Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 15:00 •
VBS Community Stadium
Expected Goals
2.54 (league 1.54)
1.51 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.4% | 18.3% | 21.3% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.5%
3 - 1
7.2%
1 - 1
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Morecambe | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sutton Utd | 0 | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sutton Utd | Morecambe |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 65% | 71% |
| Defense | 65% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sutton Utd | Morecambe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 17 | 35 | 18 | 18 | 36 |
| Wins | 33% | 18% | 26% | 22% | 17% | 19% |
| Draws | 39% | 29% | 34% | 22% | 28% | 25% |
| Loses | 28% | 53% | 40% | 56% | 56% | 56% |
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MorecambeWLLLLDWLLLDLLWLDDLWDLLWLLDLLDLDLWDLW
League goals
| Metric | Sutton Utd | Morecambe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 31 | 19 | 50 | 24 | 25 | 49 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 26 | 30 | 56 | 35 | 42 | 77 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sutton Utd | Morecambe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 80% | 67% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 49% | 46% | 39% | 64% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 23% | 17% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 11% | 14% | 19% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sutton Utd | Morecambe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sutton Utd | Morecambe |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sutton Utd | Morecambe |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 3-4 | 4-0 | 2-5 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sutton Utd | Morecambe |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 48% | 52% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 13% | 88% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 48.3% | 51.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.83 @ William Hill
Draw4.08 @ Pinnacle
Away4.15 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.52 @ Betano
Under 2.52.61 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ 188Bet
No2.69 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sutton Utd = 2.54 (league 1.54), Morecambe = 1.51 (league 1.30)
| Morecambe | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sutton Utd | 0 | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.4% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 21.3%