on the draw list
- Draw is rated at 29.4% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 5.79.
- The model-vs-odds gap is 12.1 pts, so the selection depends more on probability and match context.
- The main danger is one team breaking the balance; non-draw pressure is around 38.1%.
- Support probability sits at 29.4%, with a draw value price price profile.
Low confidence
Draw possible, check risk
Gimnasia Mendoza 2 vs Instituto Res.: the draw remains live because the match profile stays tight.
Most Important Observation
V35C rates this route at 30.83%. The largest competing path is 38.82%, leaving a lead gap of -7.99 pts.
Draw pickDrawDraw
Model chance30.8%decision signal
Market odds3.1Odds source: Bet365
Model vs odds edge-1.4 ptsvalue signal
Draw score52.2ranking strength
Price profiledraw fair priceodds context
Result1-1 — Draw landedoutcome check
Decision noteDraw is rated at 30.8% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.1.reader context
Why this match is on the draw list
- Draw is rated at 30.8% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.1.
- The model-vs-odds gap is -1.4 pts, so the selection depends more on probability and match context.
- The main danger is one team breaking the balance; non-draw pressure is around 38.8%.
- Support probability sits at 30.8%, with a draw fair price price profile.
Low confidence
Draw possible, check risk
Avai vs Londrina: the draw remains live because the match profile stays tight.
Most Important Observation
V35C rates this route at 28.92%. The largest competing path is 37.46%, leaving a lead gap of -8.54 pts.
Draw pickDrawDraw
Model chance28.9%decision signal
Market odds3.2Odds source: Bet365
Model vs odds edge-2.3 ptsvalue signal
Draw score52.2ranking strength
Price profiledraw fair priceodds context
Result2-1 — Draw missedoutcome check
Decision noteDraw is rated at 28.9% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.2.reader context
Why this match is on the draw list
- Draw is rated at 28.9% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.2.
- The model-vs-odds gap is -2.3 pts, so the selection depends more on probability and match context.
- The main danger is one team breaking the balance; non-draw pressure is around 37.5%.
- Support probability sits at 28.9%, with a draw fair price price profile.
Low confidence
Draw possible, check risk
Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP: neither side gets enough separation to kill the draw angle.
Most Important Observation
V35C rates this route at 31.04%. The largest competing path is 40.52%, leaving a lead gap of -9.48 pts.
Draw pickDrawDraw
Model chance31%decision signal
Market odds3.5Odds source: Bet365
Model vs odds edge2.5 ptsvalue signal
Draw score51.4ranking strength
Price profiledraw fair priceodds context
Result1-2 — Draw missedoutcome check
Decision noteDraw is rated at 31% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.5.reader context
Why this match is on the draw list
- Draw is rated at 31% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.5.
- The model-vs-odds gap is 2.5 pts, so the selection depends more on probability and match context.
- The main danger is one team breaking the balance; non-draw pressure is around 40.5%.
- Support probability sits at 31%, with a draw fair price price profile.
Low confidence
Draw possible, check risk
Shortan vs Jayxun: the draw remains live because the match profile stays tight.
Most Important Observation
V35C rates this route at 31.82%. The largest competing path is 44.98%, leaving a lead gap of -13.16 pts.
Draw pickDrawDraw
Model chance31.8%decision signal
Market odds5Odds source: Bet365
Model vs odds edge11.8 ptsvalue signal
Draw score50.8ranking strength
Price profiledraw fair priceodds context
Result3-1 — Draw missedoutcome check
Decision noteDraw is rated at 31.8% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 5.reader context
Why this match is on the draw list
- Draw is rated at 31.8% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 5.
- The model-vs-odds gap is 11.8 pts, so the selection depends more on probability and match context.
- The main danger is one team breaking the balance; non-draw pressure is around 45%.
- Support probability sits at 31.8%, with a draw fair price price profile.
Low confidence
Draw possible, check risk
Tai'an Tiankuang vs Shangyu Pterosaur: a low-separation setup keeps the draw in play.
Most Important Observation
V35C rates this route at 34.77%. The largest competing path is 49.08%, leaving a lead gap of -14.31 pts.
Draw pickDrawDraw
Model chance34.8%decision signal
Market odds3.6Odds source: Bet365
Model vs odds edge7 ptsvalue signal
Draw score50.4ranking strength
Price profiledraw fair priceodds context
Result3-0 — Draw missedoutcome check
Decision noteDraw is rated at 34.8% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.6.reader context
Why this match is on the draw list
- Draw is rated at 34.8% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.6.
- The model-vs-odds gap is 7 pts, so the selection depends more on probability and match context.
- The main danger is one team breaking the balance; non-draw pressure is around 49.1%.
- Support probability sits at 34.8%, with a draw fair price price profile.
Low confidence
Speculative draw watch
CRB vs Atletico Goianiense: a low-separation setup keeps the draw in play.
Most Important Observation
V35C rates this route at 29.23%. The largest competing path is 39.05%, leaving a lead gap of -9.82 pts.
Draw pickDrawDraw
Model chance29.2%decision signal
Market odds3.5Odds source: Bet365
Model vs odds edge0.7 ptsvalue signal
Draw score49.9ranking strength
Price profiledraw fair priceodds context
Result3-1 — Draw missedoutcome check
Decision noteDraw is rated at 29.2% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.5.reader context
Why this match is on the draw list
- Draw is rated at 29.2% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.5.
- The model-vs-odds gap is 0.7 pts, so the selection depends more on probability and match context.
- The main danger is one team breaking the balance; non-draw pressure is around 39%.
- Support probability sits at 29.2%, with a draw fair price price profile.
Low confidence
Speculative draw watch
Internacional vs Corinthians: the draw remains live because the match profile stays tight.
Most Important Observation
V35C rates this route at 30.06%. The largest competing path is 39.53%, leaving a lead gap of -9.47 pts.
Draw pickDrawDraw
Model chance30.1%decision signal
Market odds3.25Odds source: Bet365
Model vs odds edge-0.7 ptsvalue signal
Draw score49.7ranking strength
Price profiledraw fair priceodds context
Result2-1 — Draw missedoutcome check
Decision noteDraw is rated at 30.1% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.25.reader context
Why this match is on the draw list
- Draw is rated at 30.1% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.25.
- The model-vs-odds gap is -0.7 pts, so the selection depends more on probability and match context.
- The main danger is one team breaking the balance; non-draw pressure is around 39.5%.
- Support probability sits at 30.1%, with a draw fair price price profile.
Low confidence
Speculative draw watch
Bom Jesus EC vs Morrinhos: neither side gets enough separation to kill the draw angle.
Most Important Observation
V35C rates this route at 30.03%. The largest competing path is 41.71%, leaving a lead gap of -11.68 pts.
Draw pickDrawDraw
Model chance30%decision signal
Market odds3.4Odds source: Bet365
Model vs odds edge0.6 ptsvalue signal
Draw score49.3ranking strength
Price profiledraw fair priceodds context
Result3-2 — Draw missedoutcome check
Decision noteDraw is rated at 30% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.4.reader context
Why this match is on the draw list
- Draw is rated at 30% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.4.
- The model-vs-odds gap is 0.6 pts, so the selection depends more on probability and match context.
- The main danger is one team breaking the balance; non-draw pressure is around 41.7%.
- Support probability sits at 30%, with a draw fair price price profile.
Low confidence
Speculative draw watch
Nanjing City vs Shaanxi Union: a low-separation setup keeps the draw in play.
Most Important Observation
V35C rates this route at 29.54%. The largest competing path is 40.27%, leaving a lead gap of -10.73 pts.
Draw pickDrawDraw
Model chance29.5%decision signal
Market odds3.3Odds source: Bet365
Model vs odds edge-0.8 ptsvalue signal
Draw score48.4ranking strength
Price profiledraw fair priceodds context
Result1-4 — Draw missedoutcome check
Decision noteDraw is rated at 29.5% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.3.reader context
Why this match is on the draw list
- Draw is rated at 29.5% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.3.
- The model-vs-odds gap is -0.8 pts, so the selection depends more on probability and match context.
- The main danger is one team breaking the balance; non-draw pressure is around 40.3%.
- Support probability sits at 29.5%, with a draw fair price price profile.
Low confidence
Speculative draw watch
Shenzhen Juniors vs Guangzhou E-Power: neither side gets enough separation to kill the draw angle.
Most Important Observation
V35C rates this route at 29.58%. The largest competing path is 40.15%, leaving a lead gap of -10.57 pts.
Draw pickDrawDraw
Model chance29.6%decision signal
Market odds3.25Odds source: Bet365
Model vs odds edge-1.2 ptsvalue signal
Draw score48.4ranking strength
Price profiledraw fair priceodds context
Result1-4 — Draw missedoutcome check
Decision noteDraw is rated at 29.6% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.25.reader context
Why this match is on the draw list
- Draw is rated at 29.6% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.25.
- The model-vs-odds gap is -1.2 pts, so the selection depends more on probability and match context.
- The main danger is one team breaking the balance; non-draw pressure is around 40.2%.
- Support probability sits at 29.6%, with a draw fair price price profile.
Low confidence
Speculative draw watch
Seoul W vs Boeun Sangmu W: a low-separation setup keeps the draw in play.
Most Important Observation
V35C rates this route at 30.39%. The largest competing path is 45.12%, leaving a lead gap of -14.73 pts.
Draw pickDrawDraw
Model chance30.4%decision signal
Market odds3.4Odds source: Bet365
Model vs odds edge1 ptsvalue signal
Draw score45.3ranking strength
Price profiledraw fair priceodds context
Result1-0 — Draw missedoutcome check
Decision noteDraw is rated at 30.4% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.4.reader context
Why this match is on the draw list
- Draw is rated at 30.4% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.4.
- The model-vs-odds gap is 1 pts, so the selection depends more on probability and match context.
- The main danger is one team breaking the balance; non-draw pressure is around 45.1%.
- Support probability sits at 30.4%, with a draw fair price price profile.
Low confidence
Speculative draw watch
Shooting Stars vs Kano Pillars: neither side gets enough separation to kill the draw angle.
Most Important Observation
V35C rates this route at 30.02%. The largest competing path is 43.33%, leaving a lead gap of -13.31 pts.
Draw pickDrawDraw
Model chance30%decision signal
Market odds3.4Odds source: Bet365
Model vs odds edge0.6 ptsvalue signal
Draw score45.3ranking strength
Price profiledraw fair priceodds context
Result0-0 — Draw landedoutcome check
Decision noteDraw is rated at 30% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.4.reader context
Why this match is on the draw list
- Draw is rated at 30% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.4.
- The model-vs-odds gap is 0.6 pts, so the selection depends more on probability and match context.
- The main danger is one team breaking the balance; non-draw pressure is around 43.3%.
- Support probability sits at 30%, with a draw fair price price profile.
Low confidence
Speculative draw watch
CS Constantine vs US Biskra: the draw remains live because the match profile stays tight.
Most Important Observation
V35C rates this route at 29.76%. The largest competing path is 35.95%, leaving a lead gap of -6.19 pts.
Draw pickDrawDraw
Model chance29.8%decision signal
Market odds3.2Odds source: Bet365
Model vs odds edge-1.5 ptsvalue signal
Draw score44.4ranking strength
Price profiledraw fair priceodds context
Result4-0 — Draw missedoutcome check
Decision noteDraw is rated at 29.8% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.2.reader context
Why this match is on the draw list
- Draw is rated at 29.8% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.2.
- The model-vs-odds gap is -1.5 pts, so the selection depends more on probability and match context.
- The main danger is one team breaking the balance; non-draw pressure is around 36%.
- Support probability sits at 29.8%, with a draw fair price price profile.
Low confidence
Speculative draw watch
Remo vs Gremio: draw pressure comes from a balanced 1X2 profile.
Most Important Observation
V35C rates this route at 29.07%. The largest competing path is 43.64%, leaving a lead gap of -14.57 pts.
Draw pickDrawDraw
Model chance29.1%decision signal
Market odds3.25Odds source: Bet365
Model vs odds edge-1.7 ptsvalue signal
Draw score35.5ranking strength
Price profiledraw fair priceodds context
Result1-1 — Draw landedoutcome check
Decision noteDraw is rated at 29.1% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.25.reader context
Why this match is on the draw list
- Draw is rated at 29.1% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.25.
- The model-vs-odds gap is -1.7 pts, so the selection depends more on probability and match context.
- The main danger is one team breaking the balance; non-draw pressure is around 43.6%.
- Support probability sits at 29.1%, with a draw fair price price profile.
Low confidence
Speculative draw watch
Gnistan vs Inter Turku: neither side gets enough separation to kill the draw angle.
Most Important Observation
V35C rates this route at 28.57%. The largest competing path is 42.82%, leaving a lead gap of -14.25 pts.
Draw pickDrawDraw
Model chance28.6%decision signal
Market odds3.5Odds source: Bet365
Model vs odds edge0 ptsvalue signal
Draw score34.6ranking strength
Price profiledraw fair priceodds context
Result0-0 — Draw landedoutcome check
Decision noteDraw is rated at 28.6% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.5.reader context
Why this match is on the draw list
- Draw is rated at 28.6% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.5.
- The model-vs-odds gap is 0 pts, so the selection depends more on probability and match context.
- The main danger is one team breaking the balance; non-draw pressure is around 42.8%.
- Support probability sits at 28.6%, with a draw fair price price profile.
Low confidence
Speculative draw watch
Ponte Preta vs Juventude: the draw remains live because the match profile stays tight.
Most Important Observation
V35C rates this route at 29.72%. The largest competing path is 50.01%, leaving a lead gap of -20.29 pts.
Draw pickDrawDraw
Model chance29.7%decision signal
Market odds5Odds source: Bet365
Model vs odds edge9.7 ptsvalue signal
Draw score32.8ranking strength
Price profiledraw fair priceodds context
Result0-2 — Draw missedoutcome check
Decision noteDraw is rated at 29.7% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 5.reader context
Why this match is on the draw list
- Draw is rated at 29.7% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 5.
- The model-vs-odds gap is 9.7 pts, so the selection depends more on probability and match context.
- The main danger is one team breaking the balance; non-draw pressure is around 50%.
- Support probability sits at 29.7%, with a draw fair price price profile.
Low confidence
Speculative draw watch
Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc: a low-separation setup keeps the draw in play.
Most Important Observation
V35C rates this route at 28.72%. The largest competing path is 46.94%, leaving a lead gap of -18.22 pts.
Draw pickDrawDraw
Model chance28.7%decision signal
Market odds3.8Odds source: Bet365
Model vs odds edge2.4 ptsvalue signal
Draw score31.6ranking strength
Price profiledraw fair priceodds context
Result4-0 — Draw missedoutcome check
Decision noteDraw is rated at 28.7% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.8.reader context
Why this match is on the draw list
- Draw is rated at 28.7% by the FootyWow model, with market odds around 3.8.
- The model-vs-odds gap is 2.4 pts, so the selection depends more on probability and match context.
- The main danger is one team breaking the balance; non-draw pressure is around 46.9%.
- Support probability sits at 28.7%, with a draw fair price price profile.