Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 19:00 •
Estadio Principe Felipe
Expected Goals
0.53 (league 1.36)
0.87 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.0% | 37.4% | 41.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
24.7%
0 - 1
21.5%
1 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Lugo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cacereño | 0 | 24.7% | 21.5% | 9.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 11.3% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Cacereño | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 40% |
| Attack | 36% | 29% |
| Defense | 43% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Cacereño | Lugo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 21% | 20% | 21% | 53% | 14% | 34% |
| Draws | 36% | 47% | 41% | 27% | 57% | 41% |
| Loses | 43% | 33% | 38% | 20% | 29% | 24% |
CacereñoDDLWDLDWDLLLLWLLDLDWWDDWLDLDD
LugoLDLWLWDWDDDDWLDDWWWLWLDWDWDLD
League goals
| Metric | Cacereño | Lugo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 16 | 27 | 18 | 10 | 28 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 18 | 20 | 38 | 16 | 12 | 28 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Cacereño | Lugo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 59% | 72% | 69% | 62% |
| 1.5 | 28% | 41% | 28% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 14% | 0% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Cacereño | Lugo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 8 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Cacereño | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Cacereño | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-1 | 0-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Cacereño | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 43.0% | 57.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.70 @ Unibet
Draw3.00 @ Betfair
Away2.83 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.70 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.67 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.47 @ Betano
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Cacereño = 0.53 (league 1.36), Lugo = 0.87 (league 1.05)
| Lugo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cacereño | 0 | 24.7% | 21.5% | 9.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 11.3% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.0% · Draw 37.4% · Away win 41.5%