J2 League — Japan
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 05:00 • Ekimae Real Estate Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.23) 1.20 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.6% 30.8% 51.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.4%
0 - 0
17.0%
0 - 2
12.3%
Tokushima Vortis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sagan Tosu 0 17.0% 20.4% 12.3% 4.9% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.7% 11.6% 7.0% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 2.8% 3.3% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSagan TosuTokushima Vortis
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack91%82%
Defense36%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sagan Tosu Tokushima Vortis
HATHAT
Played171734171734
Wins53%41%47%47%47%47%
Draws29%18%24%24%29%26%
Loses18%41%29%29%24%26%

Form: Sagan Tosu: LLLDWWLWWDWLDWDWWDLDWWWLWLDLWWDWWL • Tokushima Vortis: WWDDLDWLDLWWWLWWDWDWDLDWWLWDLLWWWL

League goals

Metric Sagan Tosu Tokushima Vortis
HATHAT
GF total242044162238
GF avg1.41.21.30.91.31.1
GA total19193812921
GA avg1.11.11.10.70.50.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSagan TosuTokushima Vortis
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%68%71%47%
1.541%29%29%12%
2.56%12%9%3%
3.53%3%3%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSagan TosuTokushima Vortis
HATHAT
Clean sheets65119918
Failed to score2575510

Penalties

MetricSagan TosuTokushima Vortis
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricSagan TosuTokushima Vortis
Wins33
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-22-00-4
Biggest losses1-43-10-22-1
Goals For4334
Goals Against4332

Model comparison

MetricSagan TosuTokushima Vortis
Form53%47%
Att53%47%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h80%20%
Goals64%36%
Total53.2%46.8%

Advice: Double chance : Sagan Tosu or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.05 @ Unibet
Draw3.15 @ Unibet
Away2.77 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sagan Tosu = 0.57 (league 1.23), Tokushima Vortis = 1.20 (league 1.19)

Tokushima Vortis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sagan Tosu 0 17.0% 20.4% 12.3% 4.9% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.7% 11.6% 7.0% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 2.8% 3.3% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.6% · Draw 30.8% · Away win 51.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1