Regionalliga - West — Austria
Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 17:00 • Hans-Ludwig-Stadion
Not Started

Wals-Grünau

—

Imst

Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.69) 2.13 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.8% 20.7% 54.1%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.5%
1 - 1
8.9%
0 - 2
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Imst
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wals-Grünau 0 3.2% 6.8% 7.3% 5.2% 2.8% 1.2%
1 4.2% 8.9% 9.5% 6.8% 3.6% 1.5%
2 2.7% 5.9% 6.2% 4.4% 2.4% 1.0%
3 1.2% 2.6% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home lean

Wals-Grünau carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 26 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Wals-Grünau -3.2, Imst +6.5.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone
Wals-Grünau Elo 1543.3 · -3.2
vs
Imst Elo 1551.9 · +6.5
Elo gapWals-Grünau +26
Home / draw / away39% / 27% / 34%
Expected home share54%
Combined Elo3095.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home lean
Confidence band Lean confidence
Upset risk Medium-high
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3095.2
Elo home share 54%
Match tone Good Watch
Metric Wals-Grünau Imst
Overall Elo1543.31551.9
Form Elo1548.61553.7
Home / Away Elo1545.21530
Attack Elo1589.21558.1
Defense Elo1508.41528.3
Last 5 Elo change-3.2+6.5

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Wals-Grünau last-5 Elo change: -3.2; Imst last-5 Elo change: +6.5.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWals-GrünauImst
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack6%31%
Defense81%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.60 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0-0
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Wals-Grünau Imst
HATHAT
Played111223121224
Wins27%33%30%33%42%38%
Draws55%25%39%42%50%46%
Loses18%42%30%25%8%17%
Wals-GrünauWWLLWDDLDLDDLWWWLDDDDLW
ImstDDDWLWDWWWLDWDLLDWWDDDDW

League goals

Metric Wals-Grünau Imst
HATHAT
GF total191433132235
GF avg1.71.21.41.11.81.5
GA total152035111627
GA avg1.41.71.50.91.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWals-GrünauImst
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%65%71%67%
1.539%52%42%29%
2.522%22%17%17%
3.59%9%8%0%
4.54%4%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWals-GrünauImst
HATHAT
Clean sheets448538
Failed to score448527

Penalties

MetricWals-GrünauImst
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricWals-GrünauImst
Wins33
Draws44
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-31-45-02-5
Biggest losses1-25-00-33-1
Goals For6455
Goals Against3533

Model comparison

MetricWals-GrünauImst
Form46%54%
Att17%83%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h29%71%
Goals43%57%
Total35.4%64.6%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…
League page • Country page • Venue page • Wals-Grünau vs Imst

Expected goals (λ): Wals-Grünau = 1.31 (league 1.69), Imst = 2.13 (league 1.18)

Imst
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wals-Grünau 0 3.2% 6.8% 7.3% 5.2% 2.8% 1.2%
1 4.2% 8.9% 9.5% 6.8% 3.6% 1.5%
2 2.7% 5.9% 6.2% 4.4% 2.4% 1.0%
3 1.2% 2.6% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.8% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 54.1%