Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 15:00 •
Estádio Municipal de Celorico de Basto
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.43)
1.38 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.6% | 24.6% | 34.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Tirsense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Celoricense | 0 | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Celoricense | Tirsense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 60% |
| Attack | 70% | 70% |
| Defense | 70% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Celoricense | Tirsense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 50% | 40% | 45% | 40% | 20% | 30% |
| Draws | 30% | 30% | 30% | 40% | 60% | 50% |
| Loses | 20% | 30% | 25% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
CeloricenseLWWWLDDWDLLWDDWLWWDW
TirsenseDDWLDDLDDWDWWLLWDDDW
League goals
| Metric | Celoricense | Tirsense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 10 | 32 | 15 | 11 | 26 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 13 | 6 | 19 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Celoricense | Tirsense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 70% | 80% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 20% | 30% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 5% | 15% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Celoricense | Tirsense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Celoricense | Tirsense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Celoricense | Tirsense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-3 | 3-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Celoricense | Tirsense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 52.4% | 47.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.17 @ Unibet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.72 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.00 @ William Hill
No1.74 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
Loading standings…