Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 12:00 •
Gelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.61)
0.89 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.1% | 27.1% | 23.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.1%
1 - 1
12.5%
2 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Bekasi City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sumsel United | 0 | 10.0% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.1% | 12.5% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.0% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sumsel United | Bekasi City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 44% | 31% |
| Defense | 50% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sumsel United | Bekasi City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 73% | 25% | 48% | 58% | 27% | 43% |
| Draws | 18% | 17% | 17% | 25% | 36% | 30% |
| Loses | 9% | 58% | 35% | 17% | 36% | 26% |
Sumsel UnitedWWLLWDLDWWLWWDWLWDLWWLL
Bekasi CityWLDWDLWLWDDWLDDWWLWWWLD
League goals
| Metric | Sumsel United | Bekasi City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 14 | 35 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 10 | 18 | 28 | 7 | 13 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sumsel United | Bekasi City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 70% | 74% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 39% | 26% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 13% | 17% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 13% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sumsel United | Bekasi City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sumsel United | Bekasi City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sumsel United | Bekasi City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-5 | 7-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sumsel United | Bekasi City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 50.3% | 49.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.00 @ Dafabet
Draw3.50 @ Betfair
Away3.90 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.02 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.10 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sumsel United = 1.42 (league 1.61), Bekasi City = 0.89 (league 1.12)
| Bekasi City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sumsel United | 0 | 10.0% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.1% | 12.5% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.0% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.1% · Draw 27.1% · Away win 23.5%