Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 14:00 •
Victory Park
Expected Goals
2.18 (league 1.57)
1.45 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.8% | 20.5% | 24.9% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 1
8.4%
3 - 1
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Curzon Ashton | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chorley | 0 | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chorley | Curzon Ashton |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 13% |
| Attack | 38% | 63% |
| Defense | 38% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chorley | Curzon Ashton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 21 | 22 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
| Wins | 48% | 18% | 33% | 32% | 24% | 28% |
| Draws | 24% | 27% | 26% | 18% | 38% | 28% |
| Loses | 29% | 55% | 42% | 50% | 38% | 44% |
ChorleyWWDWWLLWWLDLDLLLDWDLDWLWDLLDWWLDLLWDLWLDLWL
Curzon AshtonDDDLWLWDLWWLWWDDLWDLWLLWLLLWDDWLWLLLDLLDLDL
League goals
| Metric | Chorley | Curzon Ashton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 37 | 26 | 63 | 29 | 34 | 63 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 25 | 37 | 62 | 41 | 40 | 81 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chorley | Curzon Ashton | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 86% | 77% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 49% | 42% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 9% | 21% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 7% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chorley | Curzon Ashton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 9 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chorley | Curzon Ashton |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chorley | Curzon Ashton |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-4 | 4-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-8 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 8 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chorley | Curzon Ashton |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 69% | 31% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 49.3% | 50.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.71 @ 188Bet
Draw4.49 @ Pinnacle
Away4.60 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.60 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.42 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.38 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Chorley = 2.18 (league 1.57), Curzon Ashton = 1.45 (league 1.32)
| Curzon Ashton | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chorley | 0 | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.8% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 24.9%