Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 10:00 • Amica Wronki Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.03 (league 1.68) 1.40 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.5% 21.4% 25.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 1
9.2%
2 - 0
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Flota Świnoujście
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lech Poznań II 0 3.2% 4.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 6.6% 9.2% 6.4% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.7% 9.4% 6.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.5% 6.3% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.3% 3.2% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLech Poznań IIFlota Świnoujście
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack53%60%
Defense60%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.216 | 3.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0-0
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lech Poznań II Flota Świnoujście
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins46%46%46%46%46%46%
Draws23%15%19%23%15%19%
Loses31%38%35%31%38%35%
Lech Poznań IIWLLWWWDLWWWWWWLDLLDLLWDDWL
Flota ŚwinoujścieDDWWWWLWWLWWLLDLDWLWWLDLWL

League goals

Metric Lech Poznań II Flota Świnoujście
HATHAT
GF total252752192140
GF avg1.92.12.01.51.61.5
GA total162137152338
GA avg1.21.61.41.21.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLech Poznań IIFlota Świnoujście
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%85%81%73%
1.558%38%50%42%
2.535%15%19%15%
3.515%4%4%8%
4.54%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLech Poznań IIFlota Świnoujście
HATHAT
Clean sheets224437
Failed to score134325

Penalties

MetricLech Poznań IIFlota Świnoujście
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLech Poznań IIFlota Świnoujście
Wins64
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-44-00-2
Biggest losses0-23-12-46-2
Goals For6443
Goals Against3446

Model comparison

MetricLech Poznań IIFlota Świnoujście
Form67%33%
Att47%53%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h100%0%
Goals71%29%
Total63.6%36.4%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Betano
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away4.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.65 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Marathonbet
No2.52 @ 1xBet
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lech Poznań II = 2.03 (league 1.68), Flota Świnoujście = 1.40 (league 1.38)

Flota Świnoujście
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lech Poznań II 0 3.2% 4.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 6.6% 9.2% 6.4% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.7% 9.4% 6.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.5% 6.3% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.3% 3.2% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.5% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 25.9%